UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Vallejos prediction records
Event date: . 14 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos | Moneyline | Josh Emmett (73.80% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +410 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -550 |
| Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.85% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -3500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +900 DraftKings / rounds / 3.5 / over: -160 DraftKings / rounds / 3.5 / under: +124 |
| Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos | Over/under significant strikes | Josh Emmett: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Kevin Vallejos: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 75.5 / over: +100 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 75.5 / under: -130 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 49.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 49.5 / under: -115 |
| Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos | Go the distance | Yes (51.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +135 DraftKings / distance / no: -200 |
| Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos | Method of victory | KO/TKO (58.10% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -140 DraftKings / method / Decision: +140 DraftKings / method / Submission: +120 |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | Moneyline | Amanda Lemos (61.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +190 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -230 |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.90% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -2500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +800 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -180 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +140 |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | Over/under significant strikes | Amanda Lemos: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Gillian Robertson: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 28.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 28.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 35.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 35.5 / under: -115 |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | Go the distance | No (60.30% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: -145 DraftKings / distance / no: +110 |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | Method of victory | Submission (42.90% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +180 DraftKings / method / Decision: +100 DraftKings / method / Submission: -200 |
| Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Moneyline | Andre Fili (61.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +320 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -410 |
| Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.90% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -575 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +350 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: +135 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: -175 |
| Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Over/under significant strikes | Andre Fili: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Jose Miguel Delgado: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 45.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 45.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 26.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 26.5 / under: -115 |
| Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Go the distance | No (60.30% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +200 DraftKings / distance / no: -275 |
| Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Method of victory | Submission (42.90% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -185 DraftKings / method / Decision: +200 DraftKings / method / Submission: +150 |
| Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick | Moneyline | Harry Hardwick (61.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -305 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +245 |
| Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.90% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +500 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -166 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +130 |
| Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick | Over/under significant strikes | Marwan Rahiki: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Harry Hardwick: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 38.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 38.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 24.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 24.5 / under: -115 |
| Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick | Go the distance | No (60.30% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +165 DraftKings / distance / no: -225 |
| Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick | Method of victory | KO/TKO (63.50% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -105 DraftKings / method / Decision: +165 DraftKings / method / Submission: +175 |
| Ion Cutelaba vs Oumar Sy | Moneyline | Oumar Sy (76.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +260 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -325 |
| Ion Cutelaba vs Oumar Sy | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.85% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -900 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +475 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -166 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +130 |
| Ion Cutelaba vs Oumar Sy | Over/under significant strikes | Ion Cutelaba: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Oumar Sy: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 25.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 25.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 33.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 33.5 / under: -115 |
| Ion Cutelaba vs Oumar Sy | Go the distance | Yes (69.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +165 DraftKings / distance / no: -225 |
| Ion Cutelaba vs Oumar Sy | Method of victory | Decision (59.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +400 DraftKings / method / Decision: +450 DraftKings / method / Submission: +425 |
| Charles Johnson vs Bruno Silva | Moneyline | Bruno Silva (56.50% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -185 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +154 |
| Charles Johnson vs Bruno Silva | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.80% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -3000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +850 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -180 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +140 |
