UFC Fight Night Walker vs Mingyang prediction records
Event date: . 12 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang | Moneyline | Zhang Mingyang (75.58% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +285 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -360 |
| Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 (72.19% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang | Over/under significant strikes | Johnny Walker: Under 24.5 (54.50% confidence); Zhang Mingyang: Under 22.5 (56.78% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang | Go the distance | No (73.30% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang | Method of victory | KO/TKO (39.41% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brian Ortega vs Aljamain Sterling | Moneyline | Aljamain Sterling (50.83% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +390 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -520 |
| Brian Ortega vs Aljamain Sterling | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (93.41% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brian Ortega vs Aljamain Sterling | Over/under significant strikes | Brian Ortega: Over 71.5 (61.80% confidence); Aljamain Sterling: Over 68.5 (64.45% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brian Ortega vs Aljamain Sterling | Go the distance | Yes (55.10% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brian Ortega vs Aljamain Sterling | Method of victory | Decision (42.20% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | Moneyline | Sergei Pavlovich (76.18% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -250 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +205 |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (83.49% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | Over/under significant strikes | Sergei Pavlovich: Over 41.5 (63.12% confidence); Waldo Cortes Acosta: Under 38.5 (58.14% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | Go the distance | No (84.05% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | Method of victory | KO/TKO (84.05% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas | Moneyline | Kevin Borjas (57.53% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -175 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +145 |
| Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (91.64% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas | Over/under significant strikes | Sumudaerji: Over 56.5 (62.80% confidence); Kevin Borjas: Over 45.5 (53.17% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas | Go the distance | Yes (70.33% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas | Method of victory | Decision (44.29% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie | Moneyline | Taiyilake Nueraji (63.83% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -535 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +400 |
| Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 1.5, 2.5 (58.78% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie | Over/under significant strikes | Taiyilake Nueraji: Over 35.5 (62.26% confidence); Kiefer Crosbie: Over 32.5 (62.37% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie | Go the distance | No (94.26% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie | Method of victory | KO/TKO (59.68% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Maheshate vs Gauge Young | Moneyline | Maheshate (74.58% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +124 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -148 |
| Maheshate vs Gauge Young | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (73.59% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Maheshate vs Gauge Young | Over/under significant strikes | Maheshate: Under 40.5 (53.45% confidence); Gauge Young: Over 50.5 (64.42% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Maheshate vs Gauge Young | Go the distance | Yes (85.45% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Maheshate vs Gauge Young | Method of victory | Decision (49.83% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Johnson vs Lone’er Kavanagh | Moneyline | Charles Johnson (78.02% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +215 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -265 |
| Charles Johnson vs Lone’er Kavanagh | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (55.22% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Johnson vs Lone’er Kavanagh | Over/under significant strikes | Charles Johnson: Under 58.5 (66.35% confidence); Lone’er Kavanagh: Under 33.5 (54.22% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Johnson vs Lone’er Kavanagh | Go the distance | No (60.19% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Johnson vs Lone’er Kavanagh | Method of victory | KO/TKO (43.50% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard | Moneyline | Rongzhu (75.45% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -285 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +230 |
| Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (58.20% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard | Over/under significant strikes | Rongzhu: Over 46.5 (57.15% confidence); Austin Hubbard: Under 38.5 (55.85% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard | Go the distance | No (81.35% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard | Method of victory | KO/TKO (56.60% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus | Moneyline | Michael Pereira (66.45% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -238 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +195 |
| Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (51.75% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus | Over/under significant strikes | Michel Pereira: Over 31.5 (68.59% confidence); Kyle Daukaus: Over 25.5 (59.14% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus | Go the distance | Yes (60.26% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus | Method of victory | Decision (56.15% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yizha vs Westin Wilson | Moneyline | Yizha (84.75% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -1000 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +650 |
