UFC Fight Night Sandhagen vs Figueiredo prediction records
Event date: . 12 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo | Moneyline | Cory Sandhagen (58.05% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -520 DraftKings / blue: +390 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -1150 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +650 |
| Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (88.55% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo | Over/under significant strikes | Cory Sandhagen: Over 110.5 (61.40% confidence); Deiveson Figueiredo: Over 63.5 (56.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -520 DraftKings / blue: +390 |
| Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo | Go the distance | Yes (55.15% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -520 DraftKings / blue: +390 |
| Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo | Method of victory | Decision (39.64% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -520 DraftKings / blue: +390 |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Bo Nickal | Moneyline | Bo Nickal (57.25% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +280 DraftKings / blue: -355 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +140 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -180 |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Bo Nickal | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (76.68% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Bo Nickal | Over/under significant strikes | Reinier de Ridder: Over 22.5 (59.70% confidence); Bo Nickal: Over 34.5 (70.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +280 DraftKings / blue: -355 |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Bo Nickal | Go the distance | No (50.15% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +280 DraftKings / blue: -355 |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Bo Nickal | Method of victory | KO/TKO (74.78% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +280 DraftKings / blue: -355 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Daniel Rodriguez | Moneyline | Santiago Ponzinibbio (59.68% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -142 DraftKings / blue: +120 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -200 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +154 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Daniel Rodriguez | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (88.80% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Daniel Rodriguez | Over/under significant strikes | Santiago Ponzinibbio: Over 69.5 (74.10% confidence); Daniel Rodriguez: Over 77.5 (71.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -142 DraftKings / blue: +120 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Daniel Rodriguez | Go the distance | Yes (68.93% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -142 DraftKings / blue: +120 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Daniel Rodriguez | Method of victory | Decision (42.11% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -142 DraftKings / blue: +120 |
| Montel Jackson vs Daniel Marcos | Moneyline | Daniel Marcos (57.08% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -238 DraftKings / blue: +195 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -1450 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +750 |
| Montel Jackson vs Daniel Marcos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (87.45% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Montel Jackson vs Daniel Marcos | Over/under significant strikes | Montel Jackson: Under 52.5 (58.80% confidence); Daniel Marcos: Over 49.5 (51.89% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -238 DraftKings / blue: +195 |
| Montel Jackson vs Daniel Marcos | Go the distance | Yes (70.10% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -238 DraftKings / blue: +195 |
| Montel Jackson vs Daniel Marcos | Method of victory | KO/TKO (36.24% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -238 DraftKings / blue: +195 |
| Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey | Moneyline | Cameron Smotherman (72.78% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +114 DraftKings / blue: -135 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +1100 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -2500 |
| Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (87.60% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey | Over/under significant strikes | Cameron Smotherman: Under 64.5 (58.90% confidence); Serhiy Sidey: Under 77.5 (72.80% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +114 DraftKings / blue: -135 |
| Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey | Go the distance | Yes (64.75% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +114 DraftKings / blue: -135 |
| Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey | Method of victory | KO/TKO (43.30% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +114 DraftKings / blue: -135 |
| Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones | Moneyline | Mason Jones (63.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +470 DraftKings / blue: -650 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +3000 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -20000 |
| Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (90.88% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones | Over/under significant strikes | Jeremy Stephens: Under 42.5 (77.50% confidence); Mason Jones: Under 52.5 (82.80% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: +470 DraftKings / blue: -650 |
| Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones | Go the distance | No (63.20% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +470 DraftKings / blue: -650 |
| Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones | Method of victory | KO/TKO (43.39% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +470 DraftKings / blue: -650 |
| Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate | Moneyline | Yana Santos (61.18% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +114 DraftKings / blue: -135 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -395 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +280 |
| Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 (97.43% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate | Over/under significant strikes | Yana Santos: Over 40.5 (84.80% confidence); Miesha Tate: Over 39.5 (67.20% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +114 DraftKings / blue: -135 |
| Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate | Go the distance | Yes (64.93% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +114 DraftKings / blue: -135 |
| Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate | Method of victory | Decision (47.34% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +114 DraftKings / blue: -135 |
| Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev | Moneyline | Azamat Bekoev (54.43% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +280 DraftKings / blue: -355 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +280 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -395 |
| Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (78.75% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev | Over/under significant strikes | Ryan Loder: Under 35.5; Azamat Bekoev: Under 49.5 | Correct | DraftKings / red: +280 DraftKings / blue: -355 |
| Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev | Go the distance | No (59.55% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +280 DraftKings / blue: -355 |
| Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev | Method of victory | KO/TKO (59.76% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +280 DraftKings / blue: -355 |
| Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson | Moneyline | Gillian Robertson (53.75% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +210 DraftKings / blue: -258 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +950 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -1950 |
| Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 (95.50% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson | Over/under significant strikes | Marina Rodriguez: Over 36.5 (68.90% confidence); Gillian Robertson: Over 42.5 (63.20% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: +210 DraftKings / blue: -258 |
| Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson | Go the distance | No (57.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +210 DraftKings / blue: -258 |
| Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson | Method of victory | Submission (50.09% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +210 DraftKings / blue: -258 |
| Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le | Moneyline | Gaston Bolanos (61.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -135 DraftKings / blue: +114 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +154 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -200 |
| Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (85.78% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le | Over/under significant strikes | Gaston Bolanos: Over 41.5 (62.30% confidence); Quang Le: Over 54.5 (64.00% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -135 DraftKings / blue: +114 |
| Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le | Go the distance | Yes (68.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -135 DraftKings / blue: +114 |
| Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le | Method of victory | Decision (43.00% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -135 DraftKings / blue: +114 |
| Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes | Moneyline | Thomas Petersen (68.10% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -325 DraftKings / blue: +260 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -100000 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +4000 |
| Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (91.65% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes | Over/under significant strikes | Thomas Petersen: Over 34.5 (72.60% confidence); Don'Tale Mayes: Under 51.5 (57.50% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -325 DraftKings / blue: +260 |
| Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes | Go the distance | No (84.03% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -325 DraftKings / blue: +260 |
| Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes | Method of victory | Decision (43.62% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -325 DraftKings / blue: +260 |
| Juliana Miller vs Ivana Petrović | Moneyline | Ivana Petrović (56.48% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -395 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +280 |
| Juliana Miller vs Ivana Petrović | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (90.73% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Juliana Miller vs Ivana Petrović | Over/under significant strikes | Juliana Miller: Under 29.5 (78.30% confidence); Ivana Petrović: Under 30.5 (76.50% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Juliana Miller vs Ivana Petrović | Go the distance | Yes (59.53% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Juliana Miller vs Ivana Petrović | Method of victory | Decision (49.85% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo | DraftKings | Deiveson Figueiredo | +320 at 2025-04-16T16:33:09.856853-06:00 | +650 at 2025-05-03T22:56:57.928718-06:00 | 48 |
| Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo | DraftKings | Cory Sandhagen | -410 at 2025-04-16T16:33:09.851911-06:00 | -1150 at 2025-05-03T22:56:57.928718-06:00 | 37 |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Bo Nickal | DraftKings | Bo Nickal | -205 at 2025-03-13T14:07:23.205899-06:00 | -180 at 2025-05-03T22:30:00.805279-06:00 | 48 |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Bo Nickal | DraftKings | Reinier de Ridder | +170 at 2025-03-13T14:07:23.201112-06:00 | +140 at 2025-05-03T22:30:00.805279-06:00 | 48 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Daniel Rodriguez | DraftKings | Daniel Rodriguez | -130 at 2025-04-16T15:32:04.648605-06:00 | +154 at 2025-05-03T22:07:32.912873-06:00 | 36 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Daniel Rodriguez | DraftKings | Santiago Ponzinibbio | +110 at 2025-04-16T15:32:04.644053-06:00 | -200 at 2025-05-03T22:07:32.912873-06:00 | 28 |
| Montel Jackson vs Daniel Marcos | DraftKings | Daniel Marcos | +170 at 2025-04-16T15:32:04.070444-06:00 | +750 at 2025-05-03T21:37:31.396014-06:00 | 48 |
| Montel Jackson vs Daniel Marcos | DraftKings | Montel Jackson | -205 at 2025-04-16T15:32:04.066001-06:00 | -1450 at 2025-05-03T21:37:31.396014-06:00 | 37 |
| Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey | DraftKings | Serhiy Sidey | -135 at 2025-04-16T15:21:52.876999-06:00 | -2500 at 2025-05-03T21:09:18.323231-06:00 | 48 |
| Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey | DraftKings | Cameron Smotherman | +114 at 2025-04-16T15:21:52.871744-06:00 | +1100 at 2025-05-03T21:09:18.323231-06:00 | 44 |
| Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones | DraftKings | Jeremy Stephens | +340 at 2025-04-16T15:32:04.916382-06:00 | +3000 at 2025-05-03T20:43:55.937784-06:00 | 48 |
| Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones | DraftKings | Mason Jones | -440 at 2025-04-16T15:32:04.920842-06:00 | -20000 at 2025-05-03T20:43:55.937784-06:00 | 28 |
| Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate | DraftKings | Miesha Tate | -110 at 2025-04-16T15:21:53.933000-06:00 | +280 at 2025-05-03T19:56:51.678428-06:00 | 48 |
| Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate | DraftKings | Yana Santos | -110 at 2025-04-16T15:21:53.928624-06:00 | -395 at 2025-05-03T19:56:51.678428-06:00 | 41 |
| Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev | DraftKings | Azamat Bekoev | -230 at 2025-04-16T15:21:51.561604-06:00 | -395 at 2025-05-03T19:13:41.147069-06:00 | 48 |
| Ryan Loder vs Azamat Bekoev | DraftKings | Ryan Loder | +190 at 2025-04-16T15:21:51.566674-06:00 | +280 at 2025-05-03T19:13:41.147069-06:00 | 36 |
| Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson | DraftKings | Gillian Robertson | -298 at 2025-04-16T15:21:52.541094-06:00 | -1950 at 2025-05-03T18:52:38.304490-06:00 | 34 |
| Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson | DraftKings | Marina Rodriguez | +240 at 2025-04-16T15:21:52.536846-06:00 | +950 at 2025-05-03T18:52:38.304490-06:00 | 33 |
| Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le | DraftKings | Quang Le | +180 at 2025-04-16T15:27:19.920911-06:00 | -200 at 2025-05-03T18:27:09.023909-06:00 | 48 |
| Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le | DraftKings | Gaston Bolanos | -218 at 2025-04-16T15:27:19.915335-06:00 | +154 at 2025-05-03T18:27:09.023909-06:00 | 30 |
| Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes | DraftKings | Dontale Mayes | +220 at 2025-04-16T15:21:53.635913-06:00 | +4000 at 2025-05-03T18:11:47.942702-06:00 | 48 |
| Thomas Petersen vs Don'Tale Mayes | DraftKings | Thomas Peterson | -270 at 2025-04-16T15:21:53.641204-06:00 | -100000 at 2025-05-03T18:11:47.942702-06:00 | 24 |
| Juliana Miller vs Ivana Petrović | DraftKings | Ivana Petrovic | -310 at 2025-04-16T15:21:53.344238-06:00 | +280 at 2025-05-03T17:42:08.458465-06:00 | 48 |
| Juliana Miller vs Ivana Petrović | DraftKings | Juliana Miller | +250 at 2025-04-16T15:21:53.338032-06:00 | -395 at 2025-05-03T17:42:08.458465-06:00 | 48 |