| Charles Johnson vs Bruno Silva | Over/under significant strikes | Charles Johnson: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Bruno Silva: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 66.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 66.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 55.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 55.5 / under: -115 |
| Charles Johnson vs Bruno Silva | Go the distance | Yes (51.00% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -150 DraftKings / distance / no: +110 |
| Charles Johnson vs Bruno Silva | Method of victory | Decision (56.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +350 DraftKings / method / Decision: +100 DraftKings / method / Submission: +100 |
| Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai | Moneyline | Chris Curtis (67.00% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +360 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -470 |
| Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1800 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +700 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -160 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +124 |
| Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai | Over/under significant strikes | Chris Curtis: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Myktybek Orolbai: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai | Go the distance | Yes (52.00% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -135 DraftKings / distance / no: +100 |
| Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai | Method of victory | Decision (57.90% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +140 DraftKings / method / Decision: -120 DraftKings / method / Submission: -200 |
| Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund | Moneyline | Vitor Petrino (61.00% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -218 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +180 |
| Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.80% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -900 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +475 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -140 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +110 |
| Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund | Over/under significant strikes | Vitor Petrino: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Steven Asplund: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund | Go the distance | No (67.00% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +175 DraftKings / distance / no: -235 |
| Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund | Method of victory | KO/TKO (73.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -110 DraftKings / method / Decision: +200 DraftKings / method / Submission: -105 |
| Elijah Smith vs SuYoung You | Moneyline | SuYoung You (52.70% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -258 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +210 |
| Elijah Smith vs SuYoung You | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.95% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -5000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1000 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -260 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +195 |
| Elijah Smith vs SuYoung You | Over/under significant strikes | Elijah Smith: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); SuYoung You: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Elijah Smith vs SuYoung You | Go the distance | Yes (73.80% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: -225 DraftKings / distance / no: +165 |
| Elijah Smith vs SuYoung You | Method of victory | Decision (70.40% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +750 DraftKings / method / Decision: +275 DraftKings / method / Submission: +225 |
| Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa | Moneyline | Manoel Sousa (75.00% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +245 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -305 |
| Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.80% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +500 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -215 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +165 |
| Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa | Over/under significant strikes | Bolaji Oki: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Manoel Sousa: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa | Go the distance | No (61.30% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +130 DraftKings / distance / no: -170 |
| Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa | Method of victory | Decision (44.70% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +110 DraftKings / method / Decision: +140 DraftKings / method / Submission: +120 |
| Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders | Moneyline | Brad Tavares (55.60% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +114 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -135 |
| Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.85% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -3500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +900 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -175 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +135 |
| Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders | Over/under significant strikes | Brad Tavares: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Eryk Anders: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders | Go the distance | Yes (76.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -175 DraftKings / distance / no: +130 |
| Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders | Method of victory | Decision (59.80% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +300 DraftKings / method / Decision: +155 DraftKings / method / Submission: +165 |
| Bia Mesquita vs Montse Rendon | Moneyline | Montse Rendon (55.60% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -650 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +470 |
| Bia Mesquita vs Montse Rendon | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.85% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1400 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +600 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -260 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +195 |
| Bia Mesquita vs Montse Rendon | Over/under significant strikes | Bia Mesquita: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Montse Rendon: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Bia Mesquita vs Montse Rendon | Go the distance | Yes (76.70% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +130 DraftKings / distance / no: -175 |
