UFC Fight Night Burnes vs Malott prediction records
Event date: . 12 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott | Moneyline | Mike Malott (62.33% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +225 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -278 |
| Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott | Over/under rounds | Under 3.5, 4.5 (79.04% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1100 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +550 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -105 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: -125 |
| Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott | Over/under significant strikes | Gilbert Burns: Under 35.5 (68.44% confidence); Mike Malott: Over 45.5 (63.42% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 41.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 41.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 31.5 / over: -125 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 31.5 / under: -105 |
| Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott | Go the distance | No (56.05% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +285 DraftKings / distance / no: -425 |
| Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott | Method of victory | KO/TKO (45.73% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -175 DraftKings / method / Decision: +390 DraftKings / method / Submission: +265 |
| Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain | Moneyline | Charles Jourdain (51.18% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +114 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -135 |
| Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (74.14% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -2500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +800 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -188 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +145 |
| Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain | Over/under significant strikes | Kyler Phillips: Over 55.5 (56.41% confidence); Charles Jourdain: Over 55.5 (58.26% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 56.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 56.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 52.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 52.5 / under: -115 |
| Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain | Go the distance | Yes (51.63% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -155 DraftKings / distance / no: +120 |
| Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain | Method of victory | Decision (52.50% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +425 DraftKings / method / Decision: +200 DraftKings / method / Submission: +170 |
| Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert | Moneyline | Jai Herbert (59.45% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -166 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +140 |
| Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (85.81% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +500 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: +114 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: -145 |
| Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert | Over/under significant strikes | Mandel Nallo: Under 46.5 (72.33% confidence); Jai Herbert: Under 42.5 (64.90% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 37.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 37.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 35.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 35.5 / under: -115 |
| Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert | Go the distance | Yes (55.53% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +165 DraftKings / distance / no: -220 |
| Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert | Method of victory | KO/TKO (65.83% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +350 DraftKings / method / Decision: +270 DraftKings / method / Submission: +275 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva | Moneyline | Jasmine Jasudavicius (69.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -345 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +275 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (78.39% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -8000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1100 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -210 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +160 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva | Over/under significant strikes | Jasmine Jasudavicius: Over 45.5 (63.87% confidence); Karine Silva: Under 33.5 (64.47% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 43.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 43.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 29.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 29.5 / under: -115 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva | Go the distance | Yes (57.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -250 DraftKings / distance / no: +185 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva | Method of victory | Decision (73.69% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +550 DraftKings / method / Decision: +425 DraftKings / method / Submission: +290 |
| Thiago Moisés vs Gauge Young | Moneyline | Gauge Young (51.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +145 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -175 |
| Thiago Moisés vs Gauge Young | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (56.29% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -3000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +850 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -195 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +150 |
| Thiago Moisés vs Gauge Young | Over/under significant strikes | Thiago Moisés: Under 35.5 (71.28% confidence); Gauge Young: Under 50.5 (57.92% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 52.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 52.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 32.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 32.5 / under: -115 |
| Thiago Moisés vs Gauge Young | Go the distance | No (85.27% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: -160 DraftKings / distance / no: +120 |
