UFC 330 Makhachev vs Machado Garry prediction records
Event date: . 12 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry | Moneyline | Islam Makhachev (52.14% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -340 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +270 |
| Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, Under 4.5 (24.71% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 4.5 / over: -160 DraftKings / rounds / 4.5 / under: +124 |
| Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry | Over/under significant strikes | Islam Makhachev: Under 55.5 (80.51% confidence); Ian Machado Garry: Under 61.5 (79.93% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry | Go the distance | No (49.24% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry | Method of victory | Submission (17.43% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson | Moneyline | Gillian Robertson (51.36% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -258 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +210 |
| Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (84.90% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 3.5 / over: -250 DraftKings / rounds / 3.5 / under: +190 |
| Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson | Over/under significant strikes | Mackenzie Dern: Under 55.5 (76.52% confidence); Gillian Robertson: Under 55.5 (75.32% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson | Go the distance | Yes (73.49% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson | Method of victory | Decision (73.48% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jalin Turner vs Kauê Fernandes | Moneyline | Jalin Turner (52.67% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -175 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +145 |
| Jalin Turner vs Kauê Fernandes | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (55.25% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +100 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -130 |
| Jalin Turner vs Kauê Fernandes | Over/under significant strikes | Jalin Turner: Under 54.5 (76.89% confidence); Kauê Fernandes: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jalin Turner vs Kauê Fernandes | Go the distance | No (69.15% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jalin Turner vs Kauê Fernandes | Method of victory | KO/TKO (54.24% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus | Moneyline | Mansur Abdul-Malik (65.38% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -550 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +410 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (59.88% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -154 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +120 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus | Over/under significant strikes | Mansur Abdul-Malik: Under 27.5 (65.39% confidence); Dustin Stoltzfus: Under 19.5 (56.49% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus | Go the distance | No (62.79% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus | Method of victory | KO/TKO (43.66% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics | Moneyline | Esteban Ribovics (53.99% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +360 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -470 |
| Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (21.73% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -120 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -110 |
| Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics | Over/under significant strikes | Edson Barboza: Under 62.5 (63.11% confidence); Esteban Ribovics: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics | Go the distance | No (37.35% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics | Method of victory | KO/TKO (31.62% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Álvarez | Moneyline | Joel Álvarez (49.12% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +195 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -238 |
| Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Álvarez | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (40.47% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -166 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +130 |
| Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Álvarez | Over/under significant strikes | Chidi Njokuani: Under 43.5 (71.73% confidence); Joel Álvarez: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Álvarez | Go the distance | No (60.33% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Álvarez | Method of victory | KO/TKO (39.04% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin | Moneyline | Charles Johnson (69.99% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (89.75% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin | Over/under significant strikes | Charles Johnson: Under 79.5 (74.37% confidence); Eduardo Chapolin: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin | Go the distance | Yes (83.96% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Chapolin | Method of victory | Decision (83.95% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico | Moneyline | Donte Johnson (65.23% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -205 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +170 |
| Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (64.88% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -166 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +130 |
| Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico | Over/under significant strikes | Donte Johnson: No pick recorded; Eric McConico: Under 16.5 (54.60% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico | Go the distance | No (58.81% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico | Method of victory | KO/TKO (40.44% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore | Moneyline | Vicente Luque (59.41% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +124 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -148 |
| Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (60.49% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -166 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +130 |
| Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore | Over/under significant strikes | Vicente Luque: No pick recorded; Tresean Gore: Under 26.5 (55.62% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore | Go the distance | No (62.18% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore | Method of victory | KO/TKO (47.25% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando | Moneyline | Rafael Tobias (74.86% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +240 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -298 |
| Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (92.77% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: +124 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: -160 |
| Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando | Over/under significant strikes | Rafael Tobias: No pick recorded; Lucas Fernando: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando | Go the distance | Yes (89.02% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando | Method of victory | Decision (89.01% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj | Moneyline | Neil Magny (52.61% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -108 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -112 |
| Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (62.39% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: +105 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: -135 |
| Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj | Over/under significant strikes | Neil Magny: Under 42.5 (76.84% confidence); Ramiz Brahimaj: Under 58.5 (92.87% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj | Go the distance | No (60.46% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj | Method of victory | Submission (31.17% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai | Moneyline | Myktybek Orolbai (62.26% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +490 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -675 |
| Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (66.17% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -160 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +124 |
| Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai | Over/under significant strikes | Jeremiah Wells: Under 26.5 (70.79% confidence); Myktybek Orolbai: Under 22.5 (61.90% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai | Go the distance | No (55.59% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai | Method of victory | Submission (27.85% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry | DraftKings | Ian Garry | +225 at 2026-06-17T12:50:46.733091-06:00 | +270 at 2026-08-09T14:10:58.853035-06:00 | 17 |
| Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry | DraftKings | Islam Makhachev | -278 at 2026-06-17T12:50:46.733040-06:00 | -340 at 2026-08-09T14:10:58.853010-06:00 | 17 |
| Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry | DraftKings | Over 4.5 rounds | -160 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -160 at 2026-08-09T20:19:43.560844-06:00 | 4 |
| Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry | DraftKings | Under 4.5 rounds | +124 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | +124 at 2026-08-09T20:19:43.561823-06:00 | 4 |
| Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson | DraftKings | Gillian Robertson | +120 at 2026-06-17T13:50:26.646124-06:00 | +210 at 2026-08-09T02:10:16.034853-06:00 | 19 |
| Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson | DraftKings | Mackenzie Dern | -142 at 2026-06-17T13:50:26.646062-06:00 | -258 at 2026-08-09T02:10:16.034819-06:00 | 19 |
| Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson | DraftKings | Over 3.5 rounds | -250 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -250 at 2026-08-09T18:34:49.222062-06:00 | 3 |
| Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson | DraftKings | Under 3.5 rounds | +190 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | +190 at 2026-08-09T18:34:49.222545-06:00 | 3 |
| Charles Johnson vs Jose Ochoa | DraftKings | Charles Johnson | +275 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.190645-06:00 | +300 at 2026-08-09T14:10:58.671727-06:00 | 8 |
| Charles Johnson vs Jose Ochoa | DraftKings | Jose Ochoa | -345 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.190733-06:00 | -380 at 2026-08-09T14:10:58.671758-06:00 | 8 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus | DraftKings | Dustin Stoltzfus | +410 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.134953-06:00 | +410 at 2026-08-04T15:16:28.469478-06:00 | 2 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus | DraftKings | Mansur Abdul-Malik | -550 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.134527-06:00 | -550 at 2026-08-04T15:16:28.469478-06:00 | 2 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus | DraftKings | Over 1.5 rounds | -154 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -154 at 2026-08-09T20:19:45.532812-06:00 | 4 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus | DraftKings | Under 1.5 rounds | +120 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | +120 at 2026-08-09T20:19:45.533488-06:00 | 4 |
| Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics | DraftKings | Edson Barboza | +310 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.130314-06:00 | +360 at 2026-08-09T16:10:38.057580-06:00 | 7 |
| Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics | DraftKings | Esteban Ribovics | -395 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.130411-06:00 | -470 at 2026-08-09T16:10:38.057641-06:00 | 7 |
| Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics | DraftKings | Over 1.5 rounds | -120 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -120 at 2026-08-09T20:19:46.164772-06:00 | 4 |
| Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics | DraftKings | Under 1.5 rounds | -110 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -110 at 2026-08-09T20:19:46.165375-06:00 | 4 |
| Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Álvarez | DraftKings | Chidi Njokuani | +180 at 2026-08-04T15:44:15.091802-06:00 | +195 at 2026-08-09T14:10:58.785635-06:00 | 13 |
| Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Álvarez | DraftKings | Joel Alvarez | -218 at 2026-08-04T15:44:15.091701-06:00 | -238 at 2026-08-09T14:10:58.785664-06:00 | 13 |
| Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Álvarez | DraftKings | Over 1.5 rounds | -166 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -166 at 2026-08-09T20:19:46.787894-06:00 | 4 |
| Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Álvarez | DraftKings | Under 1.5 rounds | +130 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | +130 at 2026-08-09T20:19:46.788573-06:00 | 4 |
| Jalin Turner vs Kauê Fernandes | DraftKings | Jalin Turner | -162 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.162755-06:00 | -175 at 2026-08-09T17:10:41.784280-06:00 | 13 |
| Jalin Turner vs Kauê Fernandes | DraftKings | Kaue Fernandes | +136 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.162804-06:00 | +145 at 2026-08-09T17:10:41.784316-06:00 | 13 |
| Jalin Turner vs Kauê Fernandes | DraftKings | Over 1.5 rounds | +100 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | +100 at 2026-08-09T20:19:47.452470-06:00 | 4 |
| Jalin Turner vs Kauê Fernandes | DraftKings | Under 1.5 rounds | -130 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -130 at 2026-08-09T20:19:47.453085-06:00 | 4 |
| Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico | DraftKings | Donte Johnson | -230 at 2026-08-04T15:44:15.238811-06:00 | -205 at 2026-08-09T13:10:43.959060-06:00 | 6 |
| Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico | DraftKings | Eric McConico | +190 at 2026-08-04T15:44:15.238884-06:00 | +170 at 2026-08-09T13:10:43.959088-06:00 | 6 |
| Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico | DraftKings | Over 1.5 rounds | -166 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -166 at 2026-08-09T18:34:53.576942-06:00 | 3 |
| Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico | DraftKings | Under 1.5 rounds | +130 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | +130 at 2026-08-09T18:34:53.577553-06:00 | 3 |
| Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore | DraftKings | Tresean Gore | -130 at 2026-08-04T15:44:15.115312-06:00 | -148 at 2026-08-09T09:10:16.084686-06:00 | 9 |
| Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore | DraftKings | Vicente Luque | +110 at 2026-08-04T15:44:15.115259-06:00 | +124 at 2026-08-09T09:10:16.084665-06:00 | 9 |
| Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore | DraftKings | Over 1.5 rounds | -166 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -166 at 2026-08-09T18:34:54.218622-06:00 | 2 |
| Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore | DraftKings | Under 1.5 rounds | +130 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | +130 at 2026-08-09T18:34:54.219006-06:00 | 2 |
| Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando | DraftKings | Lucas Fernando | -205 at 2026-08-04T15:44:15.220392-06:00 | -298 at 2026-08-09T08:10:44.994108-06:00 | 11 |
| Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando | DraftKings | Rafael Tobias | +170 at 2026-08-04T15:44:15.220336-06:00 | +240 at 2026-08-09T08:10:44.994074-06:00 | 11 |
| Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando | DraftKings | Over 2.5 rounds | +124 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | +124 at 2026-08-09T20:19:49.626429-06:00 | 3 |
| Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando | DraftKings | Under 2.5 rounds | -160 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -160 at 2026-08-09T20:19:49.626940-06:00 | 3 |
| Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj | DraftKings | Neil Magny | -110 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.144971-06:00 | -108 at 2026-08-09T14:10:58.695409-06:00 | 8 |
| Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj | DraftKings | Ramiz Brahimaj | -110 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.145040-06:00 | -112 at 2026-08-09T14:10:58.695438-06:00 | 8 |
| Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj | DraftKings | Over 2.5 rounds | +105 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | +105 at 2026-08-09T20:19:50.364984-06:00 | 4 |
| Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj | DraftKings | Under 2.5 rounds | -135 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -135 at 2026-08-09T20:19:50.365935-06:00 | 4 |
| Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai | DraftKings | Jeremiah Wells | +410 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.137667-06:00 | +490 at 2026-08-09T15:10:41.231060-06:00 | 8 |
| Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai | DraftKings | Myktybek Orolbai | -550 at 2026-08-04T15:16:25.137720-06:00 | -675 at 2026-08-09T15:10:41.231100-06:00 | 8 |
| Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai | DraftKings | Over 1.5 rounds | -160 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | -160 at 2026-08-09T18:34:56.542356-06:00 | 3 |
| Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai | DraftKings | Under 1.5 rounds | +124 at 2026-08-09T18:34:44.216883-06:00 | +124 at 2026-08-09T18:34:56.543117-06:00 | 3 |