| Bia Mesquita vs Montse Rendon | Method of victory | Decision (59.80% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +1400 DraftKings / method / Decision: +600 DraftKings / method / Submission: +550 |
| Luan Lacerda vs Hecher Sosa | Moneyline | Hecher Sosa (53.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +160 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -192 |
| Luan Lacerda vs Hecher Sosa | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Over 1.5 (96.80% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1100 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +550 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -130 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +100 |
| Luan Lacerda vs Hecher Sosa | Over/under significant strikes | Luan Lacerda: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Hecher Sosa: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Luan Lacerda vs Hecher Sosa | Go the distance | Yes (51.20% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +120 DraftKings / distance / no: -160 |
| Luan Lacerda vs Hecher Sosa | Method of victory | Submission (39.60% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +450 DraftKings / method / Decision: +275 DraftKings / method / Submission: +180 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes | Moneyline | Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -142 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +120 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes | Over/under rounds | Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -20000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1200 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -540 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +360 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes | Over/under significant strikes | Piera Rodriguez: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence); Sam Hughes: Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes | Go the distance | Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / distance / yes: -450 DraftKings / distance / no: +300 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes | Method of victory | Unavailable (Unavailable confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +700 DraftKings / method / Decision: +145 DraftKings / method / Submission: +130 |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos | DraftKings | Josh Emmett | +380 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.805237-07:00 | +410 at 2026-03-14T20:41:19.129098-06:00 | 14 |
| Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos | DraftKings | Kevin Vallejos | -500 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.805359-07:00 | -550 at 2026-03-14T20:41:19.129144-06:00 | 14 |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | DraftKings | Amanda Lemos | +154 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.801613-07:00 | +190 at 2026-03-14T20:11:24.513069-06:00 | 14 |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | DraftKings | Gillian Robertson | -185 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.801688-07:00 | -230 at 2026-03-14T20:11:24.513101-06:00 | 14 |
| Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado | DraftKings | Andre Fili | +220 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.790135-07:00 | +320 at 2026-03-14T19:41:23.920421-06:00 | 18 |
| Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado | DraftKings | Jose Delgado | -270 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.790193-07:00 | -410 at 2026-03-14T19:41:23.920451-06:00 | 18 |
| Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick | DraftKings | Harry Hardwick | +195 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.786591-07:00 | +245 at 2026-03-14T19:11:37.698748-06:00 | 13 |
| Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick | DraftKings | Marwan Rahiki | -238 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.786504-07:00 | -305 at 2026-03-14T19:11:37.698715-06:00 | 13 |
| Ion Cutelaba vs Oumar Sy | DraftKings | Ion Cutelaba | +150 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.793901-07:00 | +260 at 2026-03-14T18:11:39.118597-06:00 | 18 |
| Ion Cutelaba vs Oumar Sy | DraftKings | Oumar Sy | -180 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.793976-07:00 | -325 at 2026-03-14T18:11:39.118635-06:00 | 18 |
| Charles Johnson vs Bruno Silva | DraftKings | Bruno Silva | +170 at 2026-03-06T19:11:20.961126-07:00 | +154 at 2026-03-14T17:41:35.557303-06:00 | 15 |
| Charles Johnson vs Bruno Silva | DraftKings | Charles Johnson | -205 at 2026-03-06T19:11:20.961086-07:00 | -185 at 2026-03-14T17:41:35.557267-06:00 | 15 |
| Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai | DraftKings | Chris Curtis | +190 at 2026-03-06T19:11:20.956480-07:00 | +360 at 2026-03-14T16:11:22.856428-06:00 | 26 |
| Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai | DraftKings | Myktybek Orolbai | -230 at 2026-03-06T19:11:20.956543-07:00 | -470 at 2026-03-14T16:11:22.856512-06:00 | 26 |
| Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund | DraftKings | Steven Asplund | +180 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.783070-07:00 | +180 at 2026-03-14T11:11:34.437418-06:00 | 16 |
| Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund | DraftKings | Vitor Petrino | -218 at 2026-03-06T19:41:28.782993-07:00 | -218 at 2026-03-14T11:11:34.437380-06:00 | 16 |
| Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa | DraftKings | Bolaji Oki | +280 at 2026-03-06T19:11:20.954870-07:00 | +245 at 2026-03-14T11:11:34.360195-06:00 | 15 |
| Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa | DraftKings | Manoel Sousa | -355 at 2026-03-06T19:11:20.954919-07:00 | -305 at 2026-03-14T11:11:34.360234-06:00 | 15 |
| Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders | DraftKings | Brad Tavares | -135 at 2026-03-06T19:11:20.958254-07:00 | +114 at 2026-03-14T14:11:17.599847-06:00 | 22 |
| Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders | DraftKings | Eryk Anders | +114 at 2026-03-06T19:11:20.958345-07:00 | -135 at 2026-03-14T14:11:17.599889-06:00 | 22 |
| Luan Lacerda vs Hecher Sosa | DraftKings | Hecher Sosa | -230 at 2026-03-06T18:11:28.525812-07:00 | -192 at 2026-03-14T15:11:43.325163-06:00 | 20 |
| Luan Lacerda vs Hecher Sosa | DraftKings | Luan Lacerda | +190 at 2026-03-06T18:11:28.525730-07:00 | +160 at 2026-03-14T15:11:43.325123-06:00 | 20 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes | DraftKings | Piera Rodriguez | -125 at 2026-03-06T15:41:02.192773-07:00 | -142 at 2026-03-14T13:40:59.235915-06:00 | 15 |
| Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes | DraftKings | Sam Hughes | +105 at 2026-03-06T15:41:02.192840-07:00 | +120 at 2026-03-14T13:40:59.235943-06:00 | 15 |