UFC 316 Dvalishvili vs Omalley prediction records
Event date: . 13 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili vs Sean O'Malley | Moneyline | Merab Dvalishvili (68.80% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -285 DraftKings / blue: +230 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -500 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +340 |
| Merab Dvalishvili vs Sean O'Malley | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 (81.18% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Merab Dvalishvili vs Sean O'Malley | Over/under significant strikes | Merab Dvalishvili: Under 72.5 (60.80% confidence); Sean O'Malley: Over 78.5 (64.50% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -285 DraftKings / blue: +230 |
| Merab Dvalishvili vs Sean O'Malley | Go the distance | Yes (82.28% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -285 DraftKings / blue: +230 |
| Merab Dvalishvili vs Sean O'Malley | Method of victory | Decision (50.63% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -285 DraftKings / blue: +230 |
| Julianna Peña vs Kayla Harrison | Moneyline | Kayla Harrison (58.58% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +575 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -950 |
| Julianna Peña vs Kayla Harrison | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 (82.00% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Julianna Peña vs Kayla Harrison | Over/under significant strikes | Julianna Peña: Over 43.5 (73.40% confidence); Kayla Harrison: Over 61.5 (65.60% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Julianna Peña vs Kayla Harrison | Go the distance | No (78.75% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Julianna Peña vs Kayla Harrison | Method of victory | Submission (54.89% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer | Moneyline | Joe Pyfer (69.58% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +300 DraftKings / blue: -380 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +1100 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -2500 |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (85.80% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer | Over/under significant strikes | Kelvin Gastelum: Under 43.5 (63.90% confidence); Joe Pyfer: Over 48.5 (66.00% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: +300 DraftKings / blue: -380 |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer | Go the distance | Yes (83.43% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +300 DraftKings / blue: -380 |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer | Method of victory | Decision (54.94% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +300 DraftKings / blue: -380 |
| Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix | Moneyline | Patchy Mix (82.10% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -180 DraftKings / blue: +150 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -10000 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +2200 |
| Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (75.90% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix | Over/under significant strikes | Mario Bautista: Under 49.5 (81.00% confidence); Patchy Mix: Under 52.5 (71.30% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -180 DraftKings / blue: +150 |
| Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix | Go the distance | No (83.20% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -180 DraftKings / blue: +150 |
| Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix | Method of victory | Submission (58.30% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -180 DraftKings / blue: +150 |
| Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland | Moneyline | Vicente Luque (63.10% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +220 DraftKings / blue: -270 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +500 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -810 |
| Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (84.85% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -210 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +160 |
| Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland | Over/under significant strikes | Vicente Luque: Over 41.5 (65.95% confidence); Kevin Holland: Under 50.5 (77.16% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: +220 DraftKings / blue: -270 |
| Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland | Go the distance | No (79.95% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +220 DraftKings / blue: -270 |
| Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland | Method of victory | Decision (48.47% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +220 DraftKings / blue: -270 |
| Bruno Silva vs Joshua Van | Moneyline | Joshua Van (54.20% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +470 DraftKings / blue: -650 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +2200 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -10000 |
