UFC Fight Night Royval vs Kape prediction records
Event date: . 12 recorded matchups.
These records preserve the published predictions after the event. Confidence is a model estimate, not a guarantee or the archive win rate. Results use the recorded grading for each market. Missing picks, odds and grades stay unavailable; they are not fabricated. Odds shown here are historical American-odds snapshots from the public archive. Historical line movement and additional sportsbook views are available in the interactive archive under its access rules.
Prediction and data methodology · Report a sourced correction
| Matchup | Market | Published pick and confidence | Graded result | Recorded American odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape | Moneyline | Brandon Royval (63.73% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +210 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -258 |
| Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 (78.28% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape | Over/under significant strikes | Brandon Royval: Over 29.5 (100.0% confidence); Manel Kape: Over 31.5 (100.0% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape | Go the distance | Yes (59.03% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape | Method of victory | Decision (40.98% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos | Moneyline | Giga Chikadze (68.68% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +295 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -375 |
| Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (81.58% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos | Over/under significant strikes | Giga Chikadze: Over 29.5 (100.0% confidence); Kevin Vallejos: Over 31.5 (100.0% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos | Go the distance | Yes (73.68% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos | Method of victory | Decision (37.80% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cesar Almeida vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk | Moneyline | Cezary Oleksiejczuk (79.93% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +170 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -205 |
| Cesar Almeida vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (83.58% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cesar Almeida vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk | Over/under significant strikes | Cesar Almeida: Over 29.5 (100.0% confidence); Cezary Oleksiejczuk: Over 31.5 (100.0% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cesar Almeida vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk | Go the distance | No (50.70% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Cesar Almeida vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk | Method of victory | KO/TKO (50.05% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere | Moneyline | Melquizael Costa (74.07% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -162 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +136 |
| Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (73.51% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere | Over/under significant strikes | Melquizael Costa: Over 31.5 (100.0% confidence); Morgan Charriere: Over 29.5 (100.0% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere | Go the distance | Yes (82.25% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere | Method of victory | Decision (36.95% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Marcus Buchecha | Moneyline | Kennedy Nzechukwu (82.95% confidence) | Draw | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -125 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +105 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Marcus Buchecha | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (78.79% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Marcus Buchecha | Over/under significant strikes | Kennedy Nzechukwu: Over 29.5 (100.0% confidence); Marcus Buchecha: Over 31.5 (100.0% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Marcus Buchecha | Go the distance | No (88.00% confidence) | Draw | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Marcus Buchecha | Method of victory | KO/TKO (44.73% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | Moneyline | Gillian Robertson (50.30% confidence) | Cancelled | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +170 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -205 |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (67.82% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | Over/under significant strikes | Amanda Lemos: Over 29.5 (100.0% confidence); Gillian Robertson: Over 31.5 (100.0% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | Go the distance | No (76.92% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | Method of victory | Submission (42.00% confidence) | Cancelled | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Joanderson Brito vs Melsik Baghdasaryan | Moneyline | Joanderson Brito (69.63% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: -245 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: +200 |
| Joanderson Brito vs Melsik Baghdasaryan | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (88.58% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Joanderson Brito vs Melsik Baghdasaryan | Over/under significant strikes | Joanderson Brito: Over 29.5 (100.0% confidence); Melsik Baghdasaryan: Over 31.5 (100.0% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Joanderson Brito vs Melsik Baghdasaryan | Go the distance | No (59.90% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Joanderson Brito vs Melsik Baghdasaryan | Method of victory | KO/TKO (37.65% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Neil Magny vs Yaroslav Amosov | Moneyline | Yaroslav Amosov (73.35% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +400 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -535 |
| Neil Magny vs Yaroslav Amosov | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (85.73% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Neil Magny vs Yaroslav Amosov | Over/under significant strikes | Neil Magny: Under 29.5 (100.0% confidence); Yaroslav Amosov: Under 31.5 (100.0% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Neil Magny vs Yaroslav Amosov | Go the distance | No (54.15% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Neil Magny vs Yaroslav Amosov | Method of victory | Submission (44.83% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sean Sharaf vs Steven Asplund | Moneyline | Steven Asplund (89.58% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +185 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -225 |
| Sean Sharaf vs Steven Asplund | Over/under rounds | Under 1.5, 2.5 (61.77% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sean Sharaf vs Steven Asplund | Over/under significant strikes | Sean Sharaf: Over 29.5 (100.0% confidence); Steven Asplund: Over 31.5 (100.0% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sean Sharaf vs Steven Asplund | Go the distance | No (65.91% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Sean Sharaf vs Steven Asplund | Method of victory | KO/TKO (45.75% confidence) | Correct | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Croden vs Luana Santos | Moneyline | Luana Santos (65.65% confidence) | Correct | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +114 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -135 |
| Melissa Croden vs Luana Santos | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (75.16% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Croden vs Luana Santos | Over/under significant strikes | Melissa Croden: Over 31.5 (100.0% confidence); Luana Santos: Over 29.5 (100.0% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Croden vs Luana Santos | Go the distance | No (79.11% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Melissa Croden vs Luana Santos | Method of victory | Submission (46.03% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Allen Frye Jr. vs Guilherme Pat | Moneyline | Allen Frye Jr. (61.93% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +142 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -170 |
| Allen Frye Jr. vs Guilherme Pat | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, Under 2.5 (69.21% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Allen Frye Jr. vs Guilherme Pat | Over/under significant strikes | Allen Frye Jr.: No pick recorded; Guilherme Pat: No pick recorded | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Allen Frye Jr. vs Guilherme Pat | Go the distance | No (90.07% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Allen Frye Jr. vs Guilherme Pat | Method of victory | KO/TKO (52.56% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda | Moneyline | Tereza Bledá (64.16% confidence) | Incorrect | DraftKings / moneyline / red: +180 DraftKings / moneyline / blue: -218 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda | Over/under rounds | Over 0.5, 1.5 (88.96% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda | Over/under significant strikes | Jamey-Lyn Horth: Over 31.5 (100.0% confidence); Tereza Bleda: Over 29.5 (100.0% confidence) | Not graded | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda | Go the distance | No (57.50% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda | Method of victory | Submission (38.34% confidence) | Incorrect | Not recorded in the public snapshot |
Recorded public odds movement
First and last captured prices for each labelled outcome in the public snapshot. These are captured observations, not a claim to have the sportsbook's opening or closing price. The interactive archive provides the available intermediate observations.