| Thiago Moisés vs Gauge Young | Method of victory | KO/TKO (58.39% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +400 DraftKings / method / Decision: +175 DraftKings / method / Submission: +115 |
| Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa | Moneyline | Marcio Barbosa (60.32% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +285 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -360 |
| Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (83.17% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -360 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +250 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +120 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -154 |
| Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa | Over/under significant strikes | Dennis Buzukja: Under 19.5 (69.70% confidence); Marcio Barbosa: Over 29.5 (62.73% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 28.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 28.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 18.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 18.5 / under: -115 |
| Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa | Go the distance | No (64.58% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +350 DraftKings / distance / no: -550 |
| Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa | Method of victory | KO/TKO (70.03% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -300 DraftKings / method / Decision: +350 DraftKings / method / Submission: +275 |
| Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin | Moneyline | Robert Valentin (63.66% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +145 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -175 |
| Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (81.61% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +500 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -175 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +135 |
| Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin | Over/under significant strikes | Julien Leblanc: Under 23.5 (74.66% confidence); Robert Valentin: Under 30.5 (67.58% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin | Go the distance | No (65.88% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +165 DraftKings / distance / no: -220 |
| Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin | Method of victory | KO/TKO (66.44% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +110 DraftKings / method / Decision: +275 DraftKings / method / Submission: +120 |
| Tanner Boser vs Gokhan Saricam | Moneyline | Gokhan Saricam (60.29% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +120 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -142 |
| Tanner Boser vs Gokhan Saricam | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (73.46% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1800 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +700 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -160 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +124 |
| Tanner Boser vs Gokhan Saricam | Over/under significant strikes | Tanner Boser: Under 40.5 (63.05% confidence); Gokhan Saricam: Under 40.5 (61.44% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Tanner Boser vs Gokhan Saricam | Go the distance | No (67.66% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -115 DraftKings / distance / no: -115 |
| Tanner Boser vs Gokhan Saricam | Method of victory | KO/TKO (72.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +185 DraftKings / method / Decision: +155 DraftKings / method / Submission: +160 |
| Melissa Croden vs Daria Zhelezniakova | Moneyline | Daria Zhelezniakova (56.61% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -142 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +120 |
| Melissa Croden vs Daria Zhelezniakova | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (74.07% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -5000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1000 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -210 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +160 |
| Melissa Croden vs Daria Zhelezniakova | Over/under significant strikes | Melissa Croden: Over 44.5 (59.37% confidence); Daria Zhelezniakova: Over 48.5 (60.11% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Croden vs Daria Zhelezniakova | Go the distance | Yes (65.63% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -200 DraftKings / distance / no: +150 |
| Melissa Croden vs Daria Zhelezniakova | Method of victory | Decision (57.42% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +190 DraftKings / method / Decision: +105 DraftKings / method / Submission: -115 |
| JJ Aldrich vs Jamey-Lyn Horth | Moneyline | JJ Aldrich (54.07% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +154 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -185 |
| JJ Aldrich vs Jamey-Lyn Horth | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (93.88% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -20000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +1200 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -475 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +325 |
| JJ Aldrich vs Jamey-Lyn Horth | Over/under significant strikes | JJ Aldrich: Over 26.5 (75.82% confidence); Jamey-Lyn Horth: Over 22.5 (71.39% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| JJ Aldrich vs Jamey-Lyn Horth | Go the distance | Yes (84.78% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -450 DraftKings / distance / no: +300 |
| JJ Aldrich vs Jamey-Lyn Horth | Method of victory | Decision (83.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +500 DraftKings / method / Decision: -125 DraftKings / method / Submission: -145 |
| John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin | Moneyline | John Castaneda (54.60% confidence) | Draw | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -148 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +124 |
| John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (85.88% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -2500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +800 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -215 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +165 |
