UFC Fight Night Bonfim vs Brown prediction records
Event date: . 12 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown | Moneyline | Gabriel Bonfim (56.03% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -162 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +136 |
| Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5, Under 4.5 (80.12% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown | Over/under significant strikes | Gabriel Bonfim: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Randy Brown: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown | Go the distance | No (85.38% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown | Method of victory | Submission (53.23% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales | Moneyline | Matt Schnell (53.38% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +360 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -470 |
| Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (74.59% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -900 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +475 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -145 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +114 |
| Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales | Over/under significant strikes | Matt Schnell: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Joseph Morales: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales | Go the distance | No (79.16% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales | Method of victory | KO/TKO (39.03% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Uroš Medić | Moneyline | Uroš Medić (81.33% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +110 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -130 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Uroš Medić | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (82.81% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -425 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +275 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +130 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -166 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Uroš Medić | Over/under significant strikes | Muslim Salikhov: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Uroš Medić: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Uroš Medić | Go the distance | No (81.65% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Uroš Medić | Method of victory | KO/TKO (56.81% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim | Moneyline | Chris Padilla (55.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -115 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -105 |
| Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (77.68% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1800 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +700 |
| Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim | Over/under significant strikes | Chris Padilla: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Ismael Bonfim: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim | Go the distance | Yes (86.05% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim | Method of victory | Decision (52.68% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio | Moneyline | Christian Leroy Duncan (64.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +130 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -155 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (73.87% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1400 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +600 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio | Over/under significant strikes | Christian Leroy Duncan: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Marco Tulio: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio | Go the distance | Yes (82.51% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio | Method of victory | Decision (51.20% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Hyder Amil vs Jamall Emmers | Moneyline | Hyder Amil (52.65% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -135 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +114 |
| Hyder Amil vs Jamall Emmers | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (77.51% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -900 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +475 |
| Hyder Amil vs Jamall Emmers | Over/under significant strikes | Hyder Amil: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Jamall Emmers: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Hyder Amil vs Jamall Emmers | Go the distance | Yes (91.31% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Hyder Amil vs Jamall Emmers | Method of victory | Decision (42.40% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos | Moneyline | Raoni Barcelos (56.93% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -185 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +154 |
| Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (72.83% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -5000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1000 |
| Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos | Over/under significant strikes | Ricky Simon: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Raoni Barcelos: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos | Go the distance | Yes (86.48% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos | Method of victory | Decision (41.20% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti | Moneyline | Jacqueline Cavalcanti (62.03% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +180 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -218 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (79.52% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -20000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1200 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti | Over/under significant strikes | Mayra Bueno Silva: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Jacqueline Cavalcanti: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti | Go the distance | Yes (75.35% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti | Method of victory | Decision (44.98% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Josh Hokit vs Max Gimenis | Moneyline | Max Gimenis (56.85% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -425 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +330 |
| Josh Hokit vs Max Gimenis | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (61.01% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -475 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +300 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +124 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -160 |
| Josh Hokit vs Max Gimenis | Over/under significant strikes | Josh Hokit: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Max Gimenis: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Josh Hokit vs Max Gimenis | Go the distance | Yes (66.13% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Josh Hokit vs Max Gimenis | Method of victory | Decision (59.95% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes | Moneyline | Denise Gomes (67.18% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +150 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -180 |
| Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (74.98% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -20000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1200 |
| Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes | Over/under significant strikes | Tecia Pennington: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Denise Gomes: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes | Go the distance | Yes (85.90% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes | Method of victory | Decision (43.20% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos | Moneyline | Daniel Marcos (55.38% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +145 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -175 |
| Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (76.51% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -20000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1200 |
| Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos | Over/under significant strikes | Miles Johns: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Daniel Marcos: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos | Go the distance | No (86.43% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos | Method of victory | Submission (51.89% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Zach Reese vs Jackson McVey | Moneyline | Zach Reese (67.88% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -250 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +205 |
| Zach Reese vs Jackson McVey | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (66.62% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -360 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +250 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +154 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -200 |
| Zach Reese vs Jackson McVey | Over/under significant strikes | Zach Reese: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Jackson McVey: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Zach Reese vs Jackson McVey | Go the distance | No (65.20% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Zach Reese vs Jackson McVey | Method of victory | KO/TKO (58.71% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown | DraftKings | Gabriel Bonfim | -180 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.818180-06:00 | -162 at 2025-11-08T16:42:35.669406-07:00 | 18 |
| Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown | DraftKings | Randy Brown | +150 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.818223-06:00 | +136 at 2025-11-08T16:42:35.669445-07:00 | 18 |
| Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales | DraftKings | Joseph Morales | -238 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.792682-06:00 | -470 at 2025-11-08T18:12:54.378093-07:00 | 24 |
| Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales | DraftKings | Matt Schnell | +195 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.792617-06:00 | +360 at 2025-11-08T18:12:54.378050-07:00 | 24 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Uroš Medić | DraftKings | Muslim Salikhov | +164 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.815687-06:00 | +110 at 2025-11-08T13:12:54.832047-07:00 | 16 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Uroš Medić | DraftKings | Uros Medic | -198 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.815730-06:00 | -130 at 2025-11-08T13:12:54.832078-07:00 | 16 |
| Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim | DraftKings | Chris Padilla | +195 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.788766-06:00 | -115 at 2025-11-08T17:42:53.496674-07:00 | 23 |
| Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim | DraftKings | Ismael Bonfim | -238 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.788814-06:00 | -105 at 2025-11-08T17:42:53.496701-07:00 | 23 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio | DraftKings | Christian Leroy Duncan | +124 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.809529-06:00 | +130 at 2025-11-08T16:42:35.644704-07:00 | 15 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio | DraftKings | Marco Tulio Silva | -148 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.809589-06:00 | -155 at 2025-11-08T16:42:35.644731-07:00 | 15 |
| Hyder Amil vs Jamall Emmers | DraftKings | Hyder Amil | -122 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.784446-06:00 | -135 at 2025-11-08T13:12:54.821228-07:00 | 15 |
| Hyder Amil vs Jamall Emmers | DraftKings | Jamall Emmers | +102 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.784494-06:00 | +114 at 2025-11-08T13:12:54.821253-07:00 | 15 |
| Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos | DraftKings | Raoni Barcelos | +150 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.795083-06:00 | +154 at 2025-11-08T15:12:47.696409-07:00 | 17 |
| Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos | DraftKings | Ricky Simon | -180 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.795043-06:00 | -185 at 2025-11-08T15:12:47.696388-07:00 | 17 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti | DraftKings | Jacqueline Cavalcanti | -250 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.806844-06:00 | -218 at 2025-11-08T07:12:56.103991-07:00 | 11 |
| Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti | DraftKings | Mayra Bueno Silva | +205 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.806764-06:00 | +180 at 2025-11-08T07:12:56.103966-07:00 | 11 |
| Josh Hokit vs Max Gimenis | DraftKings | Josh Hokit | -380 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.800057-06:00 | -425 at 2025-11-08T15:12:47.688886-07:00 | 9 |
| Josh Hokit vs Max Gimenis | DraftKings | Max Gimenis | +300 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.800128-06:00 | +330 at 2025-11-08T15:12:47.688912-07:00 | 9 |
| Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes | DraftKings | Denise Gomes | -218 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.803835-06:00 | -180 at 2025-11-07T20:43:11.651507-07:00 | 10 |
| Tecia Pennington vs Denise Gomes | DraftKings | Tecia Torres | +180 at 2025-10-29T12:45:44.803784-06:00 | +150 at 2025-11-07T20:43:11.651468-07:00 | 10 |
| Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos | DraftKings | Daniel Marcos | -170 at 2025-11-02T17:41:37.266170-07:00 | -175 at 2025-11-08T14:12:39.623636-07:00 | 15 |
| Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos | DraftKings | Miles Johns | +142 at 2025-11-02T17:41:37.266098-07:00 | +145 at 2025-11-08T14:12:39.623605-07:00 | 15 |
| Zach Reese vs Jackson McVey | DraftKings | Jackson McVey | +240 at 2025-11-06T13:44:00.803696-07:00 | +205 at 2025-11-08T13:12:54.797747-07:00 | 8 |
| Zach Reese vs Jackson McVey | DraftKings | Zach Reese | -298 at 2025-11-06T13:44:00.803828-07:00 | -250 at 2025-11-08T13:12:54.797720-07:00 | 8 |