UFC Fight Night Song vs Figueiredo prediction records
Event date: . 13 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo | Moneyline | Song Yadong (50.38% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -625 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +455 |
| Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo | Over/under rounds | Over 2.5, 3.5 (77.49% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -3500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +900 DraftKings / rounds / 4.5 / over: -130 DraftKings / rounds / 4.5 / under: +100 |
| Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo | Over/under significant strikes | Song Yadong: Over 61.5 (66.84% confidence); Deiveson Figueiredo: Under 42.5 (55.98% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 49.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 49.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 79.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 79.5 / under: -115 |
| Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo | Go the distance | Yes (69.88% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: -110 DraftKings / distance / no: -120 |
| Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo | Method of victory | Decision (71.90% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +1000 DraftKings / method / Decision: +700 DraftKings / method / Submission: +550 |
| Zhang Mingyang vs Alonzo Menifield | Moneyline | Zhang Mingyang (58.65% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -225 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +185 |
| Zhang Mingyang vs Alonzo Menifield | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (67.07% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -360 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +250 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +130 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -166 |
| Zhang Mingyang vs Alonzo Menifield | Over/under significant strikes | Zhang Mingyang: Under 32.5 (66.39% confidence); Alonzo Menifield: Under 24.5 (61.00% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 18.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 18.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 27.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 27.5 / under: -115 |
| Zhang Mingyang vs Alonzo Menifield | Go the distance | No (80.43% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +380 DraftKings / distance / no: -600 |
| Zhang Mingyang vs Alonzo Menifield | Method of victory | KO/TKO (69.23% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +320 DraftKings / method / Decision: +550 DraftKings / method / Submission: +400 |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira | Moneyline | Sergei Pavlovich (57.97% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -625 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +455 |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (82.95% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -360 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +250 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +145 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -188 |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira | Over/under significant strikes | Sergei Pavlovich: Over 34.5 (59.34% confidence); Tallison Teixeira: Under 22.5 (65.00% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 22.5 / over: -120 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 22.5 / under: -110 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 15.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 15.5 / under: -115 |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira | Go the distance | No (64.48% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +350 DraftKings / distance / no: -550 |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira | Method of victory | KO/TKO (83.50% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +650 DraftKings / method / Decision: +1000 DraftKings / method / Submission: +850 |
| Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman | Moneyline | Kai Asakura (64.78% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -270 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +220 |
| Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (81.49% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +500 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -105 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: -125 |
| Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman | Over/under significant strikes | Kai Asakura: Over 38.5 (51.46% confidence); Cameron Smotherman: Under 54.5 (56.57% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 40.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 40.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 45.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 45.5 / under: -115 |
| Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman | Go the distance | Yes (62.53% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +150 DraftKings / distance / no: -200 |
| Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman | Method of victory | Decision (68.57% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +400 DraftKings / method / Decision: +450 DraftKings / method / Submission: +425 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Jake Matthews | Moneyline | Jake Matthews (59.15% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -118 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -102 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Jake Matthews | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (92.77% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Jake Matthews | Over/under significant strikes | Muslim Salikhov: Under 31.5 (55.86% confidence); Jake Matthews: Under 47.5 (52.62% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Jake Matthews | Go the distance | No (65.13% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Jake Matthews | Method of victory | Submission (36.77% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji | Moneyline | Sumudaerji (54.05% confidence) | No contest | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -148 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +124 |
| Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (73.71% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -2000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +750 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -145 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +114 |
| Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji | Over/under significant strikes | Alex Perez: Under 39.5 (52.00% confidence); Sumudaerji: Over 59.5 (56.06% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 34.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 34.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 40.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 40.5 / under: -115 |
| Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji | Go the distance | Yes (68.95% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: -120 DraftKings / distance / no: -110 |
| Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji | Method of victory | Decision (41.63% confidence) | No contest | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +350 DraftKings / method / Decision: +185 DraftKings / method / Submission: +165 |
| Yi Sak Lee vs Luis Dias de Assis | Moneyline | Yi Sak Lee (54.00% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +154 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -185 |
| Yi Sak Lee vs Luis Dias de Assis | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (86.21% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -700 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +400 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -115 |
| Yi Sak Lee vs Luis Dias de Assis | Over/under significant strikes | Yi Sak Lee: No pick recorded; Luis Dias de Assis: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Yi Sak Lee vs Luis Dias de Assis | Go the distance | No (70.19% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +200 DraftKings / distance / no: -275 |
| Yi Sak Lee vs Luis Dias de Assis | Method of victory | KO/TKO (42.52% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +250 DraftKings / method / Decision: +380 DraftKings / method / Submission: +275 |
| Ding Meng vs José Henrique | Moneyline | Ding Meng (63.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -112 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -108 |
| Ding Meng vs José Henrique | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (81.21% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +500 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -160 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +124 |
| Ding Meng vs José Henrique | Over/under significant strikes | Ding Meng: Over 39.5 (60.56% confidence); José Henrique: Under 24.5 (59.00% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ding Meng vs José Henrique | Go the distance | No (65.07% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +140 DraftKings / distance / no: -185 |
| Ding Meng vs José Henrique | Method of victory | KO/TKO (55.83% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +275 DraftKings / method / Decision: +215 DraftKings / method / Submission: +180 |
| Aoriqileng vs Cody Haddon | Moneyline | Cody Haddon (66.43% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +320 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -410 |
| Aoriqileng vs Cody Haddon | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (66.21% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1400 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +600 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -130 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +100 |
| Aoriqileng vs Cody Haddon | Over/under significant strikes | Aoriqileng: Under 42.5 (57.25% confidence); Cody Haddon: Over 67.5 (56.71% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Aoriqileng vs Cody Haddon | Go the distance | Yes (66.30% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +100 DraftKings / distance / no: -130 |
| Aoriqileng vs Cody Haddon | Method of victory | Decision (53.30% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +550 DraftKings / method / Decision: +475 DraftKings / method / Submission: +550 |
| Rei Tsuruya vs Jesus Aguilar | Moneyline | Rei Tsuruya (54.48% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -270 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +220 |
| Rei Tsuruya vs Jesus Aguilar | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (80.95% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -2500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +800 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -180 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +140 |
| Rei Tsuruya vs Jesus Aguilar | Over/under significant strikes | Rei Tsuruya: Over 29.5 (54.00% confidence); Jesus Aguilar: Under 42.5 (53.89% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rei Tsuruya vs Jesus Aguilar | Go the distance | Yes (61.30% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rei Tsuruya vs Jesus Aguilar | Method of victory | Decision (47.57% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +700 DraftKings / method / Submission: +550 DraftKings / method / Decision: +120 |
| Angela Hill vs Jingnan Xiong | Moneyline | Jingnan Xiong (62.08% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +160 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -192 |
| Angela Hill vs Jingnan Xiong | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (73.57% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -20000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1200 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -475 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +325 |
| Angela Hill vs Jingnan Xiong | Over/under significant strikes | Angela Hill: Under 64.5 (65.68% confidence); Jingnan Xiong: Over 44.5 (63.14% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Angela Hill vs Jingnan Xiong | Go the distance | No (84.83% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: -400 DraftKings / distance / no: +275 |
| Angela Hill vs Jingnan Xiong | Method of victory | KO/TKO (80.83% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +900 DraftKings / method / Decision: +200 DraftKings / method / Submission: +175 |
| Zhu Kangjie vs Rodrigo Vera | Moneyline | Rodrigo Vera (59.58% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -115 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -105 |
| Zhu Kangjie vs Rodrigo Vera | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (77.53% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -5000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1000 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -270 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +200 |
