UFC Fight Night Lopes vs Silva prediction records
Event date: . 14 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva | Moneyline | Jean Silva (58.23% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +195 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -238 |
| Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5 Under 3.5, 4.5 (54.49% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -2000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +900 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -250 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +185 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -160 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +140 DraftKings / rounds / 3.5 / over: +125 DraftKings / rounds / 3.5 / under: -165 DraftKings / rounds / 4.5 / over: +220 DraftKings / rounds / 4.5 / under: -300 |
| Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva | Over/under significant strikes | Diego Lopes: Over 54.5 (50.32% confidence); Jean Silva: Under 61.5 (51.48% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 56.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 56.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 60.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 60.5 / under: -115 |
| Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva | Go the distance | No (88.95% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +250 DraftKings / distance / no: -325 |
| Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva | Method of victory | KO/TKO (52.35% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -130 DraftKings / method / Decision: +240 DraftKings / method / Submission: +225 |
| Rob Font vs David Martinez | Moneyline | Rob Font (87.69% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -130 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +110 |
| Rob Font vs David Martinez | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (84.51% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rob Font vs David Martinez | Over/under significant strikes | Rob Font: Under 64.5 (52.91% confidence); David Martinez: Over 59.5 (53.37% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rob Font vs David Martinez | Go the distance | Yes (71.18% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rob Font vs David Martinez | Method of victory | Decision (47.38% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rafa Garcia vs Jared Gordon | Moneyline | Rafa García (52.83% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +142 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -170 |
| Rafa Garcia vs Jared Gordon | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (87.09% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rafa Garcia vs Jared Gordon | Over/under significant strikes | Rafa Garcia: Under 54.5 (54.82% confidence); Jared Gordon: Under 64.5 (55.49% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rafa Garcia vs Jared Gordon | Go the distance | Yes (81.33% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rafa Garcia vs Jared Gordon | Method of victory | Submission (50.19% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus | Moneyline | Kelvin Gastelum (56.45% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -218 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +180 |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (86.48% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus | Over/under significant strikes | Kelvin Gastelum: Under 49.5 (56.03% confidence); Dustin Stoltzfus: Under 40.5 (56.38% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus | Go the distance | Yes (85.03% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus | Method of victory | Decision (45.18% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Santiago Luna vs Quang Le | Moneyline | Santiago Luna (67.42% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -162 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +136 |
| Santiago Luna vs Quang Le | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (74.81% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1600 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +650 |
| Santiago Luna vs Quang Le | Over/under significant strikes | Santiago Luna: Under 33.5 (64.23% confidence); Quang Le: Under 30.5 (66.95% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Santiago Luna vs Quang Le | Go the distance | No (59.66% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Santiago Luna vs Quang Le | Method of victory | KO/TKO (53.20% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira | Moneyline | Alexander Hernandez (66.32% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -112 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -108 |
| Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (85.85% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira | Over/under significant strikes | Alexander Hernandez: Under 54.5 (73.25% confidence); Diego Ferreira: Under 52.5 (71.33% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira | Go the distance | No (64.33% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira | Method of victory | KO/TKO (35.75% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jose Daniel Medina vs Duško Todorović | Moneyline | Duško Todorović (61.53% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +285 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -360 |
