UFC Fight Night De Ridder vs Allen prediction records
Event date: . 13 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen | Moneyline | Reinier De Ridder (71.73% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -205 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +170 |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, Under 4.5 (79.89% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen | Over/under significant strikes | Reinier de Ridder: Under 58.5 (66.22% confidence); Brendan Allen: Under 54.5 (67.31% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen | Go the distance | Yes (84.92% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen | Method of victory | Submission (39.88% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott | Moneyline | Kevin Holland (60.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -115 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -105 |
| Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (75.86% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott | Over/under significant strikes | Kevin Holland: Over 49.5 (61.88% confidence); Mike Malott: Over 56.5 (58.77% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott | Go the distance | Yes (80.98% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott | Method of victory | Decision (43.65% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi | Moneyline | Aiemann Zahabi (77.93% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +114 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -135 |
| Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (73.73% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi | Over/under significant strikes | Marlon Vera: Over 42.5 (60.34% confidence); Aiemann Zahabi: Over 45.5 (57.66% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi | Go the distance | Yes (79.78% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi | Method of victory | Decision (40.55% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius | Moneyline | Manon Fiorot (71.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -225 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +185 |
| Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (71.98% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius | Over/under significant strikes | Manon Fiorot: Over 39.5 (55.12% confidence); Jasmine Jasudavicius: Over 34.5 (53.43% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius | Go the distance | Yes (86.38% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius | Method of victory | Decision (48.73% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cody Gibson vs Aoriqileng | Moneyline | Cody Gibson (70.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -185 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +154 |
| Cody Gibson vs Aoriqileng | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (86.09% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cody Gibson vs Aoriqileng | Over/under significant strikes | Cody Gibson: Over 36.5 (55.02% confidence); Aoriqileng: Over 29.5 (55.68% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cody Gibson vs Aoriqileng | Go the distance | Yes (57.53% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cody Gibson vs Aoriqileng | Method of victory | Decision (51.80% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola | Moneyline | Matt Frevola (56.28% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -125 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +105 |
| Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (80.01% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola | Over/under significant strikes | Kyle Nelson: Under 41.5 (64.05% confidence); Matt Frevola: Under 29.5 (60.52% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola | Go the distance | No (54.90% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola | Method of victory | KO/TKO (52.33% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant | Moneyline | Charles Jourdain (67.82% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -185 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +154 |
| Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (79.92% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant | Over/under significant strikes | Charles Jourdain: Under 29.5 (62.25% confidence); Davey Grant: Under 19.5 (59.71% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant | Go the distance | No (89.66% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant | Method of victory | Submission (42.25% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bruno Silva vs HyunSung Park | Moneyline | HyunSung Park (58.68% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +185 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -225 |
| Bruno Silva vs HyunSung Park | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (81.65% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bruno Silva vs HyunSung Park | Over/under significant strikes | Bruno Silva: Under 44.5 (65.96% confidence); HyunSung Park: Under 39.5 (60.22% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bruno Silva vs HyunSung Park | Go the distance | No (70.63% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bruno Silva vs HyunSung Park | Method of victory | KO/TKO (40.50% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos | Moneyline | Danny Barlow (75.68% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -245 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +200 |
| Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (73.26% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos | Over/under significant strikes | Danny Barlow: Under 49.5 (60.47% confidence); Djorden Santos: Under 49.5 (65.19% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos | Go the distance | No (88.43% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos | Method of victory | KO/TKO (47.55% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kyle Prepolec vs Drew Dober | Moneyline | Drew Dober (64.02% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +250 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -310 |
| Kyle Prepolec vs Drew Dober | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (81.29% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kyle Prepolec vs Drew Dober | Over/under significant strikes | Kyle Prepolec: Under 39.5 (63.84% confidence); Drew Dober: Under 49.5 (65.37% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kyle Prepolec vs Drew Dober | Go the distance | No (74.03% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kyle Prepolec vs Drew Dober | Method of victory | KO/TKO (50.68% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Stephanie Luciano vs Ravena Oliveira | Moneyline | Stephanie Luciano (76.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -298 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +240 |