| Zhu Kangjie vs Rodrigo Vera | Over/under significant strikes | Zhu Kangjie: Under 42.5 (54.86% confidence); Rodrigo Vera: Over 24.5 (59.42% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Zhu Kangjie vs Rodrigo Vera | Go the distance | Yes (89.04% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: -225 DraftKings / distance / no: +165 |
| Zhu Kangjie vs Rodrigo Vera | Method of victory | Decision (83.88% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +330 DraftKings / method / Decision: +150 DraftKings / method / Submission: +120 |
| Loma Lookboonmee vs Jaqueline Amorim | Moneyline | Loma Lookboonmee (68.23% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +114 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -135 |
| Loma Lookboonmee vs Jaqueline Amorim | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (87.30% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -3500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +900 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -245 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +185 |
| Loma Lookboonmee vs Jaqueline Amorim | Over/under significant strikes | Loma Lookboonmee: Over 34.5 (55.05% confidence); Jaqueline Amorim: Under 24.5 (54.42% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Loma Lookboonmee vs Jaqueline Amorim | Go the distance | Yes (78.32% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: -160 DraftKings / distance / no: +120 |
| Loma Lookboonmee vs Jaqueline Amorim | Method of victory | Decision (55.87% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +200 DraftKings / method / Decision: +185 DraftKings / method / Submission: -115 |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo | DraftKings | Deiveson Figueiredo | +320 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.468121-06:00 | +455 at 2026-05-30T07:12:25.025764-06:00 | 7 |
| Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo | DraftKings | Yadong Song | -410 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.468068-06:00 | -625 at 2026-05-30T07:12:25.025741-06:00 | 7 |
| Zhang Mingyang vs Alonzo Menifield | DraftKings | Alonzo Menifield | +180 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.472242-06:00 | +185 at 2026-05-30T06:42:15.987881-06:00 | 16 |
| Zhang Mingyang vs Alonzo Menifield | DraftKings | Mingyang Zhang | -218 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.472185-06:00 | -225 at 2026-05-30T06:42:15.987833-06:00 | 16 |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira | DraftKings | Sergey Pavlovich | -410 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.476571-06:00 | -625 at 2026-05-30T03:42:26.859567-06:00 | 14 |
| Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira | DraftKings | Talisson Teixeira | +320 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.476668-06:00 | +455 at 2026-05-30T03:42:26.859602-06:00 | 14 |
| Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman | DraftKings | Cameron Smotherman | +245 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.480631-06:00 | +220 at 2026-05-30T00:41:44.552423-06:00 | 16 |
| Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman | DraftKings | Kai Asakura | -305 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.480528-06:00 | -270 at 2026-05-30T00:41:44.552401-06:00 | 16 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Jake Matthews | DraftKings | Jake Matthews | -245 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.447753-06:00 | -102 at 2026-05-20T01:42:18.330664-06:00 | 10 |
| Muslim Salikhov vs Jake Matthews | DraftKings | Muslim Salikhov | +200 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.447694-06:00 | -118 at 2026-05-20T01:42:18.330642-06:00 | 10 |
| Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji | DraftKings | Alex Perez | -148 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.484451-06:00 | -148 at 2026-05-30T05:12:13.660918-06:00 | 22 |
| Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji | DraftKings | Su Mudaerji | +124 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.484537-06:00 | +124 at 2026-05-30T05:12:13.660959-06:00 | 22 |
| Yi Sak Lee vs Luis Dias de Assis | DraftKings | Luis Felipe Dias | -148 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.460224-06:00 | -185 at 2026-05-30T03:42:26.771695-06:00 | 17 |
| Yi Sak Lee vs Luis Dias de Assis | DraftKings | Yi Sak Lee | +124 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.460164-06:00 | +154 at 2026-05-30T03:42:26.771655-06:00 | 17 |
| Ding Meng vs José Henrique | DraftKings | Jose Henrique Souza | +160 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.444946-06:00 | -108 at 2026-05-29T20:44:02.238824-06:00 | 16 |
| Ding Meng vs José Henrique | DraftKings | Meng Ding | -192 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.444898-06:00 | -112 at 2026-05-29T20:44:02.238792-06:00 | 16 |
| Aoriqileng vs Cody Haddon | DraftKings | Cody Haddon | -340 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.451857-06:00 | -410 at 2026-05-30T03:42:26.727765-06:00 | 6 |
| Aoriqileng vs Cody Haddon | DraftKings | Qileng Aori | +270 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.451795-06:00 | +320 at 2026-05-30T03:42:26.727720-06:00 | 6 |
| Rei Tsuruya vs Jesus Aguilar | DraftKings | Jesus Aguilar | +270 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.438856-06:00 | +220 at 2026-05-22T01:11:50.970515-06:00 | 7 |
| Rei Tsuruya vs Jesus Aguilar | DraftKings | Rei Tsuruya | -340 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.438788-06:00 | -270 at 2026-05-22T01:11:50.970482-06:00 | 7 |
| Angela Hill vs Jingnan Xiong | DraftKings | Angela Hill | +160 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.464101-06:00 | +160 at 2026-05-29T22:47:07.551310-06:00 | 20 |
| Angela Hill vs Jingnan Xiong | DraftKings | Jingnan Xiong | -192 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.464156-06:00 | -192 at 2026-05-29T22:47:07.551347-06:00 | 20 |
| Zhu Kangjie vs Rodrigo Vera | DraftKings | Kangjie Zhu | +142 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.456043-06:00 | -115 at 2026-05-30T00:41:44.514485-06:00 | 18 |
| Zhu Kangjie vs Rodrigo Vera | DraftKings | Rodrigo Vera | -170 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.456102-06:00 | -105 at 2026-05-30T00:41:44.514514-06:00 | 18 |
| Loma Lookboonmee vs Jaqueline Amorim | DraftKings | Jaqueline Amorim | -148 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.441892-06:00 | -135 at 2026-05-30T01:12:01.417544-06:00 | 31 |
| Loma Lookboonmee vs Jaqueline Amorim | DraftKings | Loma Lookboonmee | +124 at 2026-05-15T01:13:48.441846-06:00 | +114 at 2026-05-30T01:12:01.417511-06:00 | 31 |