UFC Fight Night Taira vs Park prediction records
Event date: . 12 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatsuro Taira vs HyunSung Park | Moneyline | HyunSung Park (54.68% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -360 DraftKings / blue: +285 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -325 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +260 |
| Tatsuro Taira vs HyunSung Park | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 (76.38% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tatsuro Taira vs HyunSung Park | Over/under significant strikes | Tatsuro Taira: Under 74.5 (66.30% confidence); HyunSung Park: Under 78.5 (65.40% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -360 DraftKings / blue: +285 |
| Tatsuro Taira vs HyunSung Park | Go the distance | Yes (83.32% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -360 DraftKings / blue: +285 |
| Tatsuro Taira vs HyunSung Park | Method of victory | Decision (56.28% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -360 DraftKings / blue: +285 |
| Mateusz Rębecki vs Chris Duncan | Moneyline | Mateusz Rębecki (53.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -245 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +200 |
| Mateusz Rębecki vs Chris Duncan | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (70.38% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mateusz Rębecki vs Chris Duncan | Over/under significant strikes | Mateusz Rębecki: Over 68.5 (60.36% confidence); Chris Duncan: Over 72.5 (59.90% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mateusz Rębecki vs Chris Duncan | Go the distance | Yes (81.25% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mateusz Rębecki vs Chris Duncan | Method of victory | Decision (41.08% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics | Moneyline | Esteban Ribovics (73.80% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +195 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -238 |
| Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5 (73.80% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics | Over/under significant strikes | Elves Brener: Over 70.5 (61.85% confidence); Esteban Ribovics: Over 73.5 (60.20% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics | Go the distance | Yes (85.76% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics | Method of victory | Decision (41.38% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle | Moneyline | Nora Cornolle (54.03% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -205 DraftKings / blue: +170 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -162 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +136 |
| Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (54.03% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle | Over/under significant strikes | Karol Rosa: Over 87.5 (60.08% confidence); Nora Cornolle: Under 75.5 (59.80% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -205 DraftKings / blue: +170 |
| Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle | Go the distance | Yes (81.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -205 DraftKings / blue: +170 |
| Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle | Method of victory | Decision (50.80% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -205 DraftKings / blue: +170 |
| Neil Magny vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Moneyline | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (61.00% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +130 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -155 |
| Neil Magny vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 (61.00% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Neil Magny vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Over/under significant strikes | Neil Magny: Over 95.5 (65.28% confidence); Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Over 82.5 (60.25% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Neil Magny vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Go the distance | Yes (86.58% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Neil Magny vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Method of victory | Decision (62.43% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Danny Silva vs Kevin Vallejos | Moneyline | Kevin Vallejos (72.40% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -425 DraftKings / blue: +330 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +300 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -380 |
| Danny Silva vs Kevin Vallejos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (74.55% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Danny Silva vs Kevin Vallejos | Over/under significant strikes | Danny Silva: Under 48.5 (58.20% confidence); Kevin Vallejos: Under 42.5 (57.03% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -425 DraftKings / blue: +330 |
| Danny Silva vs Kevin Vallejos | Go the distance | No (72.65% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -425 DraftKings / blue: +330 |
| Danny Silva vs Kevin Vallejos | Method of victory | KO/TKO (42.77% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -425 DraftKings / blue: +330 |
| Rinya Nakamura vs Nathan Fletcher | Moneyline | Rinya Nakamura (58.90% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -425 DraftKings / blue: +330 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -345 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +275 |
| Rinya Nakamura vs Nathan Fletcher | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (80.00% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -3500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +900 |
| Rinya Nakamura vs Nathan Fletcher | Over/under significant strikes | Rinya Nakamura: Under 76.5 (62.05% confidence); Nathan Fletcher: Over 70.5 (56.92% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -425 DraftKings / blue: +330 |
| Rinya Nakamura vs Nathan Fletcher | Go the distance | Yes (85.15% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -425 DraftKings / blue: +330 |
| Rinya Nakamura vs Nathan Fletcher | Method of victory | Decision (41.48% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -425 DraftKings / blue: +330 |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore | Moneyline | Rodolfo Vieira (58.53% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -218 DraftKings / blue: +180 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -258 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +210 |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (76.00% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore | Over/under significant strikes | Rodolfo Vieira: Over 40.5 (58.10% confidence); Tresean Gore: Under 36.5 (52.40% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -218 DraftKings / blue: +180 |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore | Go the distance | No (69.90% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -218 DraftKings / blue: +180 |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore | Method of victory | Submission (37.63% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -218 DraftKings / blue: +180 |
| Nick Klein vs Andrey Pulyaev | Moneyline | Nick Klein (62.63% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +130 DraftKings / blue: -155 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +110 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -130 |
| Nick Klein vs Andrey Pulyaev | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (75.25% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1100 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +550 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -200 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +154 |
