UFC Fight Night Bautista vs Oliveira prediction records
Event date: . 13 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira | Moneyline | Vinicius Oliveira (69.55% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -130 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +110 |
| Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (81.57% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -3500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +900 |
| Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira | Over/under significant strikes | Mario Bautista: Over 81.5 (58.43% confidence); Vinicius Oliveira: Over 67.5 (62.39% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira | Go the distance | Yes (70.53% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira | Method of victory | Decision (63.37% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi | Moneyline | Kyoji Horiguchi (55.08% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +285 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -360 |
| Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (96.26% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi | Over/under significant strikes | Amir Albazi: Over 32.5 (70.56% confidence); Kyoji Horiguchi: Over 52.5 (81.13% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi | Go the distance | Yes (76.07% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi | Method of victory | Decision (60.33% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev | Moneyline | Jailton Almeida (75.85% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -180 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +150 |
| Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (83.84% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -700 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +400 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -135 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +105 |
| Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev | Over/under significant strikes | Jailton Almeida: Over 17.5 (78.22% confidence); Rizvan Kuniev: Over 21.5 (53.97% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev | Go the distance | No (75.78% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev | Method of victory | Submission (39.73% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault | Moneyline | Michal Oleksiejczuk (52.78% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -485 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +370 |
| Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (84.83% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault | Over/under significant strikes | Michal Oleksiejczuk: Over 36.5 (66.25% confidence); Marc-Andre Barriault: Under 25.5 (72.38% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault | Go the distance | No (71.86% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault | Method of victory | KO/TKO (71.47% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat | Moneyline | Farid Basharat (76.93% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +240 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -298 |
| Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (69.65% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat | Over/under significant strikes | Jean Matsumoto: Over 50.5 (50.66% confidence); Farid Basharat: Over 55.5 (57.27% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat | Go the distance | Yes (83.98% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat | Method of victory | Decision (73.00% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker | Moneyline | Dustin Jacoby (59.78% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -148 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +124 |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (77.45% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker | Over/under significant strikes | Dustin Jacoby: Over 43.5 (53.02% confidence); Julius Walker: Under 41.5 (52.44% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker | Go the distance | Yes (57.52% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker | Method of victory | Decision (46.57% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko | Moneyline | Daniil Donchenko (55.48% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +625 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -950 |
| Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (94.55% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko | Over/under significant strikes | Alex Morono: Under 25.5 (50.93% confidence); Daniil Donchenko: Under 40.5 (66.85% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko | Go the distance | No (59.70% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko | Method of victory | KO/TKO (48.77% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price | Moneyline | Nikolay Veretennikov (65.42% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -265 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +215 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (69.05% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price | Over/under significant strikes | Nikolay Veretennikov: Under 40.5 (52.76% confidence); Niko Price: Under 40.5 (77.34% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price | Go the distance | No (59.71% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price | Method of victory | KO/TKO (63.41% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza | Moneyline | Bruna Brasil (66.90% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +120 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -142 |
| Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (93.07% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza | Over/under significant strikes | Bruna Brasil: Under 40.5 (56.12% confidence); Ketlen Souza: Over 56.5 (70.04% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza | Go the distance | Yes (75.83% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza | Method of victory | Decision (66.40% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Javid Basharat vs Gianni Vazquez | Moneyline | Javid Basharat (69.75% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -650 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +470 |
| Javid Basharat vs Gianni Vazquez | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (95.81% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Javid Basharat vs Gianni Vazquez | Over/under significant strikes | Javid Basharat: Over 32.5 (55.42% confidence); Gianni Vazquez: Over 36.5 (63.77% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Javid Basharat vs Gianni Vazquez | Go the distance | Yes (73.33% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Javid Basharat vs Gianni Vazquez | Method of victory | Decision (70.17% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura | Moneyline | Eduarda Moura (59.00% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -375 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +295 |
| Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (70.06% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura | Over/under significant strikes | Wang Cong: Over 62.5 (71.59% confidence); Eduarda Moura: Over 34.5 (52.88% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura | Go the distance | Yes (59.25% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura | Method of victory | Decision (49.27% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz | Moneyline | Muin Gafurov (51.55% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -122 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +102 |
| Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (58.39% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz | Over/under significant strikes | Muin Gafurov: Over 38.5 (55.96% confidence); Jakub Wiklacz: Under 33.5 (63.99% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz | Go the distance | No (82.00% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz | Method of victory | Decision (41.33% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Klaudia Sygula vs Priscila Cachoeira | Moneyline | Klaudia Sygula (49.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -185 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +154 |
| Klaudia Sygula vs Priscila Cachoeira | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (58.19% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Klaudia Sygula vs Priscila Cachoeira | Over/under significant strikes | Klaudia Sygula: Under 58.5 (59.83% confidence); Priscila Cachoeira: Under 41.5 (66.55% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Klaudia Sygula vs Priscila Cachoeira | Go the distance | Yes (79.83% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Klaudia Sygula vs Priscila Cachoeira | Method of victory | Decision (45.59% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira | DraftKings | Mario Bautista | -205 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.182060-07:00 | -130 at 2026-02-07T19:42:22.656515-07:00 | 20 |
| Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira | DraftKings | Vinicius de Oliveira | +170 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.182097-07:00 | +110 at 2026-02-07T19:42:22.656621-07:00 | 20 |
| Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi | DraftKings | Amir Albazi | +260 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.178465-07:00 | +285 at 2026-02-07T20:12:41.772400-07:00 | 20 |
| Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi | DraftKings | Kyoji Horiguchi | -325 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.178500-07:00 | -360 at 2026-02-07T20:12:41.772429-07:00 | 20 |
| Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev | DraftKings | Jailton Junior | -198 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.177088-07:00 | -180 at 2026-02-07T19:42:22.603583-07:00 | 26 |
| Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev | DraftKings | Rizvan Kuniev | +164 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.177123-07:00 | +150 at 2026-02-07T19:42:22.603633-07:00 | 26 |
| Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault | DraftKings | Marc-André Barriault | +245 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.173644-07:00 | +370 at 2026-02-07T19:12:35.436318-07:00 | 21 |
| Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault | DraftKings | Michał Oleksiejczuk | -305 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.173609-07:00 | -485 at 2026-02-07T19:12:35.436290-07:00 | 21 |
| Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat | DraftKings | Farid Basharat | -245 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.172368-07:00 | -298 at 2026-02-07T06:11:47.530050-07:00 | 15 |
| Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat | DraftKings | Jean Matsumoto | +200 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.172331-07:00 | +240 at 2026-02-07T06:11:47.530007-07:00 | 15 |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker | DraftKings | Dustin Jacoby | -185 at 2026-02-03T07:41:17.243488-07:00 | -148 at 2026-02-07T17:42:22.388082-07:00 | 9 |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker | DraftKings | Julius Walker | +154 at 2026-02-03T07:41:17.243547-07:00 | +124 at 2026-02-07T17:42:22.388124-07:00 | 9 |
| Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko | DraftKings | Alex Morono | +425 at 2026-02-03T07:41:17.237529-07:00 | +625 at 2026-02-07T16:42:45.096317-07:00 | 14 |
| Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko | DraftKings | Daniel Donchenko | -575 at 2026-02-03T07:41:17.237668-07:00 | -950 at 2026-02-07T16:42:45.096339-07:00 | 14 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price | DraftKings | Niko Price | +230 at 2026-02-04T16:42:47.417557-07:00 | +215 at 2026-02-07T17:12:31.227535-07:00 | 10 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price | DraftKings | Nikolay Veretennikov | -285 at 2026-02-04T16:42:47.417451-07:00 | -265 at 2026-02-07T17:12:31.227509-07:00 | 10 |
| Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza | DraftKings | Bruna Emanuele Brasil | -120 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.170988-07:00 | +120 at 2026-02-07T16:42:45.088105-07:00 | 18 |
| Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza | DraftKings | Ketlen Souza | +100 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.171026-07:00 | -142 at 2026-02-07T16:42:45.088134-07:00 | 18 |
| Javid Basharat vs Gianni Vazquez | DraftKings | Gianni Di Chiara Vazquez | +525 at 2026-02-06T12:12:52.713528-07:00 | +470 at 2026-02-07T16:12:30.474585-07:00 | 4 |
| Javid Basharat vs Gianni Vazquez | DraftKings | Javid Basharat | -750 at 2026-02-06T12:12:52.713488-07:00 | -650 at 2026-02-07T16:12:30.474503-07:00 | 4 |
| Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura | DraftKings | Cong Wang | -265 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.168181-07:00 | -375 at 2026-02-07T11:12:12.494574-07:00 | 19 |
| Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura | DraftKings | Eduarda Moura | +215 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.168264-07:00 | +295 at 2026-02-07T11:12:12.494629-07:00 | 19 |
| Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz | DraftKings | Jakub Wikłacz | -115 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.164684-07:00 | +102 at 2026-02-07T15:41:58.598138-07:00 | 24 |
| Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz | DraftKings | Muin Gafurov | -105 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.164636-07:00 | -122 at 2026-02-07T15:41:58.598093-07:00 | 24 |
| Klaudia Sygula vs Priscila Cachoeira | DraftKings | Klaudia Sygula | -120 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.161708-07:00 | -185 at 2026-02-07T15:12:03.754068-07:00 | 22 |
| Klaudia Sygula vs Priscila Cachoeira | DraftKings | Priscila Cachoeira | +100 at 2026-01-31T14:41:23.161749-07:00 | +154 at 2026-02-07T15:12:03.754112-07:00 | 22 |