UFC Fight Night Usman vs Buckley prediction records
Event date: . 13 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley | Moneyline | Joaquin Buckley (66.95% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +225 DraftKings / blue: -278 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -1450 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +750 |
| Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 3.5, 4.5 (73.38% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley | Over/under significant strikes | Kamaru Usman: Under 76.5 (67.81% confidence); Joaquin Buckley: Under 63.5 (71.25% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +225 DraftKings / blue: -278 |
| Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley | Go the distance | No (86.10% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +225 DraftKings / blue: -278 |
| Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley | Method of victory | KO/TKO (63.75% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +225 DraftKings / blue: -278 |
| Rose Namajunas vs Miranda Maverick | Moneyline | Miranda Maverick (56.58% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -258 DraftKings / blue: +210 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -3500 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +1400 |
| Rose Namajunas vs Miranda Maverick | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (Coming Soon confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rose Namajunas vs Miranda Maverick | Over/under significant strikes | Rose Namajunas: Over 39.5 (55.50% confidence); Miranda Maverick: Under 47.5 (Coming Soon confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -258 DraftKings / blue: +210 |
| Rose Namajunas vs Miranda Maverick | Go the distance | Yes (85.88% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -258 DraftKings / blue: +210 |
| Rose Namajunas vs Miranda Maverick | Method of victory | Decision (49.26% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -258 DraftKings / blue: +210 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Petroski | Moneyline | Edmen Shahbazyan (81.95% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -185 DraftKings / blue: +154 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -1850 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +900 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Petroski | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (75.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -154 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +120 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Petroski | Over/under significant strikes | Edmen Shahbazyan: Under 36.5 (72.10% confidence); Andre Petroski: Under 25.5 (62.56% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -185 DraftKings / blue: +154 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Petroski | Go the distance | No (68.88% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -185 DraftKings / blue: +154 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Petroski | Method of victory | KO/TKO (77.21% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -185 DraftKings / blue: +154 |
| Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos | Moneyline | Raoni Barcelos (71.13% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +164 DraftKings / blue: -198 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +2200 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -10000 |
| Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (55.95% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos | Over/under significant strikes | Cody Garbrandt: Over 57.5 (56.96% confidence); Raoni Barcelos: Over 39.5 (62.90% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +164 DraftKings / blue: -198 |
| Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos | Go the distance | Yes (87.40% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +164 DraftKings / blue: -198 |
| Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos | Method of victory | Decision (42.39% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +164 DraftKings / blue: -198 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Cody Brundage | Moneyline | Mansur Abdul-Malik (87.10% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +550 DraftKings / blue: -800 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -195 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +150 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Cody Brundage | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (72.03% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +135 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -175 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Cody Brundage | Over/under significant strikes | Mansur Abdul-Malik: Over 20.5 (57.10% confidence); Cody Brundage: Under 13.5 (56.70% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: +550 DraftKings / blue: -800 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Cody Brundage | Go the distance | No (74.55% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +550 DraftKings / blue: -800 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Cody Brundage | Method of victory | KO/TKO (68.15% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +550 DraftKings / blue: -800 |
| Alonzo Menifield vs Oumar Sy | Moneyline | Oumar Sy (81.85% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +500 DraftKings / blue: -700 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +310 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -445 |
