UFC Fight Night Du Plessis vs Usman prediction records
Event date: . 12 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman | Moneyline | Dricus Du Plessis (65.12% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -218 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +180 |
| Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 4.5 (75.99% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -20000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1200 DraftKings / rounds / 3.5 / over: -200 DraftKings / rounds / 3.5 / under: +154 |
| Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman | Over/under significant strikes | Dricus Du Plessis: Over 76.5 (67.87% confidence); Kamaru Usman: Under 58.5 (53.61% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 85.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 85.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 72.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 72.5 / under: -115 |
| Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman | Go the distance | Yes (60.38% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -130 DraftKings / distance / no: +100 |
| Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman | Method of victory | KO/TKO (60.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +185 DraftKings / method / Decision: +130 DraftKings / method / Submission: +115 |
| Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan | Moneyline | Christian Leroy Duncan (76.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +250 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -310 |
| Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (90.42% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -2000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +750 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -180 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +140 |
| Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan | Over/under significant strikes | Jared Cannonier: Under 76.5 (61.47% confidence); Christian Leroy Duncan: Over 47.5 (64.76% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 50.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 50.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 36.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 36.5 / under: -115 |
| Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan | Go the distance | Yes (55.27% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -130 DraftKings / distance / no: +100 |
| Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan | Method of victory | Decision (55.03% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +150 DraftKings / method / Decision: -130 DraftKings / method / Submission: -110 |
| Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez | Moneyline | Chase Hooper (80.00% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -345 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +275 |
| Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (95.92% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -700 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +400 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -105 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -125 |
| Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez | Over/under significant strikes | Chase Hooper: Under 34.5 (59.19% confidence); Mitch Ramirez: Under 24.5 (62.69% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 29.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 29.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 19.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 19.5 / under: -115 |
| Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez | Go the distance | No (78.33% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +215 DraftKings / distance / no: -295 |
| Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez | Method of victory | Submission (51.17% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +475 DraftKings / method / Decision: +600 DraftKings / method / Submission: +650 |
| Tabatha Ricci vs Fatima Kline | Moneyline | Fatima Kline (60.22% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +370 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -485 |
| Tabatha Ricci vs Fatima Kline | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (96.23% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -20000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1200 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -360 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +260 |
| Tabatha Ricci vs Fatima Kline | Over/under significant strikes | Tabatha Ricci: Over 48.5 (54.83% confidence); Fatima Kline: Over 56.5 (62.67% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 43.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 43.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 72.5 / over: -120 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 72.5 / under: -110 |
| Tabatha Ricci vs Fatima Kline | Go the distance | Yes (85.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -330 DraftKings / distance / no: +235 |
| Tabatha Ricci vs Fatima Kline | Method of victory | Decision (83.20% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +300 DraftKings / method / Decision: -275 DraftKings / method / Submission: -330 |
| Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes | Moneyline | Tommy McMillen (63.72% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -218 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +180 |
| Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (79.96% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -700 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +400 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -130 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +100 |
| Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes | Over/under significant strikes | Tommy McMillen: Over 62.5 (64.44% confidence); Alberto Montes: Under 31.5 (59.65% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 48.5 / over: -120 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 48.5 / under: -110 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 31.5 / over: -125 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 31.5 / under: -105 |
| Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes | Go the distance | Yes (51.60% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +275 DraftKings / distance / no: -400 |
| Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes | Method of victory | KO/TKO (53.06% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +200 DraftKings / method / Decision: +425 DraftKings / method / Submission: +205 |
| Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Moneyline | Jose Miguel Delgado (77.94% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -148 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +124 |
| Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (69.22% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1600 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +650 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -220 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +170 |
| Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Over/under significant strikes | Austin Bashi: Under 24.5 (62.53% confidence); Jose Miguel Delgado: Over 34.5 (64.02% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Go the distance | Yes (59.93% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +105 DraftKings / distance / no: -135 |
| Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Method of victory | Decision (44.97% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +275 DraftKings / method / Decision: +140 DraftKings / method / Submission: -115 |
| Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko | Moneyline | Seokhyeon Ko (53.18% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +145 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -175 |
| Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (71.43% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -2000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +750 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -140 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +110 |
| Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko | Over/under significant strikes | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani: Under 37.5 (49.65% confidence); Seokhyeon Ko: Over 38.5 (54.15% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko | Go the distance | Yes (51.05% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -135 DraftKings / distance / no: -105 |
| Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko | Method of victory | Decision (48.95% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -105 DraftKings / method / Decision: +300 DraftKings / method / Submission: +215 |
| Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Felipe Franco | Moneyline | Levi Rodrigues Jr. (55.55% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -162 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +136 |
| Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Felipe Franco | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (76.96% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -575 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +350 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +114 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -145 |
| Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Felipe Franco | Over/under significant strikes | Levi Rodrigues Jr.: Over 20.5 (59.31% confidence); Felipe Franco: Under 24.5 (52.12% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Felipe Franco | Go the distance | No (54.87% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +300 DraftKings / distance / no: -450 |
| Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Felipe Franco | Method of victory | KO/TKO (49.03% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -125 DraftKings / method / Decision: +450 DraftKings / method / Submission: +600 |
| Ezra Elliot vs Damien Anderson | Moneyline | Ezra Elliot (85.00% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -110 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -110 |
| Ezra Elliot vs Damien Anderson | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (88.42% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -900 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +475 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -130 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +100 |
| Ezra Elliot vs Damien Anderson | Over/under significant strikes | Ezra Elliot: Under 26.5 (66.53% confidence); Damien Anderson: Under 25.5 (69.97% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ezra Elliot vs Damien Anderson | Go the distance | No (71.87% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +175 DraftKings / distance / no: -235 |
| Ezra Elliot vs Damien Anderson | Method of victory | Submission (85.00% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +200 DraftKings / method / Decision: +275 DraftKings / method / Submission: +140 |
| Alden Coria vs Stewart Nicoll | Moneyline | Alden Coria (62.75% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -1100 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +700 |
| Alden Coria vs Stewart Nicoll | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (58.34% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -900 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +475 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -175 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +135 |
