UFC 314 Volkanovski vs Lopes prediction records
Event date: . 13 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes | Moneyline | Alexander Volkanovski (70.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -1600 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +800 |
| Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (85.58% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes | Over/under significant strikes | Alexander Volkanovski: No pick recorded; Diego Lopes: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes | Go the distance | Yes (58.95% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes | Method of victory | Decision (47.92% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett | Moneyline | Paddy Pimblett (59.30% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +1500 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -4000 |
| Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (83.00% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -250 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +190 |
| Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett | Over/under significant strikes | Michael Chandler: No pick recorded; Paddy Pimblett: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett | Go the distance | No (56.95% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett | Method of victory | KO/TKO (48.91% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Pitbull | Moneyline | Yair Rodriguez (61.20% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -8500 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +2000 |
| Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Pitbull | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (91.33% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Pitbull | Over/under significant strikes | Yair Rodriguez: No pick recorded; Patricio Pitbull: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Pitbull | Go the distance | No (50.58% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Pitbull | Method of victory | KO/TKO (41.39% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Jean Silva | Moneyline | Jean Silva (74.80% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +300 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -425 |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Jean Silva | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (87.25% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Jean Silva | Over/under significant strikes | Bryce Mitchell: No pick recorded; Jean Silva: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Jean Silva | Go the distance | No (54.10% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Jean Silva | Method of victory | Submission (42.53% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nikita Krylov vs Dominick Reyes | Moneyline | Nikita Krylov (53.88% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -154 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +120 |
| Nikita Krylov vs Dominick Reyes | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5 (78.63% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -135 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +105 |
| Nikita Krylov vs Dominick Reyes | Over/under significant strikes | Nikita Krylov: No pick recorded; Dominick Reyes: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nikita Krylov vs Dominick Reyes | Go the distance | No (66.18% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nikita Krylov vs Dominick Reyes | Method of victory | KO/TKO (66.05% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Dan Ige vs Sean Woodson | Moneyline | Dan Ige (61.33% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +200 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -270 |
| Dan Ige vs Sean Woodson | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (88.93% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Dan Ige vs Sean Woodson | Over/under significant strikes | Dan Ige: No pick recorded; Sean Woodson: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Dan Ige vs Sean Woodson | Go the distance | No (68.90% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Dan Ige vs Sean Woodson | Method of victory | KO/TKO (53.72% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yan Xiaonan vs Virna Jandiroba | Moneyline | Virna Jandiroba (52.13% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +1000 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -2100 |
| Yan Xiaonan vs Virna Jandiroba | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (91.58% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yan Xiaonan vs Virna Jandiroba | Over/under significant strikes | Yan Xiaonan: No pick recorded; Virna Jandiroba: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yan Xiaonan vs Virna Jandiroba | Go the distance | Yes (69.08% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yan Xiaonan vs Virna Jandiroba | Method of victory | Decision (40.45% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jim Miller vs Chase Hooper | Moneyline | Chase Hooper (56.20% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +1000 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -2100 |
| Jim Miller vs Chase Hooper | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (72.53% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -160 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +124 |
| Jim Miller vs Chase Hooper | Over/under significant strikes | Jim Miller: No pick recorded; Chase Hooper: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jim Miller vs Chase Hooper | Go the distance | No (52.68% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jim Miller vs Chase Hooper | Method of victory | Submission (41.67% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Darren Elkins vs Julian Erosa | Moneyline | Julian Erosa (63.45% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +500 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -810 |
| Darren Elkins vs Julian Erosa | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (84.68% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Darren Elkins vs Julian Erosa | Over/under significant strikes | Darren Elkins: No pick recorded; Julian Erosa: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Darren Elkins vs Julian Erosa | Go the distance | No (60.03% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Darren Elkins vs Julian Erosa | Method of victory | KO/TKO (47.46% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk | Moneyline | Michael Oleksiejczuk (52.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +250 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -345 |
| Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (76.13% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -145 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +114 |
| Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk | Over/under significant strikes | Sedriques Dumas: No pick recorded; Michal Oleksiejczuk: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk | Go the distance | No (63.35% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk | Method of victory | Submission (51.18% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sumudaerji vs Mitch Raposo | Moneyline | Mitch Raposo (64.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -345 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +250 |
| Sumudaerji vs Mitch Raposo | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (75.80% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sumudaerji vs Mitch Raposo | Over/under significant strikes | Sumudaerji: No pick recorded; Mitch Raposo: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sumudaerji vs Mitch Raposo | Go the distance | Yes (67.20% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sumudaerji vs Mitch Raposo | Method of victory | Decision (65.00% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tresean Gore vs Marco Tulio | Moneyline | Marco Tulio (72.15% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +400 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -620 |
| Tresean Gore vs Marco Tulio | Over/under rounds | Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -145 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +114 |
| Tresean Gore vs Marco Tulio | Over/under significant strikes | Tresean Gore: No pick recorded; Marco Tulio: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tresean Gore vs Marco Tulio | Go the distance | No (67.63% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tresean Gore vs Marco Tulio | Method of victory | KO/TKO (63.55% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nora Cornolle vs Hailey Cowan | Moneyline | Nora Cornolle (65.10% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +150 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -195 |
| Nora Cornolle vs Hailey Cowan | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (83.80% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nora Cornolle vs Hailey Cowan | Over/under significant strikes | Nora Cornolle: No pick recorded; Hailey Cowan: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nora Cornolle vs Hailey Cowan | Go the distance | Yes (74.13% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nora Cornolle vs Hailey Cowan | Method of victory | KO/TKO (69.20% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett | DraftKings | Michael Chandler | -125 at 2025-02-19T21:01:14.370560-07:00 | +1500 at 2025-04-12T22:18:07.656724-06:00 | 48 |
| Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett | DraftKings | Paddy Pimblett | +105 at 2025-02-19T21:01:14.383958-07:00 | -4000 at 2025-04-12T22:18:07.656724-06:00 | 48 |
| Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Pitbull | DraftKings | Patricio Freire | +164 at 2025-04-05T14:16:57.029478-06:00 | +2000 at 2025-04-12T21:37:44.303125-06:00 | 48 |
| Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Pitbull | DraftKings | Yair Rodriguez | -198 at 2025-04-05T14:16:57.009324-06:00 | -8500 at 2025-04-12T21:37:44.303125-06:00 | 48 |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Jean Silva | DraftKings | Bryce Mitchell | +300 at 2025-02-27T13:05:58.950823-07:00 | +300 at 2025-04-12T20:57:52.399952-06:00 | 48 |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Jean Silva | DraftKings | Jean Silva | -380 at 2025-02-27T13:05:58.959633-07:00 | -425 at 2025-04-12T20:57:52.399952-06:00 | 48 |
| Nikita Krylov vs Dominick Reyes | DraftKings | Dominick Reyes | +160 at 2025-04-05T14:16:57.430794-06:00 | +120 at 2025-04-12T20:22:26.524222-06:00 | 48 |
| Nikita Krylov vs Dominick Reyes | DraftKings | Nikita Krylov | -192 at 2025-04-05T14:16:57.425116-06:00 | -154 at 2025-04-12T20:22:26.524222-06:00 | 48 |
| Dan Ige vs Sean Woodson | DraftKings | Dan Ige | +130 at 2025-04-05T14:16:55.922426-06:00 | +200 at 2025-04-12T19:52:30.608390-06:00 | 48 |
| Dan Ige vs Sean Woodson | DraftKings | Sean Woodson | -155 at 2025-04-05T14:16:55.927758-06:00 | -270 at 2025-04-12T19:52:30.608390-06:00 | 48 |
| Yan Xiaonan vs Virna Jandiroba | DraftKings | Xiaonan Yan | +130 at 2025-04-05T14:17:00.909145-06:00 | +1000 at 2025-04-12T19:23:46.263197-06:00 | 47 |
| Yan Xiaonan vs Virna Jandiroba | DraftKings | Virna Jandiroba | -155 at 2025-04-05T14:17:00.914818-06:00 | -2100 at 2025-04-12T19:23:46.263197-06:00 | 35 |
| Jim Miller vs Chase Hooper | DraftKings | Jim Miller | +500 at 2025-04-05T14:17:00.624205-06:00 | +1000 at 2025-04-12T18:52:36.394321-06:00 | 24 |
| Jim Miller vs Chase Hooper | DraftKings | Chase Hooper | -700 at 2025-04-05T14:17:00.629793-06:00 | -2100 at 2025-04-12T18:52:36.394321-06:00 | 20 |
| Darren Elkins vs Julian Erosa | DraftKings | Julian Erosa | -360 at 2025-04-05T14:16:58.099816-06:00 | -810 at 2025-04-12T18:17:53.901636-06:00 | 48 |
| Darren Elkins vs Julian Erosa | DraftKings | Darren Elkins | +285 at 2025-04-05T14:16:58.090990-06:00 | +500 at 2025-04-12T18:17:53.901636-06:00 | 29 |
| Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk | DraftKings | Michał Oleksiejczuk | -198 at 2025-04-05T14:17:00.307991-06:00 | -345 at 2025-04-12T17:41:58.324369-06:00 | 48 |
| Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk | DraftKings | Sedriques Dumas | +164 at 2025-04-05T14:17:00.301996-06:00 | +250 at 2025-04-12T17:41:58.324369-06:00 | 48 |
| Sumudaerji vs Mitch Raposo | DraftKings | Mitch Raposo | +185 at 2025-04-05T14:16:58.811721-06:00 | +250 at 2025-04-12T17:21:50.220201-06:00 | 48 |
| Sumudaerji vs Mitch Raposo | DraftKings | Su Mudaerji | -225 at 2025-04-05T14:16:58.805078-06:00 | -345 at 2025-04-12T17:21:50.220201-06:00 | 36 |
| Tresean Gore vs Marco Tulio | DraftKings | Tresean Gore | +280 at 2025-04-05T14:21:36.792932-06:00 | +400 at 2025-04-12T16:41:36.013301-06:00 | 36 |
| Tresean Gore vs Marco Tulio | DraftKings | Marco Tulio Silva | -355 at 2025-04-05T14:21:36.802869-06:00 | -620 at 2025-04-12T16:41:36.013301-06:00 | 34 |
| Nora Cornolle vs Hailey Cowan | DraftKings | Nora Cornolle | -198 at 2025-04-05T14:21:34.659151-06:00 | +150 at 2025-04-12T16:21:37.516802-06:00 | 36 |
| Nora Cornolle vs Hailey Cowan | DraftKings | Hailey Cowan | +164 at 2025-04-05T14:21:34.672908-06:00 | -195 at 2025-04-12T16:21:37.516802-06:00 | 34 |