UFC Fight Night Rosas Jr vs Barcelos prediction records
Event date: . 11 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos | Moneyline | Raul Rosas Jr. (61.93% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -180 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +150 |
| Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos | Over/under rounds | Over 3.5 (68.85% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos | Over/under significant strikes | Raul Rosas Jr.: No pick recorded; Raoni Barcelos: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos | Go the distance | Yes (65.19% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos | Method of victory | Decision (65.18% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek | Moneyline | Rodolfo Vieira (54.60% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -125 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +105 |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (70.73% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek | Over/under significant strikes | Rodolfo Vieira: No pick recorded; Robert Bryczek: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek | Go the distance | Yes (52.40% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek | Method of victory | Decision (52.39% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura | Moneyline | Rinya Nakamura (73.09% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (76.21% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura | Over/under significant strikes | Brady Hiestand: No pick recorded; Rinya Nakamura: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura | Go the distance | Yes (58.75% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura | Method of victory | Decision (58.74% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mehemmedeli Osmanli vs Ilimbek Akylbek | Moneyline | Mehemmedeli Osmanli (70.71% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mehemmedeli Osmanli vs Ilimbek Akylbek | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (56.30% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mehemmedeli Osmanli vs Ilimbek Akylbek | Over/under significant strikes | Mehemmedeli Osmanli: No pick recorded; Ilimbek Akylbek: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mehemmedeli Osmanli vs Ilimbek Akylbek | Go the distance | No (64.78% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Mehemmedeli Osmanli vs Ilimbek Akylbek | Method of victory | KO/TKO (48.66% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Amaya vs Valesca Machado | Moneyline | Valesca Machado (64.20% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Amaya vs Valesca Machado | Over/under rounds | Under 2.5 (60.36% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Amaya vs Valesca Machado | Over/under significant strikes | Melissa Amaya: No pick recorded; Valesca Machado: No pick recorded | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Amaya vs Valesca Machado | Go the distance | No (65.97% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Amaya vs Valesca Machado | Method of victory | KO/TKO (48.64% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener | Moneyline | Josiah Harrell (54.27% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener | Over/under rounds | Under 2.5 (51.17% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener | Over/under significant strikes | Josiah Harrell: No pick recorded; Elves Brener: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener | Go the distance | No (56.74% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener | Method of victory | KO/TKO (37.10% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards | Moneyline | Rodolfo Bellato (60.37% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -175 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +145 |
| Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5 (58.82% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards | Over/under significant strikes | Rodolfo Bellato: No pick recorded; Christian Edwards: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards | Go the distance | No (62.39% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards | Method of victory | KO/TKO (42.27% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon | Moneyline | Montel Jackson (63.92% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -180 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +150 |
| Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon | Over/under rounds | Over 2.5 (77.07% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon | Over/under significant strikes | Montel Jackson: No pick recorded; Ricky Simon: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon | Go the distance | Yes (74.12% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon | Method of victory | Decision (74.11% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| John Castaneda vs Alatengheili | Moneyline | John Castaneda (71.25% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -325 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +260 |
| John Castaneda vs Alatengheili | Over/under rounds | Over 2.5 (73.76% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| John Castaneda vs Alatengheili | Over/under significant strikes | John Castaneda: No pick recorded; Alatengheili: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| John Castaneda vs Alatengheili | Go the distance | Yes (70.19% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| John Castaneda vs Alatengheili | Method of victory | Decision (70.18% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez | Moneyline | Ailin Perez (53.38% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +102 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -122 |
| Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez | Over/under rounds | Over 2.5 (84.11% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez | Over/under significant strikes | Norma Dumont: No pick recorded; Ailin Perez: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez | Go the distance | Yes (81.91% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez | Method of victory | Decision (81.90% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui | Moneyline | Yazmin Jauregui (85.79% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui | Over/under rounds | Over 2.5 (80.46% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui | Over/under significant strikes | Vanessa Demopoulos: No pick recorded; Yazmin Jauregui: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui | Go the distance | Yes (77.66% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui | Method of victory | Decision (77.65% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos | DraftKings | Raoni Barcelos | +170 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.847253-06:00 | +150 at 2026-09-20T09:10:36.380998-06:00 | 6 |
| Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos | DraftKings | Raul Rosas Jr. | -205 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.847199-06:00 | -180 at 2026-09-20T09:10:36.380963-06:00 | 6 |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek | DraftKings | Robert Bryczek | -110 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.842941-06:00 | +105 at 2026-09-20T09:40:23.545967-06:00 | 4 |
| Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek | DraftKings | Rodolfo Vieira | -110 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.842875-06:00 | -125 at 2026-09-20T09:40:23.545914-06:00 | 4 |
| Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards | DraftKings | Christian Edwards | +136 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.837289-06:00 | +145 at 2026-09-19T15:11:14.400306-06:00 | 3 |
| Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards | DraftKings | Rodolfo Bellato | -162 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.837227-06:00 | -175 at 2026-09-19T15:11:14.400259-06:00 | 3 |
| Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon | DraftKings | Montel Jackson | -180 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.831553-06:00 | -180 at 2026-09-19T17:41:29.282410-06:00 | 4 |
| Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon | DraftKings | Ricky Simon | +150 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.831623-06:00 | +150 at 2026-09-19T17:41:29.282434-06:00 | 4 |
| John Castaneda vs Alatengheili | DraftKings | Heili Alateng | +230 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.825950-06:00 | +260 at 2026-09-20T10:40:54.284848-06:00 | 5 |
| John Castaneda vs Alatengheili | DraftKings | John Castaneda | -285 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.825860-06:00 | -325 at 2026-09-20T10:40:54.284815-06:00 | 5 |
| Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez | DraftKings | Ailin Perez | -130 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.821435-06:00 | -122 at 2026-09-20T07:10:37.473286-06:00 | 3 |
| Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez | DraftKings | Norma Dumont | +110 at 2026-09-19T13:41:55.821335-06:00 | +102 at 2026-09-20T07:10:37.473214-06:00 | 3 |