| Alonzo Menifield vs Oumar Sy | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (75.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -188 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +145 |
| Alonzo Menifield vs Oumar Sy | Over/under significant strikes | Alonzo Menifield: Over 38.5 (59.35% confidence); Oumar Sy: Over 25.5 (69.77% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +500 DraftKings / blue: -700 |
| Alonzo Menifield vs Oumar Sy | Go the distance | No (73.15% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +500 DraftKings / blue: -700 |
| Alonzo Menifield vs Oumar Sy | Method of victory | Decision (51.45% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +500 DraftKings / blue: -700 |
| Paul Craig vs Rodolfo Bellato | Moneyline | Rodolfo Bellato (72.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -395 DraftKings / blue: +310 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +280 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -395 |
| Paul Craig vs Rodolfo Bellato | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (68.45% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Paul Craig vs Rodolfo Bellato | Over/under significant strikes | Paul Craig: Over 24.5 (63.03% confidence); Rodolfo Bellato: Over 36.5 (49.80% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -395 DraftKings / blue: +310 |
| Paul Craig vs Rodolfo Bellato | Go the distance | No (87.23% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -395 DraftKings / blue: +310 |
| Paul Craig vs Rodolfo Bellato | Method of victory | Decision (40.01% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: -395 DraftKings / blue: +310 |
| Michael Chiesa vs Court McGee | Moneyline | Michael Chiesa (50.33% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -345 DraftKings / blue: +275 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -810 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +500 |
| Michael Chiesa vs Court McGee | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (78.95% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Michael Chiesa vs Court McGee | Over/under significant strikes | Michael Chiesa: Over 62.5 (Coming Soon confidence); Court McGee: Over 45.5 (Coming Soon confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -345 DraftKings / blue: +275 |
| Michael Chiesa vs Court McGee | Go the distance | Yes (71.95% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -345 DraftKings / blue: +275 |
| Michael Chiesa vs Court McGee | Method of victory | Decision (42.26% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -345 DraftKings / blue: +275 |
| Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho | Moneyline | Malcolm Wellmaker (88.00% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -1800 DraftKings / blue: +1000 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -2400 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +1200 |
| Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (83.48% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -105 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -125 |
| Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho | Over/under significant strikes | Malcolm Wellmaker: Under 28.5 (61.50% confidence); Kris Moutinho: Under 13.5 (58.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -1800 DraftKings / blue: +1000 |
| Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho | Go the distance | No (82.71% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -1800 DraftKings / blue: +1000 |
| Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho | Method of victory | KO/TKO (74.52% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -1800 DraftKings / blue: +1000 |
| Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa | Moneyline | Cody Durden (87.33% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +154 DraftKings / blue: -185 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +220 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -298 |
| Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa | Over/under significant strikes | Cody Durden: Over 34.5 (64.30% confidence); Jose Ochoa: Under 29.5 (54.38% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +154 DraftKings / blue: -185 |
| Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa | Go the distance | Yes (80.70% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +154 DraftKings / blue: -185 |
| Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa | Method of victory | Decision (51.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +154 DraftKings / blue: -185 |
| Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman | Moneyline | Ricky Simon (81.98% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -4800 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +1600 |
| Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5 (65.78% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman | Over/under significant strikes | Ricky Simon: Under 31.5 (53.48% confidence); Cameron Smotherman: Under 29.5 (62.45% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman | Go the distance | No (60.40% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman | Method of victory | Submission (56.45% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Phil Rowe vs Ange Loosa | Moneyline | Ange Loosa | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +110 DraftKings / blue: -130 DraftKings / moneyline / red: +390 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -600 |
