UFC Fight Night Ankalaev vs Guskov prediction records
Event date: . 13 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov | Moneyline | Magomed Ankalaev (67.30% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -485 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +370 |
| Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov | Over/under rounds | Over 1.5, 2.5 (68.24% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -900 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +475 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -120 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: -110 |
| Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov | Over/under significant strikes | Magomed Ankalaev: Over 42.5 (62.87% confidence); Bogdan Guskov: Under 29.5 (56.43% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 37.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 37.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 24.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 24.5 / under: -115 |
| Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov | Go the distance | Yes (64.85% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +300 DraftKings / distance / no: -450 |
| Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov | Method of victory | Decision (47.33% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +1000 DraftKings / method / Decision: +300 DraftKings / method / Submission: +225 |
| Steve Erceg vs Ramazan Temirov | Moneyline | Ramazan Temirov (56.51% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -112 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -108 |
| Steve Erceg vs Ramazan Temirov | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (83.02% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -2500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +800 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -220 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +170 |
| Steve Erceg vs Ramazan Temirov | Over/under significant strikes | Steve Erceg: Under 58.5 (57.49% confidence); Ramazan Temirov: Over 32.5 (61.97% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / sig_strikes / 56.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 56.5 / under: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 53.5 / over: -115 DraftKings / sig_strikes / 53.5 / under: -115 |
| Steve Erceg vs Ramazan Temirov | Go the distance | No (72.75% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -150 DraftKings / distance / no: +110 |
| Steve Erceg vs Ramazan Temirov | Method of victory | KO/TKO (46.13% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +225 DraftKings / method / Decision: +215 DraftKings / method / Submission: +240 |
| Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman | Moneyline | Islam Dulatov (58.67% confidence) | Cancelled | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -950 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +625 |
| Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (76.85% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman | Over/under significant strikes | Islam Dulatov: Over 24.5 (58.28% confidence); Wellington Turman: Under 24.5 (64.67% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman | Go the distance | Yes (57.98% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman | Method of victory | KO/TKO (61.87% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki | Moneyline | Magomed Zaynukov (69.86% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -258 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +210 |
| Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (65.54% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1400 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +600 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -270 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +200 |
| Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki | Over/under significant strikes | Magomed Zaynukov: Over 64.5 (64.81% confidence); Damian Rzepecki: Under 28.5 (61.70% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki | Go the distance | Yes (58.24% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -105 DraftKings / distance / no: -125 |
| Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki | Method of victory | Decision (58.43% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -105 DraftKings / method / Decision: +450 DraftKings / method / Submission: +300 |
| Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune | Moneyline | Rizvan Kuniev (62.96% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -340 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +270 |
| Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (61.45% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -2000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +750 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -166 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +130 |
| Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune | Over/under significant strikes | Rizvan Kuniev: Over 39.5 (56.91% confidence); Tyrell Fortune: Under 24.5 (60.28% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune | Go the distance | No (80.37% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -125 DraftKings / distance / no: -105 |
| Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune | Method of victory | KO/TKO (60.27% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +650 DraftKings / method / Decision: +400 DraftKings / method / Submission: +400 |
| Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | Moneyline | Abubakar Vagaev (58.30% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -198 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +164 |
| Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (65.89% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -3500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +900 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -250 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +190 |
| Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | Over/under significant strikes | Abubakar Vagaev: Over 29.5 (58.64% confidence); Saygid Izagakhmaev: Under 24.5 (53.13% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | Go the distance | No (80.72% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: -185 DraftKings / distance / no: +140 |
| Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | Method of victory | KO/TKO (64.55% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +380 DraftKings / method / Decision: -160 DraftKings / method / Submission: -185 |
| Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen | Moneyline | Valter Walker (55.93% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -170 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +142 |
| Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 (86.98% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -900 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +475 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -166 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +130 |
| Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen | Over/under significant strikes | Valter Walker: Under 18.5 (62.47% confidence); Thomas Petersen: Under 31.5 (58.58% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen | Go the distance | No (58.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +150 DraftKings / distance / no: -200 |
| Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen | Method of victory | Decision (37.10% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +400 DraftKings / method / Decision: +240 DraftKings / method / Submission: +250 |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Saidov | Moneyline | Dustin Jacoby (59.31% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -185 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +154 |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Saidov | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (83.46% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1000 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +500 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -180 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: +140 |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Saidov | Over/under significant strikes | Dustin Jacoby: Over 38.5 (59.87% confidence); Muhammad Saidov: Under 24.5 (58.99% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Saidov | Go the distance | Yes (61.61% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +140 DraftKings / distance / no: -185 |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Saidov | Method of victory | Decision (37.88% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +250 DraftKings / method / Decision: +380 DraftKings / method / Submission: +300 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson | Moneyline | Sam Patterson (62.02% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +370 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -485 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (92.70% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +320 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: -110 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -120 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson | Over/under significant strikes | Santiago Ponzinibbio: Over 44.5 (54.64% confidence); Sam Patterson: Under 18.5 (58.71% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson | Go the distance | No (65.33% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +225 DraftKings / distance / no: -310 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson | Method of victory | KO/TKO (49.07% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -185 DraftKings / method / Decision: +215 DraftKings / method / Submission: +115 |
| Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola | Moneyline | Axel Sola (57.17% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +160 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -192 |
| Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (82.75% confidence) | Not graded | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -1100 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +550 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -135 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +105 |
| Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola | Over/under significant strikes | Ismael Bonfim: Under 43.5 (52.78% confidence); Axel Sola: Over 47.5 (59.91% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola | Go the distance | Yes (67.88% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +130 DraftKings / distance / no: -170 |
| Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola | Method of victory | Decision (51.87% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +125 DraftKings / method / Decision: +180 DraftKings / method / Submission: +180 |
| Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro | Moneyline | Magomed Tuchalov (52.21% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -850 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +575 |
| Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (86.38% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -260 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +185 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / over: +185 DraftKings / rounds / 1.5 / under: -245 |
| Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro | Over/under significant strikes | Magomed Tuchalov: Over 29.5 (54.08% confidence); Brendson Ribeiro: Under 18.5 (52.10% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro | Go the distance | Yes (74.16% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: +450 DraftKings / distance / no: -750 |
| Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro | Method of victory | Decision (55.57% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -450 DraftKings / method / Submission: +300 DraftKings / method / Decision: +400 |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis | Moneyline | Nurullo Aliev (57.91% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -230 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +190 |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (88.98% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -3500 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +900 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: -215 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: +165 |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis | Over/under significant strikes | Nurullo Aliev: Over 29.5 (55.81% confidence); Mike Davis: Under 49.5 (55.91% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis | Go the distance | Yes (74.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / distance / yes: -175 DraftKings / distance / no: +135 |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis | Method of victory | Decision (65.60% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: +350 DraftKings / method / Decision: +350 DraftKings / method / Submission: +265 |