| John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin | Over/under significant strikes | John Castaneda: Over 42.5 (58.04% confidence); Mark Vologdin: Over 58.5 (54.66% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin | Go the distance | Yes (54.60% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -150 DraftKings / distance / no: +110 |
| John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin | Method of victory | Decision (49.73% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +330 DraftKings / method / Decision: +185 DraftKings / method / Submission: +195 |
| Jamie Siraj vs John Yannis | Moneyline | Jamie Siraj (51.66% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -265 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +215 |
| Jamie Siraj vs John Yannis | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (90.01% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1400 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +600 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -110 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: -120 |
| Jamie Siraj vs John Yannis | Over/under significant strikes | Jamie Siraj: Under 26.5 (64.21% confidence); John Yannis: Under 22.5 (55.73% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jamie Siraj vs John Yannis | Go the distance | Yes (64.73% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +110 DraftKings / distance / no: -145 |
| Jamie Siraj vs John Yannis | Method of victory | Decision (48.01% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +400 DraftKings / method / Decision: +400 DraftKings / method / Submission: +425 |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott | DraftKings | Gilbert Burns | +330 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.784322-06:00 | +225 at 2026-04-18T18:16:56.135962-06:00 | 23 |
| Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott | DraftKings | Mike Malott | -425 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.784483-06:00 | -278 at 2026-04-18T18:16:56.136000-06:00 | 23 |
| Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain | DraftKings | Charles Jourdain | -170 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.768295-06:00 | -135 at 2026-04-18T19:44:00.711681-06:00 | 16 |
| Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain | DraftKings | Kyler Phillips | +142 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.768200-06:00 | +114 at 2026-04-18T19:44:00.711650-06:00 | 16 |
| Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert | DraftKings | Jai Herbert | +150 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.754292-06:00 | +140 at 2026-04-18T18:16:56.117579-06:00 | 13 |
| Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert | DraftKings | Mandel Nallo | -180 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.754201-06:00 | -166 at 2026-04-18T18:16:56.117540-06:00 | 13 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva | DraftKings | Jasmine Jasudavicius | -298 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.735092-06:00 | -345 at 2026-04-18T18:46:24.511167-06:00 | 15 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva | DraftKings | Karine Silva | +240 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.735211-06:00 | +275 at 2026-04-18T18:46:24.511248-06:00 | 15 |
| Thiago Moisés vs Gauge Young | DraftKings | Gauge Young | -130 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.715198-06:00 | -175 at 2026-04-18T18:16:56.093055-06:00 | 15 |
| Thiago Moisés vs Gauge Young | DraftKings | Thiago Moisés | +110 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.715120-06:00 | +145 at 2026-04-18T18:16:56.093011-06:00 | 15 |
| Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa | DraftKings | Dennis Buzukia | +340 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.693239-06:00 | +285 at 2026-04-18T17:19:35.765292-06:00 | 16 |
| Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa | DraftKings | Márcio Barbosa | -440 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.693327-06:00 | -360 at 2026-04-18T17:19:35.765609-06:00 | 16 |
| Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin | DraftKings | Julien Leblanc | +105 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.662912-06:00 | +145 at 2026-04-18T16:47:16.042685-06:00 | 14 |
| Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin | DraftKings | Robert Valentin | -125 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.662998-06:00 | -175 at 2026-04-18T16:47:16.042715-06:00 | 14 |
| Tanner Boser vs Gokhan Saricam | DraftKings | Gokhan Saricam | -155 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.636766-06:00 | -142 at 2026-04-18T14:19:05.323699-06:00 | 8 |
| Tanner Boser vs Gokhan Saricam | DraftKings | Tanner Boser | +130 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.636606-06:00 | +120 at 2026-04-18T14:19:05.323664-06:00 | 8 |
| Melissa Croden vs Daria Zhelezniakova | DraftKings | Dariya Zheleznyakova | +140 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.618174-06:00 | +120 at 2026-04-18T16:18:41.798944-06:00 | 15 |
| Melissa Croden vs Daria Zhelezniakova | DraftKings | Melissa Croden | -166 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.618079-06:00 | -142 at 2026-04-18T16:18:41.798907-06:00 | 15 |
| JJ Aldrich vs Jamey-Lyn Horth | DraftKings | JJ Aldrich | +160 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.571815-06:00 | +154 at 2026-04-18T15:57:01.266627-06:00 | 15 |
| JJ Aldrich vs Jamey-Lyn Horth | DraftKings | Jamey-Lyn Horth | -192 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.571899-06:00 | -185 at 2026-04-18T15:57:01.266678-06:00 | 15 |
| John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin | DraftKings | John Castaneda | -115 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.555203-06:00 | -148 at 2026-04-17T22:13:36.812105-06:00 | 12 |
| John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin | DraftKings | Mark Vologdin | -105 at 2026-04-13T08:41:16.555354-06:00 | +124 at 2026-04-17T22:13:36.812172-06:00 | 12 |
| Jamie Siraj vs John Yannis | DraftKings | Jamie Siraj | -265 at 2026-04-14T06:11:01.527573-06:00 | -265 at 2026-04-18T14:19:05.286284-06:00 | 7 |
| Jamie Siraj vs John Yannis | DraftKings | John Yannis | +215 at 2026-04-14T06:11:01.527692-06:00 | +215 at 2026-04-18T14:19:05.286321-06:00 | 7 |