UFC Fight Night Whittaker vs De Ridder prediction records
Event date: . 12 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker vs Reinier de Ridder | Moneyline | Robert Whittaker (63.70% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +136 DraftKings / blue: -162 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -162 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +120 |
| Robert Whittaker vs Reinier de Ridder | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (63.70% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Robert Whittaker vs Reinier de Ridder | Over/under significant strikes | Robert Whittaker: Over 58.5 (61.90% confidence); Reinier de Ridder: Under 41.5 (60.24% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: +136 DraftKings / blue: -162 |
| Robert Whittaker vs Reinier de Ridder | Go the distance | No (74.80% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +136 DraftKings / blue: -162 |
| Robert Whittaker vs Reinier de Ridder | Method of victory | KO/TKO (72.30% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +136 DraftKings / blue: -162 |
| Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee | Moneyline | Petr Yan (55.40% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +300 DraftKings / blue: -380 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -410 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +320 |
| Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (55.40% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: +300 DraftKings / blue: -380 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -20000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1200 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -700 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +425 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -305 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +250 |
| Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee | Over/under significant strikes | Petr Yan: Over 79.5 (58.60% confidence); Marcus McGhee: Under 66.5 (60.46% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +300 DraftKings / blue: -380 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 77.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 77.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 62.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 62.5 / under: -115 |
| Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee | Go the distance | No (57.70% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +300 DraftKings / blue: -380 DraftKings / distance / yes: -275 DraftKings / distance / no: +235 |
| Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee | Method of victory | KO/TKO (60.55% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +300 DraftKings / blue: -380 DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +750 DraftKings / method / Decision: +400 DraftKings / method / Submission: +420 |
| Shara Magomedov vs Marc-Andre Barriault | Moneyline | Shara Magomedov (78.27% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -650 DraftKings / blue: +470 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -700 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +500 |
| Shara Magomedov vs Marc-Andre Barriault | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (81.45% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Shara Magomedov vs Marc-Andre Barriault | Over/under significant strikes | Shara Magomedov: Over 64.5 (57.85% confidence); Marc-Andre Barriault: Under 56.5 (60.18% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -650 DraftKings / blue: +470 |
| Shara Magomedov vs Marc-Andre Barriault | Go the distance | No (79.66% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -650 DraftKings / blue: +470 |
| Shara Magomedov vs Marc-Andre Barriault | Method of victory | KO/TKO (77.80% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -650 DraftKings / blue: +470 |
| Asu Almabayev vs Jose Ochoa | Moneyline | Asu Almabayev (57.35% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -102 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -118 |
| Asu Almabayev vs Jose Ochoa | Over/under rounds | Under 2.5 (57.35% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Asu Almabayev vs Jose Ochoa | Over/under significant strikes | Asu Almabayev: Under 36.5 (62.40% confidence); Jose Ochoa: Over 41.5 (50.27% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Asu Almabayev vs Jose Ochoa | Go the distance | No (53.10% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Asu Almabayev vs Jose Ochoa | Method of victory | KO/TKO (62.45% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov | Moneyline | Nikita Krylov (66.80% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -192 DraftKings / blue: +160 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -198 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +164 |
| Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (66.80% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov | Over/under significant strikes | Nikita Krylov: Over 20.5 (60.41% confidence); Bogdan Guskov: Over 15.5 (54.26% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -192 DraftKings / blue: +160 |
| Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov | Go the distance | Yes (51.20% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -192 DraftKings / blue: +160 |
| Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov | Method of victory | Decision (67.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -192 DraftKings / blue: +160 |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Said Nurmagomedov | Moneyline | Bryce Mitchell (54.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +110 DraftKings / blue: -130 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -142 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +120 |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Said Nurmagomedov | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (54.85% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Said Nurmagomedov | Over/under significant strikes | Bryce Mitchell: Under 35.5 (62.75% confidence); Said Nurmagomedov: Over 34.5 (55.40% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: +110 DraftKings / blue: -130 |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Said Nurmagomedov | Go the distance | Yes (49.20% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +110 DraftKings / blue: -130 |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Said Nurmagomedov | Method of victory | Decision (62.15% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +110 DraftKings / blue: -130 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Carlos Leal | Moneyline | Muslim Salikhov (79.60% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -470 DraftKings / blue: +360 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +350 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -455 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Carlos Leal | Over/under rounds | Under 2.5 (79.60% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Carlos Leal | Over/under significant strikes | Muslim Salikhov: Over 34.5 (55.65% confidence); Carlos Leal: Under 54.5 (64.46% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -470 DraftKings / blue: +360 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Carlos Leal | Go the distance | No (73.90% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -470 DraftKings / blue: +360 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Carlos Leal | Method of victory | Submission (80.20% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -470 DraftKings / blue: +360 |
| Davey Grant vs Da'Mon Blackshear | Moneyline | Davey Grant (70.25% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -340 DraftKings / blue: +270 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +240 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -298 |
| Davey Grant vs Da'Mon Blackshear | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (70.25% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Davey Grant vs Da'Mon Blackshear | Over/under significant strikes | Davey Grant: Under 67.5 (60.95% confidence); Da'Mon Blackshear: Over 48.5 (57.83% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -340 DraftKings / blue: +270 |
| Davey Grant vs Da'Mon Blackshear | Go the distance | Yes (53.79% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -340 DraftKings / blue: +270 |
| Davey Grant vs Da'Mon Blackshear | Method of victory | Decision (69.75% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -340 DraftKings / blue: +270 |
| Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci | Moneyline | Tabatha Ricci (58.40% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -185 DraftKings / blue: +154 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -170 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +142 |
| Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (58.40% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci | Over/under significant strikes | Amanda Ribas: Under 69.5 (58.82% confidence); Tabatha Ricci: Under 58.5 (57.29% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -185 DraftKings / blue: +154 |
| Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci | Go the distance | Yes (81.90% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -185 DraftKings / blue: +154 |
| Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci | Method of victory | Decision (55.90% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -185 DraftKings / blue: +154 |
| Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana | Moneyline | Ibo Aslan (70.16% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -270 DraftKings / blue: +220 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -278 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +225 |
| Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (68.10% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana | Over/under significant strikes | Ibo Aslan: Over 29.5 (56.10% confidence); Billy Elekana: Under 19.5 (59.76% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -270 DraftKings / blue: +220 |
| Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana | Go the distance | Yes (51.50% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -270 DraftKings / blue: +220 |
| Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana | Method of victory | Decision (70.35% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -270 DraftKings / blue: +220 |
| Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen | Moneyline | Steven Nguyen (61.90% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -345 DraftKings / blue: +275 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +250 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -310 |
| Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (61.90% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen | Over/under significant strikes | Mohammad Yahya: Under 35.5 (65.07% confidence); Steven Nguyen: Over 57.5 (65.74% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -345 DraftKings / blue: +275 |
| Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen | Go the distance | Yes (56.10% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -345 DraftKings / blue: +275 |
| Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen | Method of victory | Decision (63.25% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -345 DraftKings / blue: +275 |
| Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha | Moneyline | Martin Buday (52.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +250 DraftKings / blue: -310 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +200 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -245 |
| Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 (52.70% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha | Over/under significant strikes | Martin Buday: Under 35.5 (62.35% confidence); Marcus Buchecha: Under 45.5 (59.41% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: +250 DraftKings / blue: -310 |
| Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha | Go the distance | Yes (57.91% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +250 DraftKings / blue: -310 |
| Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha | Method of victory | Decision (51.10% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +250 DraftKings / blue: -310 |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker vs Reinier de Ridder | DraftKings | Robert Whittaker | -162 at 2025-06-01T15:16:16.037616-06:00 | -162 at 2025-07-26T13:55:46.048268-06:00 | 25 |
| Robert Whittaker vs Reinier de Ridder | DraftKings | Reinier de Ridder | +136 at 2025-06-01T15:16:16.045235-06:00 | +120 at 2025-07-26T13:55:46.048268-06:00 | 3 |
| Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee | DraftKings | Marcus McGhee | +290 at 2025-06-24T08:20:19.860290-06:00 | +320 at 2025-07-26T14:56:09.590156-06:00 | 36 |
| Petr Yan vs Marcus McGhee | DraftKings | Petr Yan | -410 at 2025-06-24T08:20:19.715115-06:00 | -410 at 2025-07-26T14:56:09.590124-06:00 | 36 |
| Asu Almabayev vs Jose Ochoa | DraftKings | Asu Almabaev | -105 at 2025-07-19T15:48:00.796688-06:00 | -102 at 2025-07-26T10:58:28.904398-06:00 | 30 |
| Asu Almabayev vs Jose Ochoa | DraftKings | Jose Ochoa | -115 at 2025-07-19T15:48:00.796736-06:00 | -118 at 2025-07-26T10:58:28.904433-06:00 | 30 |
| Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov | DraftKings | Bogdan Guskov | +142 at 2025-07-12T05:45:45.721528-06:00 | +164 at 2025-07-26T12:27:36.876752-06:00 | 20 |
| Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov | DraftKings | Nikita Krylov | -170 at 2025-07-12T05:45:45.721485-06:00 | -198 at 2025-07-26T12:27:36.876675-06:00 | 20 |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Said Nurmagomedov | DraftKings | Bryce Mitchell | +105 at 2025-07-19T15:48:00.799596-06:00 | -142 at 2025-07-26T11:57:56.723241-06:00 | 20 |
| Bryce Mitchell vs Said Nurmagomedov | DraftKings | Said Nurmagomedov | -125 at 2025-07-19T15:48:00.799646-06:00 | +120 at 2025-07-26T11:57:56.723271-06:00 | 20 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Carlos Leal | DraftKings | Carlos Leal | -345 at 2025-07-12T05:45:45.719493-06:00 | -455 at 2025-07-26T12:27:36.864664-06:00 | 20 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Carlos Leal | DraftKings | Muslim Salikhov | +275 at 2025-07-12T05:45:45.719450-06:00 | +350 at 2025-07-26T12:27:36.864617-06:00 | 20 |
| Davey Grant vs Da'Mon Blackshear | DraftKings | Da'Mon Blackshear | -250 at 2025-07-12T05:45:45.718211-06:00 | -298 at 2025-07-26T11:57:56.715379-06:00 | 19 |
| Davey Grant vs Da'Mon Blackshear | DraftKings | Davey Grant | +205 at 2025-07-12T05:45:45.718166-06:00 | +240 at 2025-07-26T11:57:56.715346-06:00 | 19 |
| Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci | DraftKings | Amanda Ribas | -148 at 2025-07-19T15:48:00.793492-06:00 | -170 at 2025-07-26T09:58:25.891899-06:00 | 11 |
| Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci | DraftKings | Tabatha Ricci | +124 at 2025-07-19T15:48:00.793539-06:00 | +142 at 2025-07-26T09:58:25.891928-06:00 | 11 |
| Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana | DraftKings | Billy Elekana | +215 at 2025-07-19T15:48:00.790900-06:00 | +225 at 2025-07-26T10:29:40.642093-06:00 | 14 |
| Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana | DraftKings | Ibo Aslan | -265 at 2025-07-19T15:48:00.790844-06:00 | -278 at 2025-07-26T10:29:40.642049-06:00 | 14 |
| Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen | DraftKings | Mohammad Yahya | +275 at 2025-07-23T13:55:51.677964-06:00 | +250 at 2025-07-26T09:58:25.883062-06:00 | 11 |
| Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen | DraftKings | Steven Nguyen | -345 at 2025-07-23T13:55:51.678054-06:00 | -310 at 2025-07-26T09:58:25.883092-06:00 | 11 |
| Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha | DraftKings | Marcus Buchecha | -205 at 2025-07-12T05:45:45.716859-06:00 | -245 at 2025-07-26T09:27:43.483880-06:00 | 19 |
| Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha | DraftKings | Martin Buday | +170 at 2025-07-12T05:45:45.716778-06:00 | +200 at 2025-07-26T09:27:43.483847-06:00 | 19 |