| Cody Gibson vs Abdul Hussein | Moneyline | Abdul Hussein (66.42% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +425 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -575 |
| Cody Gibson vs Abdul Hussein | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (94.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / over: -650 DraftKings / rounds / 0.5 / under: +380 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / over: +145 DraftKings / rounds / 2.5 / under: -188 |
| Cody Gibson vs Abdul Hussein | Over/under significant strikes | Cody Gibson: Under 37.5 (61.12% confidence); Abdul Hussein: Over 34.5 (59.93% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cody Gibson vs Abdul Hussein | Go the distance | Yes (71.72% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / distance / yes: +180 DraftKings / distance / no: -245 |
| Cody Gibson vs Abdul Hussein | Method of victory | Decision (67.58% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / method / KO/TKO: -160 DraftKings / method / Decision: +165 DraftKings / method / Submission: -145 |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov | DraftKings | Bogdan Guskov | +400 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.352880-06:00 | +370 at 2026-07-25T12:12:53.035688-06:00 | 15 |
| Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov | DraftKings | Magomed Ankalaev | -535 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.352827-06:00 | -485 at 2026-07-25T12:12:53.035667-06:00 | 15 |
| Steve Erceg vs Ramazan Temirov | DraftKings | Ramazan Temurov | +110 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.343119-06:00 | -108 at 2026-07-25T11:42:28.027073-06:00 | 27 |
| Steve Erceg vs Ramazan Temirov | DraftKings | Steve Erceg | -130 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.342990-06:00 | -112 at 2026-07-25T11:42:28.027025-06:00 | 27 |
| Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman | DraftKings | Islam Dulatov | -750 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.332473-06:00 | -950 at 2026-07-25T03:41:57.236472-06:00 | 12 |
| Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman | DraftKings | Wellington Turman | +525 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.332534-06:00 | +625 at 2026-07-25T03:41:57.236491-06:00 | 12 |
| Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki | DraftKings | Damian Rzepecki | +295 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.323489-06:00 | +210 at 2026-07-25T11:13:07.022784-06:00 | 35 |
| Magomed Zaynukov vs Damian Rzepecki | DraftKings | Magomed Zaynukov | -375 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.323439-06:00 | -258 at 2026-07-25T11:13:07.022752-06:00 | 35 |
| Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune | DraftKings | Rizvan Kuniev | -265 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.314338-06:00 | -340 at 2026-07-25T10:42:41.627610-06:00 | 17 |
| Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune | DraftKings | Tyrell Fortune | +215 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.314428-06:00 | +270 at 2026-07-25T10:42:41.627643-06:00 | 17 |
| Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | DraftKings | Abubakar Vagaev | -205 at 2026-07-21T12:41:12.180303-06:00 | -198 at 2026-07-25T10:13:05.827751-06:00 | 10 |
| Abubakar Vagaev vs Saygid Izagakhmaev | DraftKings | Saygid Izagakhmaev | +170 at 2026-07-21T12:41:12.180419-06:00 | +164 at 2026-07-25T10:13:05.827784-06:00 | 10 |
| Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen | DraftKings | Thomas Petersen | +220 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.299162-06:00 | +142 at 2026-07-25T08:42:25.908107-06:00 | 21 |
| Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen | DraftKings | Valter Walker | -270 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.299099-06:00 | -170 at 2026-07-25T08:42:25.907022-06:00 | 21 |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Saidov | DraftKings | Dustin Jacoby | -166 at 2026-07-21T08:10:39.242643-06:00 | -185 at 2026-07-25T07:12:47.053578-06:00 | 12 |
| Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Saidov | DraftKings | Muhammad Said | +140 at 2026-07-21T08:10:39.242684-06:00 | +154 at 2026-07-25T07:12:47.053597-06:00 | 12 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson | DraftKings | Sam Patterson | -410 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.292998-06:00 | -485 at 2026-07-25T06:42:12.305881-06:00 | 15 |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson | DraftKings | Santiago Ponzinibbio | +320 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.292939-06:00 | +370 at 2026-07-25T06:42:12.305850-06:00 | 15 |
| Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola | DraftKings | Ismael Bonfim | +160 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.308581-06:00 | +160 at 2026-07-25T06:12:23.528451-06:00 | 22 |
| Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola | DraftKings | Sola Axel | -192 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.308644-06:00 | -192 at 2026-07-25T06:12:23.528485-06:00 | 22 |
| Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro | DraftKings | Brendson Ribeiro | +490 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.286501-06:00 | +575 at 2026-07-25T07:43:00.524334-06:00 | 16 |
| Magomed Tuchalov vs Brendson Ribeiro | DraftKings | Magomed Tuchalov | -675 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.286447-06:00 | -850 at 2026-07-25T07:43:00.524309-06:00 | 16 |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis | DraftKings | Mike Davis | +124 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.277720-06:00 | +190 at 2026-07-25T07:43:00.519438-06:00 | 24 |
| Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis | DraftKings | Nurullo Aliev | -148 at 2026-07-18T14:41:08.277660-06:00 | -230 at 2026-07-25T07:43:00.519417-06:00 | 24 |
| Cody Gibson vs Abdul Hussein | DraftKings | Abdul Hussein | -455 at 2026-07-21T08:10:39.206717-06:00 | -575 at 2026-07-25T07:12:47.023897-06:00 | 14 |
| Cody Gibson vs Abdul Hussein | DraftKings | Cody Gibson | +350 at 2026-07-21T08:10:39.206585-06:00 | +425 at 2026-07-25T07:12:47.023870-06:00 | 14 |