| Stephanie Luciano vs Ravena Oliveira | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (61.10% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Stephanie Luciano vs Ravena Oliveira | Over/under significant strikes | Stephanie Luciano: Over 49.5 (61.81% confidence); Ravena Oliveira: Over 29.5 (56.74% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Stephanie Luciano vs Ravena Oliveira | Go the distance | No (58.50% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Stephanie Luciano vs Ravena Oliveira | Method of victory | Decision (46.50% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui | Moneyline | Azamat Bekoev (65.49% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -290 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +235 |
| Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (61.76% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui | Over/under significant strikes | Azamat Bekoev: Under 25.5 (60.06% confidence); Yousri Belgaroui: Under 29.5 (64.68% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui | Go the distance | No (85.72% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui | Method of victory | KO/TKO (50.60% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa | Moneyline | Tainara Lisboa (62.83% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -125 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +105 |
| Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (78.92% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa | Over/under significant strikes | Melissa Croden: Over 64.5 (57.24% confidence); Tainara Lisboa: Over 49.5 (55.89% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa | Go the distance | Yes (84.48% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa | Method of victory | Decision (56.95% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen | DraftKings | Brendan Allen | +164 at 2025-10-06T22:11:36.598562-06:00 | +170 at 2025-10-18T18:42:55.105222-06:00 | 11 |
| Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen | DraftKings | Reinier de Ridder | -198 at 2025-10-06T22:11:36.598523-06:00 | -205 at 2025-10-18T18:42:55.105187-06:00 | 11 |
| Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott | DraftKings | Kevin Holland | +120 at 2025-10-06T22:11:36.596224-06:00 | -115 at 2025-10-18T15:42:42.339219-06:00 | 10 |
| Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott | DraftKings | Mike Malott | -142 at 2025-10-06T22:11:36.596284-06:00 | -105 at 2025-10-18T15:42:42.339284-06:00 | 10 |
| Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi | DraftKings | Aiemann Zahabi | -166 at 2025-10-06T22:11:36.588763-06:00 | -135 at 2025-10-18T18:12:35.076798-06:00 | 24 |
| Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi | DraftKings | Marlon Vera | +140 at 2025-10-06T22:11:36.588643-06:00 | +114 at 2025-10-18T18:12:35.076772-06:00 | 24 |
| Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius | DraftKings | Jasmine Jasudavicius | +195 at 2025-10-06T22:11:36.592705-06:00 | +185 at 2025-10-18T18:12:35.067410-06:00 | 11 |
| Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius | DraftKings | Manon Fiorot | -238 at 2025-10-06T22:11:36.592633-06:00 | -225 at 2025-10-18T18:12:35.067364-06:00 | 11 |
| Cody Gibson vs Aoriqileng | DraftKings | Cody Gibson | -120 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.236391-06:00 | -185 at 2025-10-17T15:13:14.998639-06:00 | 16 |
| Cody Gibson vs Aoriqileng | DraftKings | Qileng Aori | +100 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.236470-06:00 | +154 at 2025-10-17T15:13:14.998677-06:00 | 16 |
| Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola | DraftKings | Kyle Nelson | +114 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.234099-06:00 | -125 at 2025-10-18T17:12:24.872374-06:00 | 28 |
| Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola | DraftKings | Matt Frevola | -135 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.234177-06:00 | +105 at 2025-10-18T17:12:24.872408-06:00 | 28 |
| Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant | DraftKings | Charles Jourdain | -135 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.231655-06:00 | -185 at 2025-10-18T12:12:48.005644-06:00 | 11 |
| Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant | DraftKings | Davey Grant | +114 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.231730-06:00 | +154 at 2025-10-18T12:12:48.005681-06:00 | 11 |
| Bruno Silva vs HyunSung Park | DraftKings | Bruno Silva | +200 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.229142-06:00 | +185 at 2025-10-18T12:43:15.317760-06:00 | 21 |
| Bruno Silva vs HyunSung Park | DraftKings | Hyun Sung Park | -245 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.229249-06:00 | -225 at 2025-10-18T12:43:15.317799-06:00 | 21 |
| Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos | DraftKings | Danny Barlow | -278 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.226338-06:00 | -245 at 2025-10-18T10:43:18.480448-06:00 | 15 |
| Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos | DraftKings | Diorden Santos | +225 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.226416-06:00 | +200 at 2025-10-18T10:43:18.480484-06:00 | 15 |
| Kyle Prepolec vs Drew Dober | DraftKings | Drew Dober | -455 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.224323-06:00 | -310 at 2025-10-18T15:13:28.229049-06:00 | 13 |
| Kyle Prepolec vs Drew Dober | DraftKings | Kyle Prepolec | +350 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.224237-06:00 | +250 at 2025-10-18T15:13:28.229010-06:00 | 13 |
| Stephanie Luciano vs Ravena Oliveira | DraftKings | Ravena Oliveira | +260 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.222152-06:00 | +240 at 2025-10-18T09:42:36.608394-06:00 | 15 |
| Stephanie Luciano vs Ravena Oliveira | DraftKings | Stephanie Luciano | -325 at 2025-10-11T12:12:59.222059-06:00 | -298 at 2025-10-18T09:42:36.608354-06:00 | 15 |
| Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui | DraftKings | Azamat Bekoev | -265 at 2025-10-11T12:43:50.961620-06:00 | -290 at 2025-10-18T13:13:18.841854-06:00 | 32 |
| Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui | DraftKings | Yousri Belgaroui | +215 at 2025-10-11T12:43:50.961668-06:00 | +235 at 2025-10-18T13:13:18.842000-06:00 | 32 |
| Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa | DraftKings | Melissa Croden | +136 at 2025-10-11T12:43:50.959737-06:00 | -125 at 2025-10-18T13:43:02.088110-06:00 | 25 |
| Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa | DraftKings | Tainara Lisboa | -162 at 2025-10-11T12:43:50.959788-06:00 | +105 at 2025-10-18T13:43:02.088146-06:00 | 25 |