| Jose Daniel Medina vs Duško Todorović | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (73.55% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1100 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +550 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -180 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +140 |
| Jose Daniel Medina vs Duško Todorović | Over/under significant strikes | Jose Daniel Medina: Under 27.5 (74.46% confidence); Duško Todorović: Over 24.5 (59.47% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jose Daniel Medina vs Duško Todorović | Go the distance | Yes (86.19% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jose Daniel Medina vs Duško Todorović | Method of victory | Decision (60.12% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva | Moneyline | Joaquim Silva (51.48% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -135 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +114 |
| Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (84.98% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva | Over/under significant strikes | Claudio Puelles: Over 24.5 (58.50% confidence); Joaquim Silva: Under 40.5 (54.90% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva | Go the distance | Yes (69.98% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva | Method of victory | Decision (40.13% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos | Moneyline | Tatiana Suarez (60.20% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -410 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +320 |
| Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (72.75% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos | Over/under significant strikes | Tatiana Suarez: Under 37.5 (72.57% confidence); Amanda Lemos: Under 23.5 (60.13% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos | Go the distance | No (58.70% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos | Method of victory | Submission (45.98% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jesus Aguilar vs Luis Gurule | Moneyline | Jesus Aguilar (76.60% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +150 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -180 |
| Jesus Aguilar vs Luis Gurule | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (84.24% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jesus Aguilar vs Luis Gurule | Over/under significant strikes | Jesus Aguilar: Over 24.5 (65.80% confidence); Luis Gurule: Under 37.5 (54.92% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jesus Aguilar vs Luis Gurule | Go the distance | Yes (54.95% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jesus Aguilar vs Luis Gurule | Method of victory | Decision (39.84% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas | Moneyline | Zachary Reese (86.19% confidence) | No contest | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -230 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +190 |
| Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (80.58% confidence) | No contest | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas | Over/under significant strikes | Zachary Reese: Under 22.5 (69.47% confidence); Sedriques Dumas: Under 16.5 (66.29% confidence) | No contest | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas | Go the distance | No (68.36% confidence) | No contest | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas | Method of victory | KO/TKO (58.94% confidence) | No contest | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria | Moneyline | Alessandro Costa (80.58% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -340 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +270 |
| Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (79.84% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria | Over/under significant strikes | Alessandro Costa: Over 38.5 (70.10% confidence); Alden Coria: Under 42.5 (51.51% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria | Go the distance | Yes (66.71% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria | Method of victory | Decision (57.68% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Montserrat Rendon vs Alice Pereira | Moneyline | Alice Pereira (69.14% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +124 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -148 |
| Montserrat Rendon vs Alice Pereira | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (78.25% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Montserrat Rendon vs Alice Pereira | Over/under significant strikes | Montserrat Rendon: Under 38.5 (55.26% confidence); Alice Pereira: Under 36.5 (57.48% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Montserrat Rendon vs Alice Pereira | Go the distance | No (63.58% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Montserrat Rendon vs Alice Pereira | Method of victory | KO/TKO (63.57% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko | Moneyline | Daniil Donchenko (70.10% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +180 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -218 |
| Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (62.70% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko | Over/under significant strikes | Rodrigo Sezinando: Under 26.5 (53.66% confidence); Daniil Donchenko: Under 29.5 (51.34% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko | Go the distance | No (65.55% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko | Method of victory | KO/TKO (49.70% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva | DraftKings | Diego Lopes | +160 at 2025-06-25T19:13:33.444636-06:00 | +195 at 2025-09-13T11:00:58.311911-06:00 | 28 |
| Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva | DraftKings | Jean Silva | -192 at 2025-06-25T19:13:33.449541-06:00 | -238 at 2025-09-13T11:00:58.311938-06:00 | 28 |
| Rob Font vs David Martinez | DraftKings | David Martinez | +180 at 2025-09-06T10:23:03.207812-06:00 | +110 at 2025-09-13T17:18:37.000596-06:00 | 22 |
| Rob Font vs David Martinez | DraftKings | Rob Font | -218 at 2025-09-06T10:23:03.207765-06:00 | -130 at 2025-09-13T17:18:37.000559-06:00 | 22 |
| Rafa Garcia vs Jared Gordon | DraftKings | Jared Gordon | -192 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.313805-06:00 | -170 at 2025-09-13T16:47:45.532599-06:00 | 25 |
| Rafa Garcia vs Jared Gordon | DraftKings | Rafa Garcia | +160 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.313749-06:00 | +142 at 2025-09-13T16:47:45.532568-06:00 | 25 |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus | DraftKings | Dustin Stoltzfus | +200 at 2025-09-06T13:53:08.790308-06:00 | +180 at 2025-09-13T16:18:00.326387-06:00 | 16 |
| Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus | DraftKings | Kelvin Gastelum | -245 at 2025-09-06T13:53:08.790256-06:00 | -218 at 2025-09-13T16:18:00.326356-06:00 | 16 |
| Santiago Luna vs Quang Le | DraftKings | Quang Le | -135 at 2025-09-06T10:23:03.211049-06:00 | +136 at 2025-09-13T13:19:12.338567-06:00 | 16 |
| Santiago Luna vs Quang Le | DraftKings | Santiago Luna | +114 at 2025-09-06T10:23:03.210999-06:00 | -162 at 2025-09-13T13:19:12.338538-06:00 | 16 |
| Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira | DraftKings | Alexander Hernandez | -135 at 2025-09-08T15:42:10.941117-06:00 | -112 at 2025-09-13T16:18:00.320312-06:00 | 23 |
| Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira | DraftKings | Carlos Diego Ferreira | +114 at 2025-09-08T15:42:10.941169-06:00 | -108 at 2025-09-13T16:18:00.320356-06:00 | 23 |
| Jose Daniel Medina vs Duško Todorović | DraftKings | Dusko Todorovic | -265 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.339806-06:00 | -360 at 2025-09-13T11:00:58.288862-06:00 | 12 |
| Jose Daniel Medina vs Duško Todorović | DraftKings | José Daniel Medina | +215 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.339754-06:00 | +285 at 2025-09-13T11:00:58.288833-06:00 | 12 |
| Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva | DraftKings | Claudio Puelles | -108 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.365661-06:00 | -135 at 2025-09-13T08:28:17.147743-06:00 | 23 |
| Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva | DraftKings | Joaquim Silva | -112 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.365731-06:00 | +114 at 2025-09-13T08:28:17.147768-06:00 | 23 |
| Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos | DraftKings | Amanda Lemos | +230 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.375615-06:00 | +320 at 2025-09-13T08:28:17.143963-06:00 | 14 |
| Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos | DraftKings | Tatiana Suarez | -285 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.375541-06:00 | -410 at 2025-09-13T08:28:17.143936-06:00 | 14 |
| Jesus Aguilar vs Luis Gurule | DraftKings | Jesus Aguilar | +160 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.323548-06:00 | +150 at 2025-09-13T13:49:57.156247-06:00 | 32 |
| Jesus Aguilar vs Luis Gurule | DraftKings | Luis Gurule | -192 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.323598-06:00 | -180 at 2025-09-13T13:49:57.156278-06:00 | 32 |
| Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria | DraftKings | Alden Coria | +285 at 2025-09-06T14:22:03.424481-06:00 | +270 at 2025-09-13T11:00:58.266197-06:00 | 14 |
| Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria | DraftKings | Alessandro Costa | -360 at 2025-09-06T14:22:03.424408-06:00 | -340 at 2025-09-13T11:00:58.266165-06:00 | 14 |
| Montserrat Rendon vs Alice Pereira | DraftKings | Alice Pereira | -218 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.332642-06:00 | -148 at 2025-09-13T13:19:12.275979-06:00 | 22 |
| Montserrat Rendon vs Alice Pereira | DraftKings | Montserrat Rendon | +180 at 2025-08-16T12:48:02.332592-06:00 | +124 at 2025-09-13T13:19:12.275950-06:00 | 22 |
| Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko | DraftKings | Daniel Donchenko | -238 at 2025-09-08T15:42:10.908328-06:00 | -218 at 2025-09-13T13:19:12.266086-06:00 | 11 |
| Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko | DraftKings | Rodrigo Sezinando | +195 at 2025-09-08T15:42:10.908229-06:00 | +180 at 2025-09-13T13:19:12.266053-06:00 | 11 |