UFC Fight Night Tsarukyan vs Hooker prediction records
Event date: . 14 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker | Moneyline | Arman Tsarukyan (53.55% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -800 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +550 |
| Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 3.5 (75.43% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker | Over/under significant strikes | Arman Tsarukyan: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Dan Hooker: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker | Go the distance | No (67.60% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker | Method of victory | Submission (46.54% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry | Moneyline | Ian Machado Garry (64.49% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +240 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -298 |
| Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (79.07% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry | Over/under significant strikes | Belal Muhammad: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Ian Machado Garry: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry | Go the distance | Yes (84.15% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry | Method of victory | Decision (44.43% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Volkan Oezdemir vs Alonzo Menifield | Moneyline | Volkan Oezdemir (90.27% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -205 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +170 |
| Volkan Oezdemir vs Alonzo Menifield | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (89.10% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Volkan Oezdemir vs Alonzo Menifield | Over/under significant strikes | Volkan Oezdemir: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Alonzo Menifield: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Volkan Oezdemir vs Alonzo Menifield | Go the distance | No (63.42% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Volkan Oezdemir vs Alonzo Menifield | Method of victory | KO/TKO (47.20% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai | Moneyline | Myktybek Orolbai (58.34% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +170 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -205 |
| Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (96.22% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai | Over/under significant strikes | Jack Hermansson: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Myktybek Orolbai: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai | Go the distance | No (89.32% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai | Method of victory | Submission (35.45% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Shamil Gaziev | Moneyline | Waldo Cortes Acosta (56.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -155 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +130 |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Shamil Gaziev | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (70.28% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Shamil Gaziev | Over/under significant strikes | Waldo Cortes Acosta: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Shamil Gaziev: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Shamil Gaziev | Go the distance | Yes (86.42% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Shamil Gaziev | Method of victory | Decision (45.17% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji Horiguchi | Moneyline | Kyoji Horiguchi (53.02% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -230 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +190 |
| Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji Horiguchi | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (76.04% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji Horiguchi | Over/under significant strikes | Tagir Ulanbekov: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Kyoji Horiguchi: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji Horiguchi | Go the distance | No (86.55% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji Horiguchi | Method of victory | KO/TKO (38.20% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley | Moneyline | Bogdan Grad (82.67% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +195 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -238 |
| Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley | Over/under rounds | Under 2.5 (60.16% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley | Over/under significant strikes | Bogdan Grad: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Luke Riley: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley | Go the distance | No (91.38% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley | Method of victory | Submission (46.53% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | Moneyline | Nicolas Dalby (70.45% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +270 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -340 |
| Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5 Under 2.5 (84.02% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | Over/under significant strikes | Nicolas Dalby: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Saygid Izagakhmaev: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | Go the distance | Yes (53.38% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | Method of victory | Decision (52.05% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev | Moneyline | Alex Perez (53.96% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +180 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -218 |
| Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (62.59% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev | Over/under significant strikes | Alex Perez: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Asu Almabayev: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev | Go the distance | Yes (66.42% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev | Method of victory | Decision (58.14% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerqueira | Moneyline | Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (70.44% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -2100 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +1100 |
| Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerqueira | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (51.22% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerqueira | Over/under significant strikes | Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Rafael Cerqueira: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerqueira | Go the distance | Yes (64.03% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerqueira | Method of victory | Decision (44.21% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bekzat Almakhan vs Aleksandre Topuria | Moneyline | Aleksandre Topuria (65.35% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +114 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -135 |