| Alden Coria vs Stewart Nicoll | Over/under significant strikes | Alden Coria: Over 39.5 (56.32% confidence); Stewart Nicoll: Under 24.5 (58.47% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alden Coria vs Stewart Nicoll | Go the distance | No (67.62% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +165 DraftKings / distance / no: -220 |
| Alden Coria vs Stewart Nicoll | Method of victory | KO/TKO (47.35% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +1200 DraftKings / method / Decision: +1100 DraftKings / method / Submission: +800 |
| RJ Harris vs Alvin Hines | Moneyline | Alvin Hines (62.82% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -105 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -115 |
| RJ Harris vs Alvin Hines | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (61.07% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +500 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -154 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +120 |
| RJ Harris vs Alvin Hines | Over/under significant strikes | RJ Harris: Under 18.5 (63.95% confidence); Alvin Hines: Over 42.5 (65.06% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| RJ Harris vs Alvin Hines | Go the distance | No (68.62% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +165 DraftKings / distance / no: -220 |
| RJ Harris vs Alvin Hines | Method of victory | KO/TKO (49.80% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +150 DraftKings / method / Decision: +225 DraftKings / method / Submission: +240 |
| Anna Melisano vs Dione Barbosa | Moneyline | Dione Barbosa (66.69% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +490 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -675 |
| Anna Melisano vs Dione Barbosa | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 1.5, 2.5 (54.08% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -800 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +450 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: -115 |
| Anna Melisano vs Dione Barbosa | Over/under significant strikes | Anna Melisano: Under 24.5 (50.07% confidence); Dione Barbosa: Over 25.5 (55.59% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Anna Melisano vs Dione Barbosa | Go the distance | No (74.30% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Anna Melisano vs Dione Barbosa | Method of victory | Decision (38.01% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +115 DraftKings / method / Submission: -500 DraftKings / method / Decision: +2500 |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman | DraftKings | Dricus Du Plessis | -340 at 2026-06-20T19:12:39.636851-06:00 | -218 at 2026-07-18T19:41:40.041529-06:00 | 25 |
| Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman | DraftKings | Kamaru Usman | +270 at 2026-06-20T19:12:39.636903-06:00 | +180 at 2026-07-18T19:41:40.041558-06:00 | 25 |
| Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan | DraftKings | Christian Leroy Duncan | -305 at 2026-07-08T12:41:33.352265-06:00 | -310 at 2026-07-18T19:11:55.285994-06:00 | 16 |
| Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan | DraftKings | Jared Cannonier | +245 at 2026-07-08T12:41:33.352197-06:00 | +250 at 2026-07-18T19:11:55.285972-06:00 | 16 |
| Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez | DraftKings | Chase Hooper | -305 at 2026-07-08T12:41:33.422510-06:00 | -345 at 2026-07-18T19:11:55.271876-06:00 | 16 |
| Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez | DraftKings | Mitch Ramirez | +245 at 2026-07-08T12:41:33.422590-06:00 | +275 at 2026-07-18T19:11:55.271902-06:00 | 16 |
| Tabatha Ricci vs Fatima Kline | DraftKings | Fatima Kline | -325 at 2026-07-08T12:41:33.387605-06:00 | -485 at 2026-07-18T15:11:51.667227-06:00 | 15 |
| Tabatha Ricci vs Fatima Kline | DraftKings | Tabatha Ricci | +260 at 2026-07-08T12:41:33.387535-06:00 | +370 at 2026-07-18T15:11:51.667204-06:00 | 15 |
| Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes | DraftKings | Alberto Montes | -110 at 2026-07-11T13:40:49.383562-06:00 | +180 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.201615-06:00 | 20 |
| Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes | DraftKings | Tommy McMillen | -110 at 2026-07-11T13:40:49.383524-06:00 | -218 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.201589-06:00 | 20 |
| Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado | DraftKings | Austin Bashi | -110 at 2026-07-11T13:40:49.375826-06:00 | -148 at 2026-07-18T17:41:16.241434-06:00 | 27 |
| Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado | DraftKings | Jose Delgado | -110 at 2026-07-11T13:40:49.375908-06:00 | +124 at 2026-07-18T17:41:16.241463-06:00 | 27 |
| Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Felipe Franco | DraftKings | Felipe Franco | +160 at 2026-07-11T13:40:49.369066-06:00 | +136 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.154146-06:00 | 17 |
| Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Felipe Franco | DraftKings | Levi Rodrigues | -192 at 2026-07-11T13:40:49.369016-06:00 | -162 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.154115-06:00 | 17 |
| Ezra Elliot vs Damien Anderson | DraftKings | Damien Anderson | -142 at 2026-07-15T19:11:19.719207-06:00 | -110 at 2026-07-18T16:11:07.807278-06:00 | 17 |
| Ezra Elliot vs Damien Anderson | DraftKings | Ezra Elliott | +120 at 2026-07-15T19:11:19.719115-06:00 | -110 at 2026-07-18T16:11:07.807249-06:00 | 17 |
| Alden Coria vs Stewart Nicoll | DraftKings | Alden Coria | -1000 at 2026-07-11T13:40:49.365389-06:00 | -1100 at 2026-07-18T15:41:21.237192-06:00 | 6 |
| Alden Coria vs Stewart Nicoll | DraftKings | Stewart Nicoll | +650 at 2026-07-11T13:40:49.365443-06:00 | +700 at 2026-07-18T15:41:21.237227-06:00 | 6 |
| RJ Harris vs Alvin Hines | DraftKings | Alvin Hines | -142 at 2026-07-14T03:40:49.904237-06:00 | -115 at 2026-07-18T14:11:20.450209-06:00 | 6 |
| RJ Harris vs Alvin Hines | DraftKings | RJ Harris | +120 at 2026-07-14T03:40:49.904176-06:00 | -105 at 2026-07-18T14:11:20.450179-06:00 | 6 |