| Yizha vs Westin Wilson | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (62.90% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yizha vs Westin Wilson | Over/under significant strikes | Yizha: Under 19.5 (57.45% confidence); Westin Wilson: Over 15.5 (64.75% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yizha vs Westin Wilson | Go the distance | No (77.30% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yizha vs Westin Wilson | Method of victory | KO/TKO (44.60% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Xiao Long vs SuYoung You | Moneyline | Long Xiao (60.65% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +110 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -130 |
| Xiao Long vs SuYoung You | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 (52.55% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Xiao Long vs SuYoung You | Over/under significant strikes | Xiao Long: Over 52.5 (54.97% confidence); SuYoung You: Over 39.5 (60.61% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Xiao Long vs SuYoung You | Go the distance | Yes (69.45% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Xiao Long vs SuYoung You | Method of victory | Decision (61.10% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay | Moneyline | Diyar Nurgozhay (67.35% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -105 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -115 |
| Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (74.89% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay | Over/under significant strikes | Uran Satybaldiev: Over 22.5 (63.55% confidence); Diyar Nurgozhay: Under 35.5 (54.89% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay | Go the distance | Yes (60.61% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay | Method of victory | Decision (52.25% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang | DraftKings | Johnny Walker | +320 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.304950-06:00 | +285 at 2025-08-23T04:18:05.950791-06:00 | 23 |
| Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang | DraftKings | Mingyang Zhang | -410 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.305766-06:00 | -360 at 2025-08-23T04:18:05.950824-06:00 | 23 |
| Brian Ortega vs Aljamain Sterling | DraftKings | Aljamain Sterling | -305 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.286692-06:00 | -520 at 2025-08-23T04:18:05.945725-06:00 | 41 |
| Brian Ortega vs Aljamain Sterling | DraftKings | Brian Ortega | +245 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.286640-06:00 | +390 at 2025-08-23T04:18:05.945690-06:00 | 41 |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | DraftKings | Sergey Pavlovich | -265 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.273677-06:00 | -250 at 2025-08-22T16:46:54.091831-06:00 | 30 |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes Acosta | DraftKings | Waldo Cortes-Acosta | +215 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.273726-06:00 | +205 at 2025-08-22T16:46:54.091859-06:00 | 30 |
| Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas | DraftKings | Kevin Borjas | +142 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.261232-06:00 | +145 at 2025-08-22T17:16:21.099458-06:00 | 14 |
| Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas | DraftKings | Su Mudaerji | -170 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.261161-06:00 | -175 at 2025-08-22T17:16:21.094874-06:00 | 14 |
| Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie | DraftKings | Kiefer Crosbie | +270 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.246528-06:00 | +400 at 2025-08-22T20:46:20.486810-06:00 | 20 |
| Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie | DraftKings | Taiyilake Nueraji | -340 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.246409-06:00 | -535 at 2025-08-22T20:46:20.486778-06:00 | 20 |
| Charles Johnson vs Lone’er Kavanagh | DraftKings | Charles Johnson | +195 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.221538-06:00 | +215 at 2025-08-23T02:46:51.716892-06:00 | 16 |
| Charles Johnson vs Lone’er Kavanagh | DraftKings | Lone'er Kavanagh | -238 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.221450-06:00 | -265 at 2025-08-23T02:46:51.716921-06:00 | 16 |
| Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard | DraftKings | Austin Hubbard | +260 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.206476-06:00 | +230 at 2025-08-23T02:46:51.710471-06:00 | 21 |
| Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard | DraftKings | Zhu Rong | -325 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.206405-06:00 | -285 at 2025-08-23T02:46:51.710432-06:00 | 21 |
| Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus | DraftKings | Kyle Daukaus | +225 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.187731-06:00 | +195 at 2025-08-22T14:48:54.099494-06:00 | 16 |
| Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus | DraftKings | Michel Pereira | -278 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.187672-06:00 | -238 at 2025-08-22T14:48:54.099462-06:00 | 16 |
| Yizha vs Westin Wilson | DraftKings | Westin Wilson | +800 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.174880-06:00 | +650 at 2025-08-23T00:48:09.022403-06:00 | 5 |
| Yizha vs Westin Wilson | DraftKings | Zha Yi | -1350 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.174829-06:00 | -1000 at 2025-08-23T00:48:09.022373-06:00 | 5 |
| Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay | DraftKings | Diyar Nurgozhay | +154 at 2025-08-18T15:42:27.224478-06:00 | -115 at 2025-08-23T01:18:15.725085-06:00 | 22 |
| Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay | DraftKings | Uran Satybaldiev | -185 at 2025-08-18T15:42:27.224373-06:00 | -105 at 2025-08-23T01:18:15.725020-06:00 | 22 |