| Bekzat Almakhan vs Aleksandre Topuria | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (54.07% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bekzat Almakhan vs Aleksandre Topuria | Over/under significant strikes | Bekzat Almakhan: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Aleksandre Topuria: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bekzat Almakhan vs Aleksandre Topuria | Go the distance | No (68.83% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bekzat Almakhan vs Aleksandre Topuria | Method of victory | KO/TKO (44.05% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ismail Naurdiev vs Ryan Loder | Moneyline | Ryan Loder (55.02% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -130 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +110 |
| Ismail Naurdiev vs Ryan Loder | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (69.24% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ismail Naurdiev vs Ryan Loder | Over/under significant strikes | Ismail Naurdiev: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Ryan Loder: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ismail Naurdiev vs Ryan Loder | Go the distance | Yes (84.38% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ismail Naurdiev vs Ryan Loder | Method of victory | Decision (37.32% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Shem Rock | Moneyline | Nurullo Aliev (59.81% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -325 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +260 |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Shem Rock | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (60.75% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Shem Rock | Over/under significant strikes | Nurullo Aliev: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Shem Rock: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Shem Rock | Go the distance | Yes (59.20% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Shem Rock | Method of victory | Decision (44.99% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Marek Bujlo vs Denzel Freeman | Moneyline | Denzel Freeman (68.74% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +185 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -225 |
| Marek Bujlo vs Denzel Freeman | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (76.36% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Marek Bujlo vs Denzel Freeman | Over/under significant strikes | Marek Bujlo: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Denzel Freeman: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Marek Bujlo vs Denzel Freeman | Go the distance | Yes (60.05% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Marek Bujlo vs Denzel Freeman | Method of victory | Decision (50.25% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry | DraftKings | Belal Muhammad | +120 at 2025-10-01T15:45:34.979363-06:00 | +240 at 2025-11-22T10:42:25.070813-07:00 | 19 |
| Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry | DraftKings | Ian Garry | -142 at 2025-10-01T15:45:34.979520-06:00 | -298 at 2025-11-22T10:42:25.070838-07:00 | 19 |
| Volkan Oezdemir vs Alonzo Menifield | DraftKings | Alonzo Menifield | +190 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.566677-07:00 | +170 at 2025-11-22T11:43:53.351351-07:00 | 16 |
| Volkan Oezdemir vs Alonzo Menifield | DraftKings | Volkan Oezdemir | -230 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.566615-07:00 | -205 at 2025-11-22T11:43:53.351324-07:00 | 16 |
| Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai | DraftKings | Jack Hermansson | +180 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.561305-07:00 | +170 at 2025-11-22T12:13:12.944047-07:00 | 21 |
| Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai | DraftKings | Myktybek Orolbai | -218 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.561406-07:00 | -205 at 2025-11-22T12:13:12.944085-07:00 | 21 |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Shamil Gaziev | DraftKings | Shamil Gaziev | +120 at 2025-11-20T13:42:46.282763-07:00 | +130 at 2025-11-22T11:43:53.342373-07:00 | 11 |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Shamil Gaziev | DraftKings | Waldo Cortes-Acosta | -142 at 2025-11-20T13:42:46.282653-07:00 | -155 at 2025-11-22T11:43:53.342301-07:00 | 11 |
| Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji Horiguchi | DraftKings | Kyoji Horiguchi | +142 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.535811-07:00 | +190 at 2025-11-22T07:42:38.823588-07:00 | 19 |
| Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji Horiguchi | DraftKings | Tagir Ulanbekov | -170 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.535736-07:00 | -230 at 2025-11-22T07:42:38.823553-07:00 | 19 |
| Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley | DraftKings | Bogdan Grad | +185 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.543560-07:00 | +195 at 2025-11-22T10:42:25.037742-07:00 | 18 |
| Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley | DraftKings | Luke Riley | -225 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.543636-07:00 | -238 at 2025-11-22T10:42:25.037773-07:00 | 18 |
| Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | DraftKings | Nicolas Dalby | +280 at 2025-11-13T11:42:26.905335-07:00 | +270 at 2025-11-22T10:12:36.319002-07:00 | 21 |
| Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | DraftKings | Saygid Izagakhmaev | -355 at 2025-11-13T11:42:26.905427-07:00 | -340 at 2025-11-22T10:12:36.319031-07:00 | 21 |
| Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev | DraftKings | Alex Perez | +160 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.546797-07:00 | +180 at 2025-11-22T09:42:37.492109-07:00 | 19 |
| Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev | DraftKings | Asu Almabaev | -192 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.546880-07:00 | -218 at 2025-11-22T09:42:37.492149-07:00 | 19 |
| Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerqueira | DraftKings | Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev | -800 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.513688-07:00 | -2100 at 2025-11-22T06:12:41.844974-07:00 | 15 |
| Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerqueira | DraftKings | Raffael Cerqueira | +550 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.513755-07:00 | +1100 at 2025-11-22T06:12:41.845003-07:00 | 15 |
| Bekzat Almakhan vs Aleksandre Topuria | DraftKings | Aleksandre Topuria | -108 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.532815-07:00 | -135 at 2025-11-22T08:42:35.476287-07:00 | 48 |
| Bekzat Almakhan vs Aleksandre Topuria | DraftKings | Bekzat Almakhan | -112 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.532742-07:00 | +114 at 2025-11-22T08:42:35.476256-07:00 | 48 |
| Ismail Naurdiev vs Ryan Loder | DraftKings | Ismael Naurdiev | -175 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.525037-07:00 | -130 at 2025-11-22T08:42:35.471041-07:00 | 21 |
| Ismail Naurdiev vs Ryan Loder | DraftKings | Ryan Loder | +145 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.525115-07:00 | +110 at 2025-11-22T08:42:35.471079-07:00 | 21 |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Shem Rock | DraftKings | Nurullo Aliev | -355 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.522789-07:00 | -325 at 2025-11-22T06:43:13.325560-07:00 | 20 |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Shem Rock | DraftKings | Shem Rock | +280 at 2025-11-13T09:42:24.522864-07:00 | +260 at 2025-11-22T06:43:13.325604-07:00 | 20 |
| Marek Bujlo vs Denzel Freeman | DraftKings | Denzel Freeman | -205 at 2025-11-18T16:42:34.420646-07:00 | -225 at 2025-11-21T19:12:36.923002-07:00 | 7 |
| Marek Bujlo vs Denzel Freeman | DraftKings | Marek Bujlo | +170 at 2025-11-18T16:42:34.420574-07:00 | +185 at 2025-11-21T19:12:36.922881-07:00 | 7 |