UFC 321 Aspinall vs Gane prediction records
Event date: . 13 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane | Moneyline | Tom Aspinall (59.08% confidence) | No contest | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -345 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +275 |
| Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (77.81% confidence) | No contest | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -575 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +350 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +104 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -118 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: +210 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: -285 DraftKings / rounds / 3.5 / over: +350 DraftKings / rounds / 3.5 / under: -550 DraftKings / rounds / 4.5 / over: +475 DraftKings / rounds / 4.5 / under: -800 |
| Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane | Over/under significant strikes | Tom Aspinall: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Ciryl Gane: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 28.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 28.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 23.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 23.5 / under: -115 |
| Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane | Go the distance | No (81.23% confidence) | No contest | DraftKings / distance / yes: +504 DraftKings / distance / no: -833 |
| Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane | Method of victory | KO/TKO (62.53% confidence) | No contest | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +475 DraftKings / method / Decision: +700 DraftKings / method / Submission: +700 |
| Virna Jandirroba vs Mackenzie Dern | Moneyline | Virna Jandiroba (62.78% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +114 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -135 |
| Virna Jandirroba vs Mackenzie Dern | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (79.67% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -20000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1200 |
| Virna Jandirroba vs Mackenzie Dern | Over/under significant strikes | Virna Jandirroba: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Mackenzie Dern: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Virna Jandirroba vs Mackenzie Dern | Go the distance | No (86.93% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Virna Jandirroba vs Mackenzie Dern | Method of victory | Submission (47.23% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista | Moneyline | Umar Nurmagomedov (69.30% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -675 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +490 |
| Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (73.68% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista | Over/under significant strikes | Umar Nurmagomedov: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Mario Bautista: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista | Go the distance | Yes (86.78% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista | Method of victory | Decision (40.95% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida | Moneyline | Jailton Almeida (50.20% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +170 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -205 |
| Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (80.08% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida | Over/under significant strikes | Alexander Volkov: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Jailton Almeida: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida | Go the distance | No (50.85% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida | Method of victory | Submission (43.38% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Aleksandar Rakić vs Azamat Murzakanov | Moneyline | Azamat Murzakanov (78.83% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -120 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +100 |
| Aleksandar Rakić vs Azamat Murzakanov | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (79.26% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Aleksandar Rakić vs Azamat Murzakanov | Over/under significant strikes | Aleksandar Rakić: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Azamat Murzakanov: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Aleksandar Rakić vs Azamat Murzakanov | Go the distance | No (88.35% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Aleksandar Rakić vs Azamat Murzakanov | Method of victory | KO/TKO (46.70% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld | Moneyline | Nasrat Haqparast (63.95% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +110 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -130 |
| Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (85.44% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld | Over/under significant strikes | Nasrat Haqparast: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Quillan Salkilld: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld | Go the distance | No (74.28% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld | Method of victory | Decision (52.73% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ikram Aliskerov vs JunYong Park | Moneyline | Ikram Aliskerov (64.18% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -218 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +180 |
| Ikram Aliskerov vs JunYong Park | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (83.28% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ikram Aliskerov vs JunYong Park | Over/under significant strikes | Ikram Aliskerov: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); JunYong Park: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ikram Aliskerov vs JunYong Park | Go the distance | No (80.80% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ikram Aliskerov vs JunYong Park | Method of victory | KO/TKO (44.88% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rębecki | Moneyline | Ľudovít Klein (64.30% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -155 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +130 |
| Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rębecki | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (62.51% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rębecki | Over/under significant strikes | Ludovit Klein: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Mateusz Rębecki: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rębecki | Go the distance | No (72.51% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rębecki | Method of victory | KO/TKO (45.64% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Valter Walker vs Louie Sutherland | Moneyline | Valter Walker (68.97% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -410 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +320 |
| Valter Walker vs Louie Sutherland | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (81.22% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Valter Walker vs Louie Sutherland | Over/under significant strikes | Valter Walker: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Louie Sutherland: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Valter Walker vs Louie Sutherland | Go the distance | No (72.45% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Valter Walker vs Louie Sutherland | Method of victory | Submission (56.50% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Moneyline | Jose Miguel Delgado (71.28% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +124 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -148 |
| Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (71.26% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Over/under significant strikes | Nathaniel Wood: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Jose Miguel Delgado: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Go the distance | No (66.23% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Method of victory | KO/TKO (48.40% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett | Moneyline | Chris Barnett (56.13% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -410 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +320 |
| Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (59.57% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett | Over/under significant strikes | Hamdy Abdelwahab: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Chris Barnett: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett | Go the distance | Yes (79.60% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett | Method of victory | KO/TKO (54.33% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo | Moneyline | Azat Maksum (71.83% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -500 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +380 |
| Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (67.61% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo | Over/under significant strikes | Azat Maksum: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Mitch Raposo: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo | Go the distance | Yes (54.98% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo | Method of victory | Decision (48.70% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki Inoue | Moneyline | Jaqueline Amorim (80.60% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -500 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +380 |
| Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki Inoue | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (71.05% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki Inoue | Over/under significant strikes | Jaqueline Amorim: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Mizuki Inoue: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki Inoue | Go the distance | No (67.59% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki Inoue | Method of victory | Submission (49.10% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandirroba vs Mackenzie Dern | DraftKings | Mackenzie Dern | -118 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.553393-06:00 | -135 at 2025-10-25T13:42:26.367413-06:00 | 31 |
| Virna Jandirroba vs Mackenzie Dern | DraftKings | Virna Jandiroba | -102 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.553341-06:00 | +114 at 2025-10-25T13:42:26.367363-06:00 | 31 |
| Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista | DraftKings | Mario Bautista | +350 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.551278-06:00 | +490 at 2025-10-25T12:41:58.170630-06:00 | 20 |
| Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista | DraftKings | Umar Nurmagomedov | -455 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.551237-06:00 | -675 at 2025-10-25T12:41:58.170605-06:00 | 20 |
| Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida | DraftKings | Alexander Volkov | +124 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.549622-06:00 | +170 at 2025-10-25T12:41:58.160407-06:00 | 33 |
| Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida | DraftKings | Jailton Junior | -148 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.549661-06:00 | -205 at 2025-10-25T12:41:58.160451-06:00 | 33 |
| Aleksandar Rakić vs Azamat Murzakanov | DraftKings | Aleksandar Rakic | -105 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.547813-06:00 | -120 at 2025-10-25T12:12:40.135291-06:00 | 30 |
| Aleksandar Rakić vs Azamat Murzakanov | DraftKings | Azamat Murzakanov | -115 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.547861-06:00 | +100 at 2025-10-25T12:12:40.135380-06:00 | 30 |
| Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld | DraftKings | Nasrat Haqparast | -135 at 2025-10-19T15:41:07.358743-06:00 | +110 at 2025-10-25T10:12:54.141752-06:00 | 36 |
| Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld | DraftKings | Quillan Salkilld | +114 at 2025-10-19T15:41:07.358868-06:00 | -130 at 2025-10-25T10:12:54.141777-06:00 | 36 |
| Ikram Aliskerov vs JunYong Park | DraftKings | Ikram Aliskerov | -270 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.543721-06:00 | -218 at 2025-10-25T11:13:37.854464-06:00 | 21 |
| Ikram Aliskerov vs JunYong Park | DraftKings | Jun Yong Park | +220 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.543767-06:00 | +180 at 2025-10-25T11:13:37.854524-06:00 | 21 |
| Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rębecki | DraftKings | Mateusz Rębecki | +114 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.545853-06:00 | +130 at 2025-10-25T10:12:54.127146-06:00 | 24 |
| Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rębecki | DraftKings | Ľudovít Klein | -135 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.545788-06:00 | -155 at 2025-10-25T10:12:54.127125-06:00 | 24 |
| Valter Walker vs Louie Sutherland | DraftKings | Louie Sutherland | +250 at 2025-10-19T15:41:07.434574-06:00 | +320 at 2025-10-25T08:42:43.023090-06:00 | 14 |
| Valter Walker vs Louie Sutherland | DraftKings | Valter Walker | -310 at 2025-10-19T15:41:07.434653-06:00 | -410 at 2025-10-25T08:42:43.023053-06:00 | 14 |
| Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Miguel Delgado | DraftKings | Jose Delgado | -155 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.538050-06:00 | -148 at 2025-10-25T09:42:59.286383-06:00 | 5 |
| Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Miguel Delgado | DraftKings | Nathaniel Wood | +130 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.537982-06:00 | +124 at 2025-10-25T09:42:59.286339-06:00 | 5 |
| Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett | DraftKings | Chris Barnett | +285 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.536311-06:00 | +320 at 2025-10-25T09:12:52.495342-06:00 | 28 |
| Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett | DraftKings | Hamdy Abdelwahab | -360 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.536262-06:00 | -410 at 2025-10-25T09:12:52.495312-06:00 | 28 |
| Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo | DraftKings | Azat Maksum | -305 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.534178-06:00 | -500 at 2025-10-25T07:42:47.811049-06:00 | 20 |
| Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo | DraftKings | Mitch Raposo | +245 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.534228-06:00 | +380 at 2025-10-25T07:42:47.811084-06:00 | 20 |
| Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki Inoue | DraftKings | Jaqueline Amorim | -455 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.532180-06:00 | -500 at 2025-10-25T07:42:47.800034-06:00 | 14 |
| Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki Inoue | DraftKings | Mizuki Inoue | +350 at 2025-10-15T08:15:29.532226-06:00 | +380 at 2025-10-25T07:42:47.800082-06:00 | 14 |