| Matchup | Sportsbook | Outcome | First capture | Last capture | Captures |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape | DraftKings | Brandon Royval | +200 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.111791-07:00 | +210 at 2025-12-13T22:42:44.032756-07:00 | 17 |
| Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape | DraftKings | Manel Kape | -245 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.111861-07:00 | -258 at 2025-12-13T22:42:44.032816-07:00 | 17 |
| Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos | DraftKings | Giga Chikadze | +190 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.104193-07:00 | +295 at 2025-12-13T22:12:45.672018-07:00 | 20 |
| Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos | DraftKings | Kevin Vallejos | -230 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.104250-07:00 | -375 at 2025-12-13T22:12:45.672062-07:00 | 20 |
| Cesar Almeida vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk | DraftKings | Cesar Almeida | +136 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.101766-07:00 | +170 at 2025-12-13T21:13:33.513005-07:00 | 18 |
| Cesar Almeida vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk | DraftKings | Cezary Oleksiejczuk | -162 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.101833-07:00 | -205 at 2025-12-13T21:13:33.513030-07:00 | 18 |
| Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere | DraftKings | Melquizael Costa | -130 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.097706-07:00 | -162 at 2025-12-13T21:13:33.506128-07:00 | 24 |
| Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere | DraftKings | Morgan Charriere | +110 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.097826-07:00 | +136 at 2025-12-13T21:13:33.506165-07:00 | 24 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Marcus Buchecha | DraftKings | Kennedy Nzechukwu | -148 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.089712-07:00 | -125 at 2025-12-13T20:42:26.918685-07:00 | 19 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Marcus Buchecha | DraftKings | Marcus Buchecha | +124 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.089775-07:00 | +105 at 2025-12-13T20:42:26.918746-07:00 | 19 |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | DraftKings | Amanda Lemos | +142 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.084723-07:00 | +170 at 2025-12-13T10:15:14.821745-07:00 | 17 |
| Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson | DraftKings | Gillian Robertson | -170 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.084789-07:00 | -205 at 2025-12-13T10:15:14.821782-07:00 | 17 |
| Joanderson Brito vs Melsik Baghdasaryan | DraftKings | Joanderson Brito | -218 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.079887-07:00 | -245 at 2025-12-10T02:51:39.430765-07:00 | 11 |
| Joanderson Brito vs Melsik Baghdasaryan | DraftKings | Melsik Bagdasaryan | +180 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.079950-07:00 | +200 at 2025-12-10T02:51:39.430802-07:00 | 11 |
| Neil Magny vs Yaroslav Amosov | DraftKings | Neil Magny | +310 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.074609-07:00 | +400 at 2025-12-13T17:43:11.207348-07:00 | 14 |
| Neil Magny vs Yaroslav Amosov | DraftKings | Yaroslav Amosov | -395 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.074676-07:00 | -535 at 2025-12-13T17:43:11.207392-07:00 | 14 |
| Sean Sharaf vs Steven Asplund | DraftKings | Sean Sharaf | +230 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.069575-07:00 | +185 at 2025-12-13T07:13:51.541571-07:00 | 13 |
| Sean Sharaf vs Steven Asplund | DraftKings | Steven Asplund | -285 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.069647-07:00 | -225 at 2025-12-13T07:13:51.541600-07:00 | 13 |
| Melissa Croden vs Luana Santos | DraftKings | Luana Santos | -162 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.064609-07:00 | -135 at 2025-12-13T07:13:51.536807-07:00 | 11 |
| Melissa Croden vs Luana Santos | DraftKings | Melissa Croden | +136 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.064549-07:00 | +114 at 2025-12-13T07:13:51.536780-07:00 | 11 |
| Allen Frye Jr. vs Guilherme Pat | DraftKings | Allen Frye | +150 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.060531-07:00 | +142 at 2025-12-13T17:43:11.154447-07:00 | 13 |
| Allen Frye Jr. vs Guilherme Pat | DraftKings | Guilherme Pat | -180 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.060602-07:00 | -170 at 2025-12-13T17:43:11.154486-07:00 | 13 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda | DraftKings | Jamey-Lyn Horth | +150 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.055738-07:00 | +180 at 2025-12-13T14:14:11.833597-07:00 | 31 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda | DraftKings | Tereza Bledá | -180 at 2025-12-06T23:40:49.055852-07:00 | -218 at 2025-12-13T14:14:11.833637-07:00 | 31 |