| Bruno Silva vs Joshua Van | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (80.68% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bruno Silva vs Joshua Van | Over/under significant strikes | Bruno Silva: Over 55.5 (60.10% confidence); Joshua Van: Over 45.5 (63.98% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +470 DraftKings / blue: -650 |
| Bruno Silva vs Joshua Van | Go the distance | Yes (71.88% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +470 DraftKings / blue: -650 |
| Bruno Silva vs Joshua Van | Method of victory | Decision (61.25% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +470 DraftKings / blue: -650 |
| Azamat Murzakanov vs Brendson Ribeiro | Moneyline | Azamat Murzakanov (63.35% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +455 DraftKings / blue: -625 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -720 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +450 |
| Azamat Murzakanov vs Brendson Ribeiro | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (79.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +120 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -154 |
| Azamat Murzakanov vs Brendson Ribeiro | Over/under significant strikes | Azamat Murzakanov: Under 27.5 (57.60% confidence); Brendson Ribeiro: Over 17.5 (53.40% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: +455 DraftKings / blue: -625 |
| Azamat Murzakanov vs Brendson Ribeiro | Go the distance | No (63.53% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +455 DraftKings / blue: -625 |
| Azamat Murzakanov vs Brendson Ribeiro | Method of victory | KO/TKO (56.35% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +455 DraftKings / blue: -625 |
| Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | Moneyline | Serghei Spivac (59.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +340 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -500 |
| Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5 (79.73% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | Over/under significant strikes | Serghei Spivac: Under 31.5 (67.10% confidence); Waldo Cortes Acosta: Under 46.5 (59.10% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | Go the distance | No (80.83% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | Method of victory | Submission (39.71% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Khaos Williams vs Andreas Gustafsson | Moneyline | Khaos Williams (72.73% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +4000 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -100000 |
| Khaos Williams vs Andreas Gustafsson | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (68.25% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -215 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +165 |
| Khaos Williams vs Andreas Gustafsson | Over/under significant strikes | Khaos Williams: Over 34.5 (70.00% confidence); Andreas Gustafsson: Under 32.5 (63.25% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Khaos Williams vs Andreas Gustafsson | Go the distance | No (50.38% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Khaos Williams vs Andreas Gustafsson | Method of victory | KO/TKO (55.11% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ariane da Silva vs Wang Cong | Moneyline | Wang Cong (84.08% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +2000 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -8500 |
| Ariane da Silva vs Wang Cong | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (84.78% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ariane da Silva vs Wang Cong | Over/under significant strikes | Ariane da Silva: Over 39.5 (79.85% confidence); Wang Cong: Over 60.5 (68.50% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ariane da Silva vs Wang Cong | Go the distance | Yes (81.43% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ariane da Silva vs Wang Cong | Method of victory | Decision (42.59% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jeka Saragih vs JooSang Yoo | Moneyline | Joo Sang Yoo (82.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +440 DraftKings / blue: -600 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +390 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -520 |
| Jeka Saragih vs JooSang Yoo | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (75.45% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -130 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +100 |
| Jeka Saragih vs JooSang Yoo | Over/under significant strikes | Jeka Saragih: Under 19.5 (52.45% confidence); JooSang Yoo: Under 33.5 (58.15% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +440 DraftKings / blue: -600 |
| Jeka Saragih vs JooSang Yoo | Go the distance | No (78.40% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +440 DraftKings / blue: -600 |
| Jeka Saragih vs JooSang Yoo | Method of victory | KO/TKO (47.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +440 DraftKings / blue: -600 |
| Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmouz | Moneyline | Quillan Salkilld (60.95% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -3500 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +1400 |
| Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmouz | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (57.00% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmouz | Over/under significant strikes | Quillan Salkilld: Under 55.5 (64.80% confidence); Yanal Ashmouz: Under 36.5 (57.30% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmouz | Go the distance | No (89.98% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmouz | Method of victory | KO/TKO (53.90% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski | Moneyline | MarQuel Mederos (72.00% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -205 DraftKings / blue: +170 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -8500 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +2000 |
| MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (79.50% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski | Over/under significant strikes | MarQuel Mederos: Over 45.5 (55.20% confidence); Mark Choinski: Over 50.5 (54.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -205 DraftKings / blue: +170 |
| MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski | Go the distance | Yes (67.35% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -205 DraftKings / blue: +170 |
| MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski | Method of victory | Decision (61.45% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -205 DraftKings / blue: +170 |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili vs Sean O'Malley | DraftKings | Merab Dvalishvili | -285 at 2025-04-16T04:33:07.246534-06:00 | -500 at 2025-06-07T22:55:44.375503-06:00 | 48 |
| Merab Dvalishvili vs Sean O'Malley | DraftKings | Sean O'Malley | +230 at 2025-04-16T04:33:07.251847-06:00 | +340 at 2025-06-07T22:55:44.375503-06:00 | 48 |
| Julianna Peña vs Kayla Harrison | DraftKings | Julianna Pena | +440 at 2025-04-16T04:33:10.107304-06:00 | +575 at 2025-06-07T22:11:03.624511-06:00 | 26 |
| Julianna Peña vs Kayla Harrison | DraftKings | Kayla Harrison | -600 at 2025-04-16T04:33:10.143254-06:00 | -950 at 2025-06-07T22:11:03.624511-06:00 | 26 |
| Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland | DraftKings | Kevin Holland | -180 at 2025-05-17T15:52:30.602497-06:00 | -810 at 2025-06-07T20:25:40.235469-06:00 | 27 |
| Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland | DraftKings | Vicente Luque | +150 at 2025-05-17T15:52:30.598859-06:00 | +500 at 2025-06-07T20:25:40.235469-06:00 | 25 |
| Bruno Silva vs Joshua Van | DraftKings | Bruno Silva | +410 at 2025-05-31T15:35:36.511536-06:00 | +2200 at 2025-06-07T19:50:45.016679-06:00 | 15 |
| Bruno Silva vs Joshua Van | DraftKings | Josh Van | -550 at 2025-05-31T15:35:36.518154-06:00 | -10000 at 2025-06-07T19:50:45.016679-06:00 | 15 |
| Azamat Murzakanov vs Brendson Ribeiro | DraftKings | Brendson Ribeiro | +330 at 2025-05-17T15:52:29.425415-06:00 | +450 at 2025-06-07T19:16:53.090280-06:00 | 42 |
| Azamat Murzakanov vs Brendson Ribeiro | DraftKings | Azamat Murzakanov | -425 at 2025-05-17T15:52:29.419732-06:00 | -720 at 2025-06-07T19:16:53.090280-06:00 | 25 |
| Khaos Williams vs Andreas Gustafsson | DraftKings | Andreas Gustafsson Berg | +164 at 2025-06-01T14:10:59.290331-06:00 | -100000 at 2025-06-07T18:31:07.142482-06:00 | 24 |
| Khaos Williams vs Andreas Gustafsson | DraftKings | Khaos Williams | -198 at 2025-06-01T14:10:59.283637-06:00 | +4000 at 2025-06-07T18:31:07.142482-06:00 | 24 |
| Ariane da Silva vs Wang Cong | DraftKings | Ariane Lipski | +275 at 2025-06-01T14:26:15.042645-06:00 | +2000 at 2025-06-07T17:50:37.979626-06:00 | 19 |
| Ariane da Silva vs Wang Cong | DraftKings | Cong Wang | -345 at 2025-06-01T14:26:15.048880-06:00 | -8500 at 2025-06-07T17:50:37.979626-06:00 | 19 |
| Jeka Saragih vs JooSang Yoo | DraftKings | Joo Sang Yoo | -345 at 2025-05-17T15:52:31.265043-06:00 | -520 at 2025-06-07T15:45:37.337341-06:00 | 48 |
| Jeka Saragih vs JooSang Yoo | DraftKings | Jeka Asparido Saragih | +275 at 2025-05-17T15:52:31.269693-06:00 | +390 at 2025-06-07T15:45:37.337341-06:00 | 22 |
| Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmouz | DraftKings | Yanal Ashmuz | +230 at 2025-05-22T05:53:41.977327-06:00 | +1400 at 2025-06-07T17:01:06.295104-06:00 | 48 |
| Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmouz | DraftKings | Quillan Salkilld | -285 at 2025-05-22T05:53:41.973643-06:00 | -3500 at 2025-06-07T17:01:06.295104-06:00 | 37 |
| MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski | DraftKings | Mark Choinski | +240 at 2025-06-01T14:21:00.637060-06:00 | +2000 at 2025-06-07T16:30:49.632675-06:00 | 22 |
| MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski | DraftKings | Marquel Mederos | -298 at 2025-06-01T14:21:00.633090-06:00 | -8500 at 2025-06-07T16:30:49.632675-06:00 | 22 |