| Nick Klein vs Andrey Pulyaev | Over/under significant strikes | Nick Klein: Under 42.5 (56.08% confidence); Andrey Pulyaev: Under 45.5 (55.51% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +130 DraftKings / blue: -155 |
| Nick Klein vs Andrey Pulyaev | Go the distance | No (53.88% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +130 DraftKings / blue: -155 |
| Nick Klein vs Andrey Pulyaev | Method of victory | Submission (48.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +130 DraftKings / blue: -155 |
| Austin Bashi vs John Yannis | Moneyline | Austin Bashi (71.20% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -675 DraftKings / blue: +490 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -900 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +600 |
| Austin Bashi vs John Yannis | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (54.65% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Austin Bashi vs John Yannis | Over/under significant strikes | Austin Bashi: Under 52.5 (60.45% confidence); John Yannis: Under 47.5 (55.18% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -675 DraftKings / blue: +490 |
| Austin Bashi vs John Yannis | Go the distance | No (55.00% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -675 DraftKings / blue: +490 |
| Austin Bashi vs John Yannis | Method of victory | Submission (46.55% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -675 DraftKings / blue: +490 |
| Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes | Moneyline | Rafael Estevam (89.11% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -550 DraftKings / blue: +410 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -850 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +575 |
| Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (65.33% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes | Over/under significant strikes | Rafael Estevam: Over 78.5 (63.50% confidence); Felipe Bunes: Over 70.5 (58.49% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -550 DraftKings / blue: +410 |
| Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes | Go the distance | Yes (74.33% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -550 DraftKings / blue: +410 |
| Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes | Method of victory | Decision (51.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -550 DraftKings / blue: +410 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza | Moneyline | Piera Rodriguez (56.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -225 DraftKings / blue: +185 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -258 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +210 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (68.16% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza | Over/under significant strikes | Piera Rodriguez: Over 57.5 (61.46% confidence); Ketlen Souza: Over 55.5 (57.86% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -225 DraftKings / blue: +185 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza | Go the distance | Yes (53.73% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -225 DraftKings / blue: +185 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza | Method of victory | Decision (53.73% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -225 DraftKings / blue: +185 |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatsuro Taira vs HyunSung Park | DraftKings | Hyun Sung Park | +190 at 2025-07-28T19:14:02.728044-06:00 | +260 at 2025-08-02T20:29:45.708671-06:00 | 16 |
| Tatsuro Taira vs HyunSung Park | DraftKings | Tatsuro Taira | -250 at 2025-07-28T19:14:02.727966-06:00 | -325 at 2025-08-02T20:29:45.708632-06:00 | 16 |
| Mateusz Rębecki vs Chris Duncan | DraftKings | Chris Duncan | +170 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.578290-06:00 | +200 at 2025-08-02T21:31:21.151983-06:00 | 13 |
| Mateusz Rębecki vs Chris Duncan | DraftKings | Mateusz Rębecki | -205 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.578335-06:00 | -245 at 2025-08-02T21:31:21.151937-06:00 | 13 |
| Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics | DraftKings | Elves Brenner | +220 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.582970-06:00 | +195 at 2025-08-02T16:59:46.831818-06:00 | 21 |
| Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics | DraftKings | Esteban Ribovics | -270 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.582924-06:00 | -238 at 2025-08-02T16:59:46.831849-06:00 | 21 |
| Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle | DraftKings | Karol Rosa | -166 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.579638-06:00 | -162 at 2025-08-02T20:29:45.696734-06:00 | 14 |
| Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle | DraftKings | Nora Cornolle | +140 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.579683-06:00 | +136 at 2025-08-02T20:29:45.696768-06:00 | 14 |
| Neil Magny vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | DraftKings | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | -218 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.584956-06:00 | -155 at 2025-08-02T19:58:51.148989-06:00 | 13 |
| Neil Magny vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | DraftKings | Neil Magny | +180 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.584911-06:00 | +130 at 2025-08-02T19:58:51.148956-06:00 | 13 |
| Danny Silva vs Kevin Vallejos | DraftKings | Danny Silva | +350 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.581061-06:00 | +300 at 2025-08-02T19:30:39.235922-06:00 | 9 |
| Danny Silva vs Kevin Vallejos | DraftKings | Kevin Vallejos | -455 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.581106-06:00 | -380 at 2025-08-02T19:30:39.235956-06:00 | 9 |
| Rinya Nakamura vs Nathan Fletcher | DraftKings | Nathan Fletcher | +330 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.592054-06:00 | +275 at 2025-08-02T17:29:33.844109-06:00 | 5 |
| Rinya Nakamura vs Nathan Fletcher | DraftKings | Rinya Nakamura | -425 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.592009-06:00 | -345 at 2025-08-02T17:29:33.844066-06:00 | 5 |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore | DraftKings | Rodolfo Vieira | -218 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.590661-06:00 | -258 at 2025-08-02T18:30:13.944990-06:00 | 12 |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore | DraftKings | Tresean Gore | +180 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.590706-06:00 | +210 at 2025-08-02T18:30:13.945024-06:00 | 12 |
| Nick Klein vs Andrey Pulyaev | DraftKings | Andrey Pulyaev | -110 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.589310-06:00 | -130 at 2025-08-02T18:01:35.282772-06:00 | 15 |
| Nick Klein vs Andrey Pulyaev | DraftKings | Nick Klein | -110 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.589264-06:00 | +110 at 2025-08-02T18:01:35.282739-06:00 | 15 |
| Austin Bashi vs John Yannis | DraftKings | Austin Bashi | -280 at 2025-07-29T14:31:20.951178-06:00 | -900 at 2025-08-02T06:25:54.325356-06:00 | 9 |
| Austin Bashi vs John Yannis | DraftKings | John Yannis | +210 at 2025-07-29T14:31:20.951252-06:00 | +600 at 2025-08-02T06:25:54.325388-06:00 | 9 |
| Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes | DraftKings | Felipe Bunes | +360 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.593456-06:00 | +575 at 2025-08-02T14:57:30.007723-06:00 | 11 |
| Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes | DraftKings | Rafael Estevam | -470 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.593503-06:00 | -850 at 2025-08-02T14:57:30.007691-06:00 | 11 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza | DraftKings | Ketlen Souza | +160 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.586855-06:00 | +210 at 2025-08-02T16:28:26.923186-06:00 | 16 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza | DraftKings | Piera Rodriguez | -192 at 2025-07-24T19:58:57.586809-06:00 | -258 at 2025-08-02T16:28:26.923155-06:00 | 16 |