| Phil Rowe vs Ange Loosa | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (76.40% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Phil Rowe vs Ange Loosa | Over/under significant strikes | Phil Rowe: Over 65.5 (72.97% confidence); Ange Loosa: Over 62.5 (66.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: +110 DraftKings / blue: -130 |
| Phil Rowe vs Ange Loosa | Go the distance | Yes (65.73% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +110 DraftKings / blue: -130 |
| Phil Rowe vs Ange Loosa | Method of victory | Decision (52.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / red: +110 DraftKings / blue: -130 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos | Moneyline | Jamey-Lyn Horth (80.62% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -600 DraftKings / blue: +440 DraftKings / moneyline / red: -20000 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +3000 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (77.90% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos | Over/under significant strikes | Jamey-Lyn Horth: Over 51.5 (51.41% confidence); Vanessa Demopoulos: Over 40.5 (56.60% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / red: -600 DraftKings / blue: +440 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos | Go the distance | Yes (71.50% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -600 DraftKings / blue: +440 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos | Method of victory | Decision (63.45% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / red: -600 DraftKings / blue: +440 |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley | DraftKings | Kamaru Usman | +215 at 2025-06-08T11:16:15.182584-06:00 | -1450 at 2025-06-14T23:20:50.150442-06:00 | 48 |
| Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley | DraftKings | Joaquin Buckley | -265 at 2025-06-08T11:16:15.195139-06:00 | +750 at 2025-06-14T23:20:50.150442-06:00 | 40 |
| Rose Namajunas vs Miranda Maverick | DraftKings | Miranda Maverick | +230 at 2025-06-08T11:21:40.865267-06:00 | +1400 at 2025-06-14T22:37:35.483999-06:00 | 25 |
| Rose Namajunas vs Miranda Maverick | DraftKings | Rose Namajunas | -285 at 2025-06-08T11:21:40.851412-06:00 | -3500 at 2025-06-14T22:37:35.483999-06:00 | 24 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Petroski | DraftKings | Andre Petroski | +170 at 2025-06-08T11:21:44.010020-06:00 | +900 at 2025-06-14T22:06:26.405356-06:00 | 40 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Petroski | DraftKings | Edmen Shahbazyan | -205 at 2025-06-08T11:21:44.003758-06:00 | -1850 at 2025-06-14T22:06:26.405356-06:00 | 37 |
| Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos | DraftKings | Raoni Barcelos | -148 at 2025-06-08T11:21:43.559854-06:00 | -10000 at 2025-06-14T21:36:32.919513-06:00 | 48 |
| Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos | DraftKings | Cody Garbrandt | +124 at 2025-06-08T11:21:43.554455-06:00 | +2200 at 2025-06-14T21:36:32.919513-06:00 | 34 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Cody Brundage | DraftKings | Cody Brundage | +440 at 2025-06-08T11:21:45.023566-06:00 | +150 at 2025-06-14T21:01:59.723992-06:00 | 18 |
| Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Cody Brundage | DraftKings | Mansur Abdul-Malik | -600 at 2025-06-08T11:21:45.027267-06:00 | -195 at 2025-06-14T21:01:59.723992-06:00 | 18 |
| Alonzo Menifield vs Oumar Sy | DraftKings | Alonzo Menifield | +380 at 2025-06-08T11:21:42.334595-06:00 | +310 at 2025-06-14T20:31:14.502481-06:00 | 18 |
| Alonzo Menifield vs Oumar Sy | DraftKings | Oumar Sy | -500 at 2025-06-08T11:21:42.338132-06:00 | -445 at 2025-06-14T20:31:14.502481-06:00 | 18 |
| Paul Craig vs Rodolfo Bellato | DraftKings | Rodolfo Bellato | -360 at 2025-06-08T11:21:46.334282-06:00 | -395 at 2025-06-14T19:45:54.909237-06:00 | 24 |
| Paul Craig vs Rodolfo Bellato | DraftKings | Paul Craig | +285 at 2025-06-08T11:21:46.329428-06:00 | +280 at 2025-06-14T19:45:54.909237-06:00 | 19 |
| Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho | DraftKings | Kris Moutinho | +800 at 2025-06-08T11:21:41.972993-06:00 | +1200 at 2025-06-14T18:51:05.749565-06:00 | 44 |
| Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho | DraftKings | Malcolm Wellmaker | -1350 at 2025-06-08T11:21:41.964476-06:00 | -2400 at 2025-06-14T18:51:05.749565-06:00 | 11 |
| Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa | DraftKings | Jose Ochoa | -170 at 2025-06-08T11:36:04.641255-06:00 | -298 at 2025-06-14T18:36:36.958629-06:00 | 48 |
| Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa | DraftKings | Cody Durden | +142 at 2025-06-08T11:36:04.635136-06:00 | +220 at 2025-06-14T18:36:36.958629-06:00 | 17 |
| Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman | DraftKings | Cameron Smotherman | +390 at 2025-06-12T04:51:17.126593-06:00 | +1600 at 2025-06-14T18:21:18.983610-06:00 | 20 |
| Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman | DraftKings | Ricky Simon | -520 at 2025-06-12T04:51:17.118685-06:00 | -4800 at 2025-06-14T18:21:18.983610-06:00 | 20 |
| Phil Rowe vs Ange Loosa | DraftKings | Ange Loosa | -148 at 2025-06-08T11:21:44.544971-06:00 | -600 at 2025-06-14T17:46:15.425496-06:00 | 25 |
| Phil Rowe vs Ange Loosa | DraftKings | Phil Rowe | +124 at 2025-06-08T11:21:44.540867-06:00 | +390 at 2025-06-14T17:46:15.425496-06:00 | 25 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos | DraftKings | Jamey-Lyn Horth | -355 at 2025-06-08T11:21:43.049259-06:00 | -20000 at 2025-06-14T17:26:11.165445-06:00 | 22 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos | DraftKings | Vanessa Demopoulos | +280 at 2025-06-08T11:21:43.044447-06:00 | +3000 at 2025-06-14T17:26:11.